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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ball State by 2.7

Home Win Probability

Ball State 49%

Market (Bovada)

Ball State +10

Edge: Ball State +10 (12.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
210101445
Ball StateBall State
14714742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-1421-2128-2835-3135-4542-45
Ball StateWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSWMBSWMWMBSWMBSWMBSWMWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMPUNT518ydTD985ydTO1-5ydTD210ydPUNT36ydTD495ydTD265ydTD1583ydDOWNS1074ydDOWNS1149ydDOWNS4-5ydTD669ydTD566ydTO13ydTD428ydFG1453ydTO36ydTD332ydPUNT3-5ydTD765ydTO626ydPUNT617ydTD985ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Ball State
StatisticWestern MichiganBall State
Passing26-2922-35
Pass Yards264329
Rush Yards19768
Total Yards461397
Turnovers13
3rd Down6-137-13
Penalties7-846-45
Possession32:3027:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Hayden Wolff
26/29, 264 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jaden Nixon
14 CAR, 124 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Anthony Sambucci
9 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ball State
passing
Kadin Semonza
21/34, 307 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Braedon Sloan
18 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Tanner Koziol
9 REC, 102 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the BALL 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.50

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 12 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 6 yds to the WMU 21

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the WMU 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 9 yds to the WMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Jalen Buckley run for 11 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.55

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 10 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 19 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the BALL 21

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.54

Jaden Nixon run for 21 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.38

Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the BALL 10 Kiael Kelly fumbled, recovered by WMU Jacob Wahlberg

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the BALL 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 10 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+97 yds

L. Zurak kick for 62 yds,M. Gillie return for 97 yds for a TD (J. Courville KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 55 yds , Jaden Nixon return for 19 yds to the WMU 29 Jaden Nixon fumbled, recovered by WMU Jaden Nixon

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 35

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Millmore punt for 60 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 7

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+72 ydsPPA +4.65

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 72 yds to the WMU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 21 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 8 yds to the WMU 43

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.21

Jaden Nixon run for 57 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 54 yds , Nick Munson return for 6 yds to the BALL 17

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(04:04) PENALTY BSU False Start (Anugwom,Arkel) 5 yards from BSU17 to BSU12. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.54

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 14 yds to the BALL 26

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.10

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kadin Semonza run for 5 yds to the BALL 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Kiael Kelly for 1 yd to the BALL 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.10

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Braedon Sloan run for 11 yds to the WMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the WMU 40

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Kadin Semonza sacked by Corey Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the WMU 43

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kadin Semonza run for 4 yds to the WMU 39

4th & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.90

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 19 yds to the WMU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Charlie Spegal run for no gain to the WMU 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.41

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 14 yds to the WMU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kadin Semonza run for 2 yds to the WMU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Cam Pickett run for 4 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.29

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 32 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the BALL 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 11 yds to the BALL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the BALL 24

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.41

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 17 yds to the BALL 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the BALL 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the BALL 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the BALL 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the BALL 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kadin Semonza run for 2 yds to the BALL 3

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the BALL 8

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the BALL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the BALL 13

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 10 yds to the BALL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the BALL 27

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

(01:29) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin pass incomplete short left to Robinson,Ty thrown to BSU34 QB hurried by Lee,Tyson PENALTY WMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Lee,Tyson) 15 yards from BSU27 to BSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 9 yds to the WMU 49

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 6 yds to the BALL 44

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.66

Hayden Wolff sacked by Riley Tolsma for a loss of 7 yards to the WMU 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 6 yds to the BALL 45

4th & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.07

Hayden Wolff sacked by Darin Conley for a loss of 10 yards to the WMU 45

0th & 0End of Half-45 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 61 yds , Jaden Nixon return for 27 yds to the WMU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 4 yds to the WMU 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.92

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 7 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 9 yds to the BALL 47

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 43 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 47 yds , Nick Munson return for 16 yds to the BALL 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 13 yds to the BALL 47 Ball State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BALL 37

1st & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.70

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 14 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Western Michigan Penalty, Chop Block (Donald Willis) to the WMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the WMU 32

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Braedon Sloan pass complete to Christian Abney for 22 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

2nd & 11Penalty+10 yds

(09:50) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin pass incomplete short middle to Robinson,Ty thrown to WMU30 PENALTY WMU Holding (Kone,Bilhal) 10 yards from WMU32 to WMU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.92

Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 28 Jaden Nixon fumbled, recovered by BALL Jordan Coleman

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.92

Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 28 Jaden Nixon fumbled, recovered by BALL Jordan Coleman

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

(09:44) Shotgun Sloan,Braedon rush left for 2 yards loss to the WMU30 (Thompson,Anterio; Nelson,Mason) PENALTY WMU Face Mask (Nelson,Mason) 14 yards from WMU28 to WMU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the WMU 7

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.46

Kadin Semonza run for 5 yds to the WMU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Drew Hughes for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Jalen Buckley run for 9 yds to the WMU 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 2 yds to the WMU 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 12 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the BALL 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 4 yds to the BALL 34

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the BALL 29

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.20

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.77

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for a loss of 8 yards to the BALL 35

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.33

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 13 yds to the BALL 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for no gain to the BALL 22

4th & 5Field Goal Good+39 yds

Luka Zurak 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 58 yds , Nick Munson return for 17 yds to the BALL 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the BALL 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 30

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the BALL 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 7 yds to the BALL 23

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.85

Jaden Nixon run for 23 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 48 yds , Nick Munson return for 6 yds to the BALL 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 25

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(12:36) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU29 (Willis,Donald) PENALTY BSU Holding (Mucciolo,Jon) 10 yards from BSU25 to BSU15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the BALL 18

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMU 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 22 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the BALL 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the BALL 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.81

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 18 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(08:57) Shotgun Wolff,Hayden pass incomplete short middle to Sambucci,Anthony thrown to BSU05 PENALTY BSU Holding (Newson,Keionte) 10 yards from BSU21 to BSU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 5 yds to the BALL 6

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.51

Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the BALL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 1 yd for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds to the BALL 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the BALL 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 9 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.34

run for 3 yds to the WMU 49 fumbled, recovered by BALL Kadin Semonza

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -1.74

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the WMU 29

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaden Nixon run for 8 yds to the WMU 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the WMU 39

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the WMU 41

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Millmore punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 9 yds to the BALL 24

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Ball State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kadin Semonza) to the BALL 14

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete for a 1ST down Western Michigan Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (DaShon Bussell) to the BALL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY WMU Offside (Nelson,Mason) 5 yards from BSU29 to BSU34. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.51

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 17 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 17 yds to the WMU 32 for a 1ST down Western Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (DaShon Bussell) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 5 yds to the WMU 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.42

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 27 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Kneel down by Western Mich. at BSU48 for loss of 1 yard.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Kneel down by Western Mich. at BSU49 for loss of 1 yard.

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Kneel down by Western Mich. at BSU50 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
73%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
38%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play