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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Harvard by 26.4

Home Win Probability

Harvard 92%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Harvard -34.5

Edge: Stetson +34.5 (8.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stetson
00000
Harvard
2177035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-028-035-0
HarvardStetson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HARSTEHARSTESTEHARSTEHARSTEHARSTEHARSTEHARSTESTEHARSTEHARSTEHARSTEHARSTEHARSTEHARTD785ydPUNT31ydTD320ydTD3-2ydPUNT818ydPUNT3-7ydDOWNS5-2ydTO2-23ydDOWNS819ydPUNT516ydPUNT39ydPUNT638ydPUNT820ydTD993ydEND1-3ydPUNT31ydTO13ydMISS615ydTD975ydPUNT35ydPUNT719ydPUNT31ydPUNT1024ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS1024ydTO415ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stetson and Harvard
StatisticStetsonHarvard
Passing15-3213-22
Pass Yards85232
Rush Yards16136
Total Yards101368
Turnovers22
3rd Down1-154-12
Penalties5-316-50
Possession23:3436:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stetson
passing
Trip Maxwell
15/32, 85 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Trey Clark
11 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Wyatt Rogers
5 REC, 35 YDS
Harvard
passing
Jaden Craig
12/20, 217 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Shane McLaughlin
16 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cooper Barkate
4 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Shane McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the HARV 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Jaden Craig pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 12 yds to the HARV 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Shane McLaughlin run for 7 yds to the HARV 33

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Shane McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the HARV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaden Craig pass complete to Ryan Osborne for 3 yds to the HARV 42

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.93

Xaviah Bascon run for 15 yds to the STET 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Jaden Craig pass complete to Scott Woods II for 43 yds for a TD (Kieran Corr KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Kieran Corr kickoff for 65 yds , Almari Brown return for 14 yds to the STET 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Almari Brown run for 3 yds to the STET 11

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trip Maxwell run for 4 yds to the STET 15

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+27 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the STET 20 , Scott Woods II returns for 27 yds to the STET 20

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.73

Scott Woods II run for 15 yds to the STET 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Shane McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the STET 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Shane McLaughlin run for 4 yds for a TD (Kieran Corr KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Almari Brown run for 2 yds to the STET 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

3rd & 12Interception Return Touchdown+37 ydsPPA -6.79

Mitchell Gonser 37 Yd Interception Return (Kieran Corr Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Brayden Miller for 6 yds to the STET 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Trey Clark run for 7 yds to the STET 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Trey Clark run for 7 yds to the STET 45

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.40

Trey Clark run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Trey Clark run for 1 yd to the HARV 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Stetson Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the STET 42

3rd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Trey Clark run for 1 yd to the STET 43

4th & 17Punt+32 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 32 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 32 yds to the HARV 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Charles Deprima run for 2 yds to the HARV 18

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Xaviah Bascon run for 1 yd to the HARV 19

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Charles Deprima run for 6 yds to the HARV 13 Charles Deprima fumbled, recovered by STET Charles Deprima

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Kaleb Costner for 15 yds to the HARV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Almari Brown run for 2 yds to the HARV 47

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

4th & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.79

run for 15 yds to the STET 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Shane McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the STET 41

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -2.51

Jaden Craig run for 20 yds to the HARV 35 Jaden Craig fumbled, recovered by STET Shug Bentley

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Wyatt Rogers for 5 yds to the HARV 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.86

Almari Brown run for 7 yds to the HARV 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Wyatt Rogers for 6 yds to the HARV 17

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Trip Maxwell run for 2 yds to the HARV 15

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Anthony Benzija run for 1 yd to the HARV 16

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.67

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shane McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the HARV 21

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Shane McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the HARV 22

3rd & 4Penalty+3 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Craig,Jaden pass incomplete short left to Barkate,Cooper thrown to HARV25 QB hurried by Elphick,Kyle PENALTY STET Pass Interference (Turbidy,Jacob) 3 yards from HARV22 to HARV25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Shane McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the HARV 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Jaden Craig pass complete to Scott Woods II for 8 yds to the HARV 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Xaviah Bascon run for 2 yds to the HARV 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brayden Miller at the STET 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Trey Clark run for 2 yds to the STET 34

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Trey Clark run for 3 yds to the STET 31

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Trey Clark run for 10 yds to the STET 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Scott Woods II at the HARV 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaden Craig pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.26

Jaden Craig pass complete to Ryan Osborne for 23 yds to the HARV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaden Craig pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 14 yds to the STET 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Xaviah Bascon run for 1 yd to the STET 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jaden Craig pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jaden Craig pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brayden Miller at the STET 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Almari Brown run for 3 yds to the STET 16

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Wyatt Rogers for 7 yds to the STET 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Almari Brown run for 1 yd to the STET 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Brayden Miller for 9 yds to the STET 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Trip Maxwell run for 4 yds to the STET 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Trey Clark for 7 yds to the STET 36

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Trey Clark run for 3 yds to the STET 33

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HARV 7

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.49

Shane McLaughlin run for 13 yds to the HARV 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Shane McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the HARV 19

2nd & 11Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.97

Shane McLaughlin run for 18 yds to the HARV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaden Craig pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shane McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the HARV 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Jaden Craig pass complete to Ryan Osborne for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jaden Craig pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.17

Jaden Craig pass complete to Kaedyn Odermann for 21 yds to the STET 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Craig,Jaden pass incomplete, Spike PENALTY STET Illegal Substitution 5 yards from STET29 to STET24. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Jaden Craig pass complete to Ryan Osborne for 24 yds for a TD (Kieran Corr KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Kieran Corr kickoff for 58 yds , Almari Brown return for 22 yds to the STET 29

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

A. Benzija takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-3 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Kieran Corr kickoff for 59 yds , Almari Brown return for 25 yds to the STET 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY STET False Start (Brust,Eric) 5 yards from STET31 to STET26. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Almari Brown for 1 yd to the STET 27

4th & 14Penalty+5 yds

Gaines,Bo punt 44 yards to the HARV29 Woods II,Scott return 25 yards to the STET46, out of bounds at STET46 PENALTY HARV Offside 5 yards from STET27 to STET32. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 36 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 5 yds to the HARV 37

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -1.95

Shane McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the HARV 40 Shane McLaughlin fumbled, recovered by STET Jayden Jefferson

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Aanjay Feliciano for 7 yds to the HARV 33

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Almari Brown run for 2 yds to the HARV 31

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Almari rush right for 2 yards gain to the HARV29 (Shipman,Gavin) PENALTY HARV Illegal Substitution 5 yards from HARV31 to HARV26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Fabian Baez for 1 yd to the HARV 25

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.34

Trip Maxwell sacked by Jacob Psyk for a loss of 9 yards to the HARV 34

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Wyatt Rogers for 9 yds to the HARV 25

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Daniel Holbrook 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaden Craig run for 1 yd to the HARV 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaden Craig pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Jaden Craig pass complete to Xaviah Bascon for 11 yds to the HARV 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaden Craig pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaden Craig pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.67

Jaden Craig run for 11 yds to the HARV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Xaviah Bascon run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.64

Jaden Craig pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 25 yds to the STET 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Jaden Craig pass complete to Cooper Barkate for 25 yds for a TD (Kieran Corr KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trey Clark run for 3 yds to the STET 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Wyatt Rogers for 8 yds to the STET 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Scott Woods II at the HARV 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Carter Ladd run for 4 yds to the HARV 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Shane McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the HARV 27

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Charles Deprima run for 3 yds to the HARV 30

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.17

Charles Deprima run for 10 yds to the HARV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Charles Deprima run for 4 yds to the HARV 36 Charles Deprima fumbled, recovered by STET Charles Deprima

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Shane McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the HARV 39

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun DePrima,Charles rush middle for 14 yards gain to the STET47 (Lockhart,Trey; Jefferson,Jayden) PENALTY HARV Holding (Kilstrom,Aidan) 10 yards from HARV39 to HARV29. NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Charles Deprima run for 11 yds to the HARV 40

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brayden Miller at the STET 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Brayden Miller for 3 yds to the STET 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.22

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Almari Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the STET 19

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Frederick run for 5 yds to the HARV 38

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Malik Frederick run for 1 yd to the HARV 39

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.88

Malik Frederick run for 6 yds to the HARV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Charles Deprima run for 1 yd to the HARV 46

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Isaiah Abbey run for 8 yds to the STET 46

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Charles Deprima pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.17

Charles Deprima run for 3 yds to the STET 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Malik Frederick run for 2 yds to the STET 41

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Malik Frederick run for 6 yds to the STET 35

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Malik Frederick run for 8 yds to the STET 43 Malik Frederick fumbled, recovered by STET Malik Frederick

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Malik Dryden run for 1 yd to the STET 3

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Anthony Benzija run for 2 yds to the STET 1

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Scott Woods II at the STET 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Abbey run for 5 yds to the STET 34

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Isaiah Abbey run for 10 yds to the STET 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Abbey run for 1 yd to the STET 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.71

Dante Torres pass complete to Justin Leszynski for 15 yds to the STET 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Malik Frederick run for 4 yds to the STET 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Malik Frederick run for no gain to the STET 6

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Frederick,Malik rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STET01 (Martin,Andrew) PENALTY HARV Holding (Gentle,Jack) 10 yards from STET06 to STET16. NO PLAY.

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Abbey run for 1 yd to the STET 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Abbey run for 2 yds to the STET 5

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Malik Frederick run for 3 yds to the STET 2

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 yds

run for 13 yds to the STET 15 fumbled, recovered by STET Caydon Coffman

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Almari Brown run for 12 yds to the STET 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Trip Maxwell pass complete to Almari Brown for 3 yds to the STET 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Trip Maxwell pass incomplete

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -0.13

Trip Maxwell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

D. Torres takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Stetson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Harvard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
29%
31 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
70%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays