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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2024Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 26.2

Home Win Probability

Troy 93%

Market (Bovada)

Troy -17.5

Edge: Troy -17.5 (8.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
806620
TroyTroy
107142152

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-810-817-831-1431-2052-20
TroySouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMSMTROSMTROPUNT3-5ydTD341ydTD1057ydPUNT31ydFG939ydMISS742ydTD1367ydMISS1054ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT623ydEND2-9ydPUNT934ydDOWNS1038ydTD156ydTD275ydTD1075ydPUNT1031ydPUNT3-2ydTD329ydTD349ydTD10ydTO319ydTD216ydPUNT3-16ydEND332yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Troy
StatisticSouthern MissTroy
Passing19-3114-27
Pass Yards259187
Rush Yards31272
Total Yards290459
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-129-16
Penalties5-404-49
Possession28:1831:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Tate Rodemaker
18/30, 234 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
JQ Gray
5 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Larry Simmons
4 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Troy
passing
Matthew Caldwell
14/26, 187 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Damien Taylor
23 CAR, 169 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Devonte Ross
5 REC, 70 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Kenyon Clay run for a loss of 4 yards to the USM 21

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Kenyon Clay run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+35 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 35 yds , Joe Lott returns for no gain to the TROY 41 , returns for no gain to the TROY 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.30

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 40 yds to the TROY 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the TROY 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kenyon Clay 1 Yd Run (Bryce Lofton Pass to Kyirin Heath for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the TROY 45

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the USM 49

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the USM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Troy Penalty, False Start (Elijah Prather) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.86

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jordan Lovett for 26 yds to the USM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 6 yds to the USM 18

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 8 yds to the USM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the USM 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Damien Taylor run for no gain to the USM 6

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Damien Taylor 6 Yd Run (Scott Taylor Renfroe Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kenyon Clay run for 1 yd to the USM 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 9 yds to the TROY 38

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Damien Taylor run for 5 yds to the TROY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 13 yds to the USM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the USM 42

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.20

Matthew Caldwell run for 15 yds to the USM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Matthew Caldwell run for a loss of 5 yards to the USM 32 Matthew Caldwell fumbled, recovered by TROY Matthew Caldwell M. Caldwell return for 0 yds

4th & 15Field Goal Good+50 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USM 34

1st & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -1.24

JQ Gray run for 12 yds to the USM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.40

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 25 yds to the TROY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.97

JQ Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 32

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

JQ Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 33

3rd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to JQ Gray for no gain to the TROY 33

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Connor Gibbs 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Matthew Caldwell run for 9 yds to the TROY 42

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the USM 48

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the USM 45

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, Offsides (Desmyn Baker) to the USM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Landon Parker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the USM 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 13 yds to the USM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Gerald Green run for 7 yds to the USM 18

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the USM 17

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the USM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Matthew Caldwell run for 14 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Paddy McAteer kickoff for 63 yds , JQ Gray return for 26 yds to the USM 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 12 yds to the USM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Kenyon Clay run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 1 yd to the USM 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.36

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 11 yds to the USM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Kenyon Clay run for 23 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Larry Simmons for 8 yds to the TROY 28

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kenyon Clay run for no gain to the TROY 28

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Connor Gibbs 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-14 yds

Troy Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jamel Fils-Aime) to the TROY 14

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordan Lovett run for 9 yds to the TROY 23

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordan Lovett run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 21

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tiaquelin Mims at the USM 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kenyon Clay run for 3 yds to the USM 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Larry Simmons for no gain to the USM 48

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USM 43

3rd & 12Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.57

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 40

4th & 15Punt+2 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 48 yds , Devonte Ross returns for 2 yds to the TROY 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the TROY 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.59

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 14 yds to the TROY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 5 yds to the TROY 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 26 yds, downed at the USM 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.16

Tate Rodemaker sacked by Phillip Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the USM 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Matthew Caldwell run for 3 yds to the TROY 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 11 yds to the TROY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 42

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Damien Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.29

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 20 yds to the USM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Damien Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the USM 41

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Matthew Caldwell run for no gain to the USM 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 23 yds, downed at the USM 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 17

3rd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.11

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 19 yds to the USM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dannis Jackson run for 3 yds to the USM 39

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Rodrigues Clark run for 8 yds to the USM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 13 yds to the TROY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Kenyon Clay run for a loss of 5 yards to the TROY 45

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Kyirin Heath for 8 yds to the TROY 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

4th & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.56

Tate Rodemaker sacked by Brendan Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the TROY 44

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Damien Taylor run for 56 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Larry Simmons for 75 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 31 yds to the USM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Gerald Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the USM 46

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Trae Swartz for 10 yds to the USM 36

4th & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 11 yds to the USM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Devonte Ross run for 2 yds to the USM 23

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the USM 20

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Damien Taylor run for 8 yds to the USM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the USM 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Trae Swartz for 10 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Paddy McAteer kickoff for 64 yds , Tiaquelin Mims return for 24 yds to the USM 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the USM 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Larry Simmons for 7 yds to the USM 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the USM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Kyirin Heath for 17 yds to the TROY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the TROY 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the TROY 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty+15 yds

(12:20) RODEMAKER, Tate pass short to the right incomplete intended for MIMS, Tiaquelin thrown to the TROY38; QB hurried by MCNEILL, Jabril, clock 12:17. PENALTY TROY Roughing the Passer on MCNEILL, Jabril enforced 15 yards from the TROY42 to the TROY27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

JQ Gray run for no gain to the TROY 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.86

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Chandler Pittman for a loss of 6 yards to the TROY 33

3rd & 16Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.06

Tate Rodemaker sacked by Phillip Lee for a loss of 11 yards to the TROY 44

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the TROY 7

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.37

Matthew Caldwell run for a loss of 6 yards to the TROY 1 Matthew Caldwell fumbled, recovered by TROY Matthew Caldwell M. Caldwell return for 0 yds

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 28 yds, downed at the TROY 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.10

Chandler Pittman pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 25 yds to the TROY 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kenyon Clay run for no gain to the TROY 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Gibbs PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Andrew Stein kickoff for 14 yds , Devonte Ross return for no gain to the USM 49

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Damien Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Damien Taylor run for 15 yds to the USM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Damien Taylor run for 35 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Paddy McAteer kickoff for 65 yds , Tiaquelin Mims return for 27 yds to the USM 27

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -8.07

Tate Rodemaker pass intercepted Ian Conerly-Goodly return for 31 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kenyon Clay run for 1 yd to the USM 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 3 yds to the USM 29

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Troy Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Luis Medina) to the USM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+49 ydsPPA -2.63

Tate Rodemaker pass intercepted LJ Green return for 49 yds to the USM 16

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Damien Taylor run for 11 yds to the USM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jordan Lovett run for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Troemel KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(04:07) CLARK, Rodrigues rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the USM29 (LOTT, Joe;STARLING, Darrell), clock 04:02. PENALTY USM Holding on WELCH, Tanner enforced 10 yards from the USM25 to the USM15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the USM 20

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Kenyon Clay run for 1 yd to the USM 21

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -0.13

John White run for a loss of 12 yards to the USM 9 Ryan Johnson fumbled, recovered by USM John White J. White return for 0 yds

4th & 26Punt+1 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 35 yds , Peyton Higgins returns for 1 yd to the USM 43

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.47

Tae Meadows run for 38 yds to the USM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

(00:58) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at USM9 (team loss of 4), clock 00:50.

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at USM11 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
29%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
36%
11 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
39%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
38%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play