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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 74%

Market (Bovada)

Georgia Southern -7

Edge: Georgia Southern -7 (5.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
0771428
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
737320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-710-710-1417-1417-2120-28
Georgia SouthernTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROMISS1465ydTD1280ydTD575ydPUNT4-2ydPUNT524ydPUNT32ydPUNT812ydFG1082ydEND423ydPUNT32ydTD1171ydTD1075ydTD775ydFG648ydTD1675ydTO23ydEND423yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and Georgia Southern
StatisticTroyGeorgia Southern
Passing26-3217-28
Pass Yards288171
Rush Yards15375
Total Yards441246
Turnovers01
3rd Down11-143-8
Penalties11-894-32
Possession38:3121:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Matthew Caldwell
26/32, 288 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damien Taylor
18 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Devonte Ross
10 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
JC French
17/28, 171 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
OJ Arnold
5 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Josh Dallas
4 REC, 69 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Ethan Conner for 11 yds to the TROY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the TROY 41

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.29

Damien Taylor run for 18 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brody Dalton for 11 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Damien Taylor run for 5 yds to the GASO 25

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Troy Penalty, False Start (Raymond Cutts) to the GASO 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 8 yds to the GASO 22

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 5 yds to the GASO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Matthew Caldwell run for 3 yds to the GASO 14

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Matthew Caldwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 17 Matthew Caldwell fumbled, recovered by TROY Matthew Caldwell M. Caldwell return for 0 yds

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 7 yds to the GASO 10

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+24 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 24 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 25

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

(07:04) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the TRY40, clock 06:58. PENALTY TRY Pass Interference on GREEN, LJ enforced 15 yards to the GS40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

JC French pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(06:51) WHITE, Jalen rush to the left for a gain of 48 yards to the TRY12 (YANCEY, Damaje), clock 06:40. PENALTY GS Holding on STRONG, Chandler enforced 10 yards from the GS40 to the GS30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Penalty+15 yds

Troy Penalty, Personal Foul (Luis Medina) to the GASO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the GASO 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

JC French pass complete to Beau Johnson for 16 yds to the TROY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the TROY 29

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

JC French pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the TROY 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Jalen White run for 10 yds to the TROY 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen White run for no gain to the TROY 8

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.13

JC French sacked by Jordan Stringer for a loss of 9 yards to the TROY 17

3rd & 17Penalty+9 yds

(02:07) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the TRY0, clock 02:00. PENALTY TRY Holding on WELCH, Shemar enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the TRY17 to the TRY8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Penalty+4 yds

Troy Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the TROY 4

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Josh Dallas run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 31 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +0.89

Gerald Green run for 33 yds to the GASO 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gerald Green run for no gain to the GASO 11

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the GASO 6

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brody Dalton for 6 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 8 yds to the GASO 33 Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Derwin Burgess Jr.) to the GASO 18

1st & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

JC French pass complete to Jalen White for 6 yds to the GASO 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

JC French pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Alex Smith punt for 43 yds , Devonte Ross returns for 5 yds to the TROY 39

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Matthew Caldwell run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 15 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Damien Taylor run for no gain to the GASO 35

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Troy Penalty, False Start (Landon Parker) to the GASO 40

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Matthew Caldwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 41

3rd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 4 yds to the GASO 37

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Josh Dallas at the GASO 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Marcus Sanders Jr. run for 1 yd to the GASO 14

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

David Mbadinga run for 1 yd to the GASO 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

JC French pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Lovett run for 3 yds to the TROY 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Lovett run for 4 yds to the TROY 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.66

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 5 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan Lovett run for no gain to the GASO 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 11 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

Troy Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Matthew Caldwell) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 23Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.81

Matthew Caldwell sacked by Jacob Ferguson for a loss of 5 yards to the TROY 45

3rd & 28Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Ethan Conner for 7 yds to the GASO 48

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Josh Dallas at the GASO 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

David Mbadinga run for 3 yds to the GASO 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

JC French pass complete to David Mbadinga for 6 yds to the GASO 24

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.53

OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the GASO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 5 yds to the TROY 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.04

JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 20 yds to the TROY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(01:10) FRENCH, JC pass deep to the right incomplete intended for COBB, Dalen thrown to the TRY0, clock 01:05. PENALTY TRY Pass Interference on YANCEY, Damaje enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the TRY10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the TROY 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

JC French pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

JC French pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Gavin Stewart 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jordan Lovett for 7 yds to the TROY 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jordan Lovett for 6 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jordan Lovett for 10 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.64

JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

JC French pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Damien Taylor run for no gain to the TROY 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 9 yds to the TROY 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.96

Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the TROY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the TROY 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.09

Matthew Caldwell run for 15 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 11 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Damien Taylor run for 15 yds to the GASO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Damien Taylor run for 14 yds to the GASO 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the GASO 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 4 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 14 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.76

JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 23 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

OJ Arnold run for 8 yds to the TROY 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.07

JC French pass complete to OJ Arnold for 15 yds to the TROY 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 8 yds to the TROY 7

2nd & 2Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.04

JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for a loss of 7 yards to the TROY 14

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.46

David Mbadinga run for 10 yds to the TROY 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

JC French pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the TROY 2

3rd & 2Penalty+1 yds

(02:45) FRENCH, JC pass short up the middle incomplete intended for WALTON, Elijah thrown to the TRY0, clock 02:42. PENALTY TRY Pass Interference on CONERLY-GOODLY, Ian enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards to the TRY1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jalen White run for 1 yd for a TD Troy Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Lafayette) to the TROY 0 (Gavin Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Devonte Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 8 yds to the TROY 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.62

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 37 yds to the GASO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.63

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Ethan Conner for 29 yds to the GASO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Matthew Caldwell run for 1 yd to the GASO 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Damien Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Matthew Caldwell run for 2 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(13:33) MBADINGA, David rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the GS29 (STRINGER, Jordan), clock 13:27. PENALTY TRY Offsides on YANCEY, Damaje enforced 5 yards from the GS25 to the GS30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.97

JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 22 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Josh Dallas run for 14 yds to the TROY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

David Mbadinga run for 5 yds to the TROY 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 2 yds to the TROY 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

JC French pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+45 yds

Gavin Stewart 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan Lovett run for 4 yds to the TROY 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 8 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the TROY 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the TROY 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 6 yds to the TROY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Matthew Caldwell run for 2 yds to the GASO 49

3rd & 8Penalty+12 yds

(07:03) CALDWELL, Matthew pass to the right incomplete intended for CONNER, Ethan thrown to the GS40, clock 07:00. PENALTY GS Holding on GAMBLE, Chance enforced 12 yards from the GS49 to the GS37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Damien Taylor run for 9 yds to the GASO 28

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Damien Taylor run for 9 yds to the GASO 17

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.46

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 6 yds to the GASO 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 3 yds to the GASO 8

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.68

Damien Taylor run for 7 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty+1 yds

Georgia Southern Penalty, Offsides (Latrell Bullard) to the GASO 0 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Matthew Caldwell run for no gain to the GASO 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Matthew Caldwell run for 1 yd for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

JC French pass complete to Jalen White for 3 yds to the GASO 28

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.63

JC French pass intercepted Justin Powe return for no gain to the GASO 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GASO 46

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GASO 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.51

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brody Dalton for 23 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.71

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 25

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
42%
31 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
60%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th