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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 7.9

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 69%

Market (Bovada)

South Alabama -10

Edge: Troy +10 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2024

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
03069
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
3166025

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-019-322-325-325-9
South AlabamaTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSAPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT421ydDOWNS48ydFG1134ydPUNT311ydPUNT833ydTO32ydTD222ydSAF2-5ydTD569ydFG1557ydEND1-1ydPUNT614ydFG648ydDOWNS836ydPUNT35ydTO23ydFG4-2ydTO321ydPUNT743ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-1ydTD464ydEND429yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and South Alabama
StatisticTroySouth Alabama
Passing19-3616-21
Pass Yards136158
Rush Yards31160
Total Yards167318
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-145-15
Penalties3-349-100
Possession24:0335:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Matthew Caldwell
17/30, 142 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Damien Taylor
6 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Devonte Ross
7 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense
South Alabama
passing
Giovanni Lopez
16/21, 158 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Giovanni Lopez
11 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Javon Ivory
1 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Darius McKenzie
1 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gio Lopez run for no gain to the USA 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the USA 27

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gio Lopez sacked by Julian Peterson for a loss of 3 yards to the USA 24

4th & 11Punt+14 yds

Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 47 , Devonte Ross returns for 14 yds to the USA 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the USA 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tucker Kilcrease run for no gain to the USA 44

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.00

Tucker Kilcrease sacked by Dalton Hughes for a loss of 9 yards to the TROY 47

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamaal Pritchett at the USA 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 14

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Lopez,Gio pass incomplete deep left to Pritchett,Jamaal thrown to TRO42 PENALTY TRO Pass Interference (Powell,Cecil) 15 yards from USA14 to USA29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd to the USA 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for a loss of 2 yards to the USA 28

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Gio Lopez run for 8 yds to the USA 36

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 21 yds

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tucker Kilcrease run for 4 yds to the TROY 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Gerald Green for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tucker Kilcrease run for 1 yd to the USA 49

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 3 yds to the TROY 48

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Lopez,Gio rush left for 0 yards to the TRO48 (Stringer,Jordan; Cattledge,Steven) PENALTY USA Holding (Gibbs,Rod) 10 yards from TRO48 to USA42. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +4.15

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 29 yds to the TROY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Gio Lopez run for 3 yds to the TROY 26

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the TROY 20

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

Gio Lopez run for 3 yds to the TROY 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TROY 24

1st & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Gio Lopez run for 10 yds to the TROY 14

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the TROY 17

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Laith Marjan 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Laith Marjan kickoff for 60 yds , Devonte Ross return for 21 yds to the TROY 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the TROY 27

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Gerald Green run for no gain to the TROY 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+23 yds

Robert Cole punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 23 yds to the 50 yard line South Alabama Penalty, Illegal Block (Amarion Fortenberry) to the 50 yard line

4th & 9Punt+23 yds

Robert Cole punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 15 , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 23 yds to the 50 yard line South Alabama Penalty, Illegal Block (Amarion Fortenberry) to the USA 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the USA 18

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the USA 24

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Gio Lopez run for 8 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Fluff Bothwell run for 7 yds to the USA 39

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Fluff Bothwell run for 5 yds to the USA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Fluff Bothwell run for 2 yds to the USA 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USA False Start (Jerido,Kenton) 5 yards from USA46 to USA41. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 7 yds to the USA 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-4 yds

(11:03) PENALTY TRO False Start (Parker,Landon) 4 yards from TRO09 to TRO05. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Damien Taylor run for 6 yds to the TROY 11

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA +0.25

Tucker Kilcrease pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the TROY 24

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.25

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 24 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Laith Marjan kickoff for 65 yds , Devonte Ross return for 10 yds to the TROY 10

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -0.57

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Mojo Dortch for a loss of 9 yards to the TROY 1

2nd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Tucker Kilcrease run for 4 yds to the TROY 5

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Paddy McAteer kickoff for 67 yds , Shamar Sandgren return for 18 yds to the USA 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 4 yds to the USA 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Gio Lopez pass complete to Fluff Bothwell for 8 yds to the USA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Gio Lopez pass complete to Anthony Eager for a loss of 3 yards to the USA 40

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Gio Lopez run for 11 yds to the TROY 49

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.80

Gio Lopez 49 Yd Run (Laith Marjan Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 10 yds to the TROY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 6 yds to the TROY 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Landon Parker for 7 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Damien Taylor run for 6 yds to the USA 46

3rd & 4Rush-11 ydsPPA -2.30

Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the TROY 42 for a 1ST down Troy Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Damien Taylor) to the TROY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.01

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 10 yds to the USA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the USA 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 8 yds to the USA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(01:20) Shotgun Caldwell,Matthew pass incomplete deep left to Parker,Landon thrown to USA11 PENALTY USA Pass Interference (Neely,Reggie) 15 yards from USA35 to USA20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Matthew Caldwell sacked by Courtney McBride Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the USA 27

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 9 yds to the USA 18

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 36 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kneel down by South Alabama at USA24 for loss of 1 yard.

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Laith Marjan kickoff for 34 yds , Fabian Rogosch return for no gain to the TROY 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 7 yds to the TROY 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the TROY 40

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Matthew Caldwell run for 6 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the TROY 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.02

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Gerald Green for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.36

Gio Lopez pass complete to Javon Ivory for 57 yds to the TROY 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the TROY 20

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the TROY 15

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.16

Gio Lopez sacked by Phillip Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the TROY 24

4th & 16Field Goal Good+42 yds

Laith Marjan 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 7 yds to the TROY 42

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.34

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 8 yds to the USA 46 for a 1ST down South Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (Lardarius Webb Jr.) to the USA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the USA 30

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Matthew Caldwell run for 1 yd to the USA 29

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.21

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.21

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jamaal Pritchett run for 3 yds to the USA 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 1 yd to the USA 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Gio Lopez pass complete to Fluff Bothwell for 1 yd to the USA 34

4th & 5Punt+20 yds

Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TROY 40 , Devonte Ross returns for 20 yds to the TROY 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 3 yds to the TROY 43

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.81

Matthew Caldwell pass intercepted Lardarius Webb Jr. return for no gain to the TROY 22

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

2nd & 23Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.76

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 15 yds to the TROY 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Gio Lopez pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for a loss of 4 yards to the TROY 24

4th & 12Field Goal Good+42 yds

Laith Marjan 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 13 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 8 yds to the TROY 46

2nd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -3.08

Matthew Caldwell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Fluff Bothwell run for 4 yds to the USA 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Fluff Bothwell run for 2 yds to the USA 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 12 yds to the USA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.74

Fluff Bothwell run for 19 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Gio Lopez pass complete to Fluff Bothwell for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Gio Lopez pass complete to PJ Martin for 7 yds to the TROY 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Martin punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Matthew Caldwell sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the TROY 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 4 yds to the TROY 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the TROY 39

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the TROY 38

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Jack Martin punt for 28 yds , Devonte Ross returns for 6 yds to the TROY 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the TROY 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jamaal Pritchett at the USA 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Fluff Bothwell run for 2 yds to the USA 37

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USA False Start (Carney,Malachi) 5 yards from USA37 to USA32. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Fluff Bothwell run for 3 yds to the USA 35

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Fluff Bothwell run for 1 yd to the USA 34

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Brody Dalton for 18 yds to the USA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tae Meadows run for 4 yds to the USA 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.14

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Devonte Ross for 16 yds to the USA 26 for a 1ST down South Alabama Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Amarion Fortenberry) to the USA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Devonte Ross 11 Yd pass from Matthew Caldwell (Scott Taylor Renfroe PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the TROY 46

2nd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Kentrel Bullock run for 22 yds to the TROY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the TROY 19

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the TROY 22

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
71%
7 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
4th