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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2024Week 6
Texas StateTexas State
38
-Final
17
TroyTroy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Troy 52%

Market (Bovada)

Troy +14.5

Edge: Troy +14.5 (16.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 3, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
141410038
TroyTroy
0107017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-1410-2110-3117-38
TroyTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROPUNT6-3ydTD766ydPUNT33ydPUNT38ydTO335ydTD864ydPUNT57ydTO434ydTD566ydTD475ydFG1252ydTD575ydTO675ydEND421ydFG1240ydDOWNS723ydTD348ydTD575ydPUNT722ydPUNT31ydTO321ydDOWNS1023ydTO928ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Troy
StatisticTexas StateTroy
Passing20-2919-32
Pass Yards252268
Rush Yards21563
Total Yards467331
Turnovers32
3rd Down6-126-13
Penalties3-354-53
Possession31:2728:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Jordan McCloud
20/29, 252 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Torrance Burgess Jr.
12 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Kole Wilson
4 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Troy
passing
Tucker Kilcrease
17/28, 249 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damien Taylor
11 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Landon Parker
5 REC, 83 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the TROY 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Mojo Dortch run for 7 yds to the TROY 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -0.61

Tucker Kilcrease sacked by Kalil Alexander and Jo'Laison Landry for a loss of 15 yards to the TROY 22

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 44 yds

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Jordan McCloud sacked by Darrell Starling for a loss of 2 yards to the TXST 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.52

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 15 yds to the TXST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the TROY 48

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the TROY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.70

Jordan McCloud run for 21 yds to the TROY 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(10:03) MCCLOUD, Jordan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HOBERT, Joey thrown to the TROY3, clock 09:58. PENALTY TROY Pass Interference on CONERLY-GOODLY, Ian enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the TROY7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the TROY 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Matthew Caldwell sacked by Steven Parker for a loss of 6 yards to the TROY 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 9 yds to the TROY 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for 2 yds to the TXST 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kole Wilson for 6 yds to the TXST 36

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lars Rau punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 29

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Damien Taylor run for 22 yds to the TXST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Damien Taylor run for 5 yds to the TXST 44

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -3.34

Tucker Kilcrease run for 8 yds to the TXST 36 Tucker Kilcrease fumbled, recovered by TXST Darius Jackson D. Jackson return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 8 yds to the TXST 44

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.25

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 17 yds to the TROY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 11 yds to the TROY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the TROY 14

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.49

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the TROY 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 10 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 64 yds , Devonte Ross return for 19 yds to the TROY 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 10 yds to the TROY 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.73

Peyton Higgins run for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 30

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.21

Matthew Caldwell sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 27 Matthew Caldwell fumbled, recovered by TROY Tyler Cappi , return for 0 yards

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kole Wilson at the TXST 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the TXST 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.56

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 20 yds to the TROY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kole Wilson for 12 yds to the TROY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.03

Jordan McCloud pass intercepted Jordan Stringer return for no gain to the TROY 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tucker Kilcrease run for 4 yds to the TROY 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.30

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Landon Parker for 22 yds to the TXST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.99

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Landon Parker for 33 yds to the TXST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Gerald Green run for no gain to the TXST 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Mojo Dortch for 7 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for 7 yds to the TXST 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 34

4th & 1Penalty+15 yds

(09:14) RAU, Lars punt 35 yards to the TROY31, fair catch by ROSS, Devonte, clock 09:10. PENALTY TROY Roughing the Kicker on PERRY, Jordan enforced 15 yards from the TXST34 to the TXST49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kole Wilson for 51 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the TROY 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Damien Taylor for 6 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tucker Kilcrease run for 4 yds to the TROY 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.21

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Devonte Ross for 7 yds to the TROY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Landon Parker for 17 yds to the TXST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 10 yds to the TXST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.32

Tucker Kilcrease sacked by Jo'Laison Landry for a loss of 6 yards to the TXST 32

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Tucker Kilcrease run for 9 yds to the TXST 23

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Troy Penalty, Personal Foul (Raymond Cutts) to the TROY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 17 yds to the TROY 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for 28 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 4 yds to the TROY 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 4 yds to the TROY 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Landon Parker for 6 yds to the TROY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tucker Kilcrease run for 3 yds to the TROY 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.47

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 28 yds to the TXST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+30 ydsPPA -4.19

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 30 yds Peyton Higgins fumbled, recovered by TXST Ryan Nolan R. Nolan return for 2 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the TXST 4

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 14 yds to the TXST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 5 yds to the TXST 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jordan McCloud run for 5 yds to the TXST 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Beau Sparks for 12 yds to the TXST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Beau Sparks for 8 yds to the TROY 49

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the TROY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TROY 42

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan McCloud run for 3 yds to the TROY 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.58

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for 7 yds to the TROY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Jordan McCloud sacked by Cheick Kaba for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 35

4th & 13Field Goal Good+53 yds

Mason Shipley 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Damien Taylor run for 13 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Tucker Kilcrease run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty+10 yds

(08:32) KILCREASE, Tucker pass deep up the middle intercepted by NOLAN, Ryan at the TXST44 intended for PARKER, Landon. Nolan return for 34 yards to the TROY22 (TAYLOR, Damien), clock 08:20. PENALTY TXST Holding on PEARSON, Kameron enforced 10 yards from the TROY36 to the TROY46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Damien Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 48

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 5 yds to the TROY 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for 1 yd to the TROY 42

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.44

Jordan McCloud run for 42 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the TROY 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Gerald Green for 5 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.60

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 35 yds to the TXST 29 for a 1ST down Texas State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on BASS, Brice enforced (Brice Bass) to the TXST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Tucker Kilcrease sacked by Jo'Laison Landry for a loss of 5 yards to the TXST 19

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.23

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Devonte Ross for 19 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ismail Mahdi run for 8 yds to the TXST 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Ismail Mahdi run for 4 yds to the TXST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 38

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 14 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(01:02) BURGESS JR., Torrance rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the TROY43 (POWE, Justin), clock 00:57. PENALTY TXST Holding on LOCKETTE, Tellek enforced 10 yards from the TROY48 to the TXST42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Beau Sparks for 5 yds to the TXST 47

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for no gain to the TXST 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

David Nunez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tucker Kilcrease run for no gain to the TROY 8

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Tucker Kilcrease run for 1 yd to the TROY 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+13 yds

Robert Cole punt for 47 yds , Kole Wilson returns for 13 yds to the TROY 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 1 yd to the TROY 42

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the TROY 39

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA -2.55

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 17 yds fumbled, recovered by TROY Trent Henry T. Henry return for 6 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.21

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Gerald Green for 11 yds to the TROY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Gerald Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 38

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Mojo Dortch run for 8 yds to the TROY 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Landon Parker for 5 yds to the TXST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.03

Tucker Kilcrease sacked by Kalil Alexander for a loss of 11 yards to the TROY 40

2nd & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Damien Taylor run for 8 yds to the TROY 48

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Tucker Kilcrease run for 3 yds to the TXST 49

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the TROY 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kole Wilson for 8 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the TROY 32

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the TROY 28

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the TROY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the TROY 23

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Deion Hankins run for no gain to the TROY 23

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.61

Jordan McCloud pass intercepted, touchback. LJ Green return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

(00:29) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at TROY19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:09.

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
58%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
29 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays