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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
UL MonroeUL Monroe
13
-Final
9
TroyTroy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 15.6

Home Win Probability

Troy 82%

Market (Bovada)

Troy -6

Edge: Troy -6 (9.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UL MonroeUL Monroe
303713
TroyTroy
33039

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-36-36-69-69-13
TroyUL Monroe

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROUMTROUMTROUMTROUMUMTROUMTROUMTROUMTROUMFG1368ydFG1151ydPUNT59ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1145ydTO313ydFG1047ydEND38ydPUNT30ydMISS528ydFG971ydFG1059ydTD875ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydPUNT41ydEND817yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UL Monroe and Troy
StatisticUL MonroeTroy
Passing6-117-12
Pass Yards13571
Rush Yards112201
Total Yards247272
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-114-11
Penalties8-6510-84
Possession29:2930:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UL Monroe
passing
Aidan Armenta
4/6, 108 YDS
rushing
Ahmad Hardy
27 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jacob Godfrey
1 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Troy
passing
Tucker Kilcrease
6/10, 57 YDS
rushing
Gerald Green
13 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Zeriah Beason
2 REC, 30 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Troy Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brody Dalton) to the TROY 18

1st & 17Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.01

Damien Taylor run for 12 yds to the TROY 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the TROY 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the TROY 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Goose Crowder pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 14 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Roughing the Passer on SHORTER, Tristan enforced (15 Yards) to the ULM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Gerald Green run for 14 yds to the ULM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Tucker Kilcrease run for 9 yds to the ULM 11

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the ULM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.65

run for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 13

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Damien Taylor run for 6 yds to the ULM 7

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

Troy Penalty, intentional grounding (Yards) to the ULM 6

4th & 7Field Goal Good+37 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ahmad Hardy run for 9 yds to the ULM 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(08:04) BOOTY, General pass short to the left incomplete dropped by CAMPBELL, Javon thrown to the ULM41, clock 08:00. PENALTY TROY Roughing the Passer on PETERSON, Julian enforced 15 yards from the ULM37 to the TROY48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the TROY 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.81

General Booty pass complete to Wesley Campbell VI for 8 yds to the TROY 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Hunter Herring run for 4 yds to the TROY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the TROY 32

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Ahmad Hardy run for 10 yds to the TROY 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.71

James Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 25

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

James Jones run for 1 yd to the TROY 24

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

General Booty pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+42 yds

Max Larson 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Gerald Green run for 13 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.81

Gerald Green run for 23 yds to the ULM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(01:57) GREEN, Gerald rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the ULM35 (SHORTER, Tristan;HOLMES, Kelbee), clock 01:50. PENALTY TROY Holding on KING, Daniel enforced 10 yards from the ULM39 to the ULM49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty+10 yds

(01:27) CROWDER, Goose sacked for a loss of 17 yards at the TROY34, fumble on the sack (forced by SHORTER, Tristan), recovered by ULM HOWELL, Dylan at the TROY34, returned 0 yards to the TROY34, End of Play, clock 01:15. PENALTY ULM Holding on VIGERS, Car'lin enforced 10 yards from the ULM49 to the ULM39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tucker Kilcrease run for 3 yds to the ULM 36

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-16 ydsPPA -3.58

run for a loss of 16 yards to the TROY 48 fumbled, recovered by TROY Tucker Kilcrease T. Kilcrease return for 0 yds

3rd & 23Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -0.42

run for a loss of 14 yards to the TROY 34 fumbled, recovered by TROY Tucker Kilcrease T. Kilcrease return for 0 yds

4th & 37Punt+9 yds

Robert Cole punt for 45 yds , Davon Wells returns for 9 yds to the ULM 43 Troy Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the ULM 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

James Jones run for 6 yds to the TROY 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the TROY 48

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Tyler Griffin) to the ULM 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

General Booty pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 38 yds, downed at the TROY 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 18

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Damien Taylor run for 14 yds to the TROY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damien Taylor run for 5 yds to the TROY 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Devonte Ross for 5 yds to the TROY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 45

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(09:07) KILCREASE, Tucker pass deep to the left incomplete dropped by ROSS, Devonte thrown to the ULM34; QB hurried by PULLEN, Billy, clock 08:59. PENALTY ULM Roughing the Passer on KNUDSEN, Daniel enforced 15 yards from the TROY45 to the ULM40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Gerald Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 41

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the ULM 38

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Troy Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ULM 47

3rd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Tucker Kilcrease run for 7 yds to the ULM 40

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the ULM 48

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the TROY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.39

General Booty pass intercepted Justin Powe return for no gain to the TROY 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Brody Dalton for 5 yds to the TROY 27

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the TROY 31

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Gerald Green run for 13 yds to the TROY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the TROY 47

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the TROY 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.49

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 16 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Damien Taylor run for 4 yds to the ULM 31

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tucker Kilcrease run for 5 yds to the ULM 26

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Troy Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ULM 31

4th & 6Field Goal Good+49 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the ULM 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 28

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Delay Of Game (Tyler Griffin) to the ULM 23

3rd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Aidan Armenta run for 10 yds to the ULM 33

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Taven Curry for 5 yds to the ULM 25

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 43 yds , Devonte Ross returns for 13 yds to the TROY 45

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.46

Tucker Kilcrease run for 25 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Damien Taylor run for 1 yd to the ULM 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Damien Taylor run for 5 yds to the ULM 24

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(11:38) KILCREASE, Tucker scrambles to the left for no gain to the ULM24 (GLASS JR., Carl), out of bounds, clock 11:30. PENALTY TROY Holding on TAYLOR, Damien enforced 10 yards from the ULM24 to the ULM34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Tucker Kilcrease run for 7 yds to the ULM 27

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 45 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Que McBroom) to the ULM 22

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the ULM 29

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the ULM 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 6 yds to the ULM 36

4th & 1Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.25

Hunter Herring pass complete to Julian Nixon for 19 yds to the TROY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.59

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 40 yds to the TROY 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the TROY 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Hunter Herring run for 1 yd to the TROY 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bennett Galloway run for no gain to the TROY 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Max Larson 20 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Max Larson kickoff for 65 yds , Devonte Ross return for 23 yds to the TROY 23

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.36

Gerald Green run for 16 yds to the TROY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 7 yds to the TROY 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.05

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Devonte Ross for 16 yds to the ULM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tucker Kilcrease run for 1 yd to the ULM 37

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Gerald Green run for 7 yds to the ULM 30

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.56

Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the ULM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Damien Taylor run for 2 yds to the ULM 23

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Devonte Ross run for 5 yds to the ULM 18

4th & 3Field Goal Good+36 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Carter Miller) to the ULM 20

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Ahmad Hardy run for 11 yds to the ULM 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Ahmad Hardy run for 10 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Davon Wells run for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 37

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.92

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 57 yds to the TROY 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the TROY 5

2nd & 5Penalty+3 yds

HERRING, Hunter pass short to the right incomplete intended for WELLS, Davon thrown to the TROY0. PENALTY TROY Pass Interference on HENRY, Trent enforced 3 yards to the TROY2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Hunter Herring run for 1 yd to the TROY 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ahmad Hardy 1 Yd Run (Luke Stagg Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Max Larson kickoff for 65 yds , Devonte Ross return for 21 yds to the TROY 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Damien Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 20

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Damien Taylor run for 5 yds to the TROY 25

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Tucker Kilcrease pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 40

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 38

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the ULM 44

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Jay Mickle) to the ULM 39

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the ULM 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Devonte Ross at the TROY 10

1st & 10Penalty-18 yds

Troy Penalty, Offensive Holding (-18 Yards) to the TROY 6

1st & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.17

Gerald Green run for no gain to the TROY 6

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.12

Tucker Kilcrease pass complete to Devonte Ross for 8 yds to the TROY 14

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tucker Kilcrease run for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 11

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the TROY 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the TROY 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the TROY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the TROY 36

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 37

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.69

Ahmad Hardy run for 12 yds to the TROY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.27

(01:24) [NH] Kneel down by ULM at TROY31 (team loss of 6), clock 01:18.

2nd & 16Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.76

(00:40) [NH] Kneel down by ULM at TROY35 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play