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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Marshall by 5.7

Home Win Probability

Marshall 59%

Market (Bovada)

Marshall -3.5

Edge: Marshall -3.5 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
3014320
MarshallMarshall
7103727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-317-317-1020-1020-1720-2027-20
MarshallWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARWMMARWMMARWMMARWMMARWMMARWMWMMARWMMARWMMARWMMARWMMARTD569ydPUNT56ydMISS724ydFG642ydFG1677ydPUNT518ydPUNT619ydPUNT629ydTD686ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT616ydEND11ydTD875ydFG1258ydTD975ydPUNT32ydFG46ydTO26ydTO611ydTD370ydDOWNS1968ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Marshall
StatisticWestern MichiganMarshall
Passing15-2815-25
Pass Yards126177
Rush Yards192243
Total Yards318420
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-145-12
Penalties3-303-35
Possession31:2928:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Hayden Wolff
15/28, 126 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jaden Nixon
23 CAR, 146 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Sambucci
4 REC, 56 YDS
defense
Marshall
passing
Stone Earle
15/25, 177 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
A.J. Turner
9 CAR, 124 YDS
receiving
Elijah Metcalf
4 REC, 52 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 59 yds , Jordan Houston return for 25 yds to the MRSH 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Stone Earle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.84

Stone Earle run for 10 yds to the MRSH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Stone Earle pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 19 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Stone Earle pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 8 yds to the WMU 32

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.55

Stone Earle pass complete to Toby Payne for 32 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 8 yds to the WMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 31

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.14

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for no gain to the WMU 31

4th & 15Punt+12 yds

Ryan Millmore punt for 35 yds , Elijah Metcalf returns for 12 yds to the MRSH 46

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Tychaun Chapman run for 10 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the WMU 39

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Stone Earle run for 6 yds to the WMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Stone Earle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the WMU 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Stone Earle pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Rece Verhoff 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.28

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 26 yds to the MRSH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Jaden Nixon run for 13 yds to the MRSH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the MRSH 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+45 yds

Luka Zurak 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the MRSH 23

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 58 yds , Jordan Houston return for 14 yds to the MRSH 21

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Stone Earle run for 1 yd to the MRSH 24

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Stone Earle run for 9 yds to the MRSH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Stone Earle pass complete to Jordan Houston for 6 yds to the MRSH 39

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.20

Jordan Houston run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Stone Earle pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 12 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Ethan Payne run for 9 yds to the WMU 29

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.30

Stone Earle run for 11 yds to the WMU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the WMU 15

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.91

Stone Earle sacked by Armani-Eli Adams for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 20

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Western Michigan Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the WMU 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 6 yds to the WMU 9

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.06

Ethan Payne run for 4 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Stone Earle run for 1 yd to the WMU 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Stone Earle run for 1 yd to the WMU 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the WMU 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Rece Verhoff 20 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Nathan Totten kickoff for 64 yds , Jaden Nixon return for 19 yds to the WMU 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the WMU 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.38

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 12 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Ryan Millmore punt for 52 yds , Elijah Metcalf returns for 4 yds to the MRSH 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

A.J. Turner run for no gain to the MRSH 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Stone Earle pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Stone Earle pass complete to Carl Chester for 10 yds to the MRSH 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Stone Earle pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 3 yds to the MRSH 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the MRSH 28

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Stone Earle run for 5 yds to the MRSH 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alec Clark punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Bugs Mortimer at the WMU 18

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Marshall Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 5 yds to the WMU 44

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Jaden Nixon run for 11 yds to the MRSH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Western Michigan Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the WMU 40

2nd & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 7 yds to the WMU 47

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ryan Millmore punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordan Houston run for 9 yds to the MRSH 23

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the MRSH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Stone Earle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+67 ydsPPA +4.54

A.J. Turner run for 67 yds to the WMU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Stone Earle pass incomplete

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Stone Earle pass complete to Carl Chester for 7 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Nathan Totten kickoff for 62 yds , Jaden Nixon return for 24 yds to the WMU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMU 24

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Millmore punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Elijah Metcalf at the MRSH 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 6 yds to the MRSH 44

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the MRSH 45

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.85

Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the WMU 46

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Stone Earle run for no gain to the WMU 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Stone Earle pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alec Clark punt for 37 yds, downed at the WMU 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMU 10

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the WMU 29

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Jaden Nixon run for 6 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Jaden Nixon run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Marshall Penalty, Sideline Interference (5 Yards) to the MRSH 45

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the MRSH 44

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the MRSH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the MRSH 36

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the MRSH 36

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.18

Jaden Nixon run for 36 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 33 yds , Justin Holmes return for no gain to the MRSH 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

A.J. Turner run for 6 yds to the MRSH 38

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.52

Stone Earle run for 15 yds to the WMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the WMU 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Stone Earle pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Stone Earle pass complete to Carl Chester for 5 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the WMU 33

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Stone Earle run for 2 yds to the WMU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Stone Earle pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 18 yds to the WMU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tychaun Chapman run for 3 yds to the WMU 10

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Stone Earle pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Stone Earle run for no gain to the WMU 10

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 yds

Rece Verhoff 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 8 yds to the WMU 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 22 yds to the MRSH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Jaden Nixon run for 10 yds to the MRSH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the MRSH 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the MRSH 25

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the MRSH 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Jaden Nixon run for 18 yds to the MRSH 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 3 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 63 yds , Ian Foster return for 22 yds to the MRSH 24

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Stone Earle run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 23 Stone Earle fumbled, recovered by MRSH Stone Earle S. Earle return for 0 yds

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 3 yds to the MRSH 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Stone Earle pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+27 yds

Alec Clark punt for 35 yds , Bugs Mortimer returns for 27 yds to the MRSH 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the MRSH 29

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the MRSH 27

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 28

4th & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

Luka Zurak 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Stone Earle pass complete to A.J. Turner for 8 yds to the MRSH 43

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -2.79

Stone Earle run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 41 Stone Earle fumbled, recovered by WMU Jayden Childers J. Childers return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the MRSH 38

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaden Nixon run for 6 yds to the MRSH 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the MRSH 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the MRSH 28

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 30

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.76

Hayden Wolff run for no gain to the MRSH 30 Hayden Wolff fumbled, recovered by MRSH Jaden Yates J. Yates return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

A.J. Turner run for 14 yds to the MRSH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.43

A.J. Turner run for 22 yds to the WMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Stone Earle pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 34 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(07:37) WOLFF, Hayden pass to the left incomplete dropped by SAMBUCCI, Anthony thrown to the WMU37; QB hurried by GREEN, Mike, clock 07:33. PENALTY WMU Holding on GIDEON, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the WMU25 to the WMU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 4 yds to the WMU 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

3rd & 16Penalty+15 yds

Marshall Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jacobie Henderson) to the WMU 34 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the WMU 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA +2.29

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 3 yds fumbled, forced by J.J. Roberts, recovered by WMU Zahir Abdus-Salaam Z. Abdus-Salaam return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Jaden Nixon run for 13 yds to the MRSH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Malique Dieudonne run for no gain to the MRSH 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 8 yds to the MRSH 35

4th & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 11 yds to the MRSH 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the MRSH 19

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the MRSH 18

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the MRSH 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 4 yds to the MRSH 10

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 5 yds to the MRSH 5

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 7

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.99

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

(00:31) [NH] Kneel down by MAR at MAR5 (team loss of 2), clock 00:27.

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Marshall

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play