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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 27.9

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 94%

Market (ESPN Bet)

South Alabama -36.5

Edge: Northwestern State +36.5 (8.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northwestern State
1000010
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
242828787

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425670847-014-324-331-1045-1059-1066-1073-1087-10
South AlabamaNorthwestern State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSNSSANSSANSSANSSANSSANSSANSSANSSANSSANSSANSSANSNSSANSSATD30ydTO630ydTD139ydFG861ydTD572ydPUNT3-1ydFG963ydTD175ydTD575ydPUNT31ydTD343ydTO3-2ydTD14ydPUNT61ydMISS6-6ydPUNT36ydTD262ydEND510ydTD270ydPUNT610ydTD969ydPUNT32ydTD451ydTD34ydTO10ydTD522ydPUNT35ydEND31yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern State and South Alabama
StatisticNorthwestern StateSouth Alabama
Passing10-2515-19
Pass Yards171257
Rush Yards66365
Total Yards237622
Turnovers40
3rd Down3-154-7
Penalties7-607-60
Possession26:4733:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern State
passing
JT Fayard
9/23, 165 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Zay Davis
9 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Myles Kitt-Denton
3 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense
South Alabama
passing
Giovanni Lopez
15/19, 257 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Fluff Bothwell
7 CAR, 143 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jeremiah Webb
2 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt Return Touchdown+62 ydsPPA -6.71

Jamaal Pritchett 62 Yd Punt Return (Laith Marjan Kick)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kennieth Lacy run for 14 yds to the NWST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kennieth Lacy run for 3 yds to the NWST 42 Kennieth Lacy fumbled, recovered by NWST Matthew Broad

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

JT Fayard pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for 14 yds to the USA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.19

JT Fayard pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 45

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

JT Fayard pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.34

JT Fayard pass intercepted Jaden Voisin return for no gain to the NWST 39

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Jeremiah Webb 39 Yd pass from Gio Lopez (Laith Marjan Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

JT Fayard pass complete to Twon Hines for 18 yds to the NWST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zay Davis run for 3 yds to the NWST 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

JT Fayard pass complete to Joseph Moreland for 3 yds to the NWST 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.70

JT Fayard pass complete to Twon Hines for 31 yds to the USA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the USA 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

JT Fayard pass complete to Chance Newman for 7 yds to the USA 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 yds

Reed Honshtein 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Kentrel Bullock run for 20 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Gio Lopez pass complete to Shamar Sandgren for 9 yds to the NWST 43

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.28

Fluff Bothwell run for 4 yds to the NWST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.61

Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 27 yds to the NWST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 12 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

JT Fayard pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.66

Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 18 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Fluff Bothwell run for 8 yds to the NWST 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 9 yds to the NWST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the NWST 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.45

Gio Lopez pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 18 yds to the NWST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Iverson Celestine run for 6 yds to the NWST 9

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Celestine,Iverson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:45 PENALTY USA Illegal Shift (Pritchett,Jamaal) 5 yards from NSU09 to NSU14. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Gio Lopez run for 4 yds to the NWST 10

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Laith Marjan 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

JT Fayard pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 75 yds for a TD (Reed Honshtein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.47

Fluff Bothwell run for 56 yds to the NWST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Fluff Bothwell run for 6 yds to the NWST 13

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Northwestern State Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Isaiah Robinson) to the NWST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Bullock,Kentrel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:32 PENALTY USA Illegal Formation 5 yards from NSU05 to NSU10. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Kentrel Bullock run for 9 yds to the NWST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

JT Fayard run for 1 yd to the NWST 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chance Newman run for 5 yds to the NWST 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

(11:53) PENALTY NSU False Start (Rhone,Cadillac) 5 yards from NSU31 to NSU26. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt+27 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 44 yds , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 27 yds to the NWST 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.03

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 35 yds to the NWST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the NWST 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Fluff Bothwell run for 7 yds for a TD Northwestern State Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Williams) to the NWST 0 (Laith Marjan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the NWST 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

JT Fayard pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.21

JT Fayard pass intercepted Amarion Fortenberry return for no gain to the NWST 4

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 4 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for no gain to the NWST 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Chance Newman run for 3 yds to the NWST 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

JT Fayard pass complete to Ray Mckneely-Harris for 8 yds to the NWST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

JT Fayard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(07:11) Shotgun Davis,Zay rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NSU43 (Webb Jr.,Lardarius; Goodwill,Ty) PENALTY NSU Holding (Ballard,Stevie) 10 yards from NSU36 to NSU26. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

JT Fayard pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt+35 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NWST 26 , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 35 yds to the USA 39 Northwestern State Penalty, Illegal Formation (Twon Hines) to the NWST 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the NWST 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 12 yds to the NWST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the NWST 9

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Bullock,Kentrel rush left for 9 yards gain to the NSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:29 PENALTY USA Holding (Thomas,Trent) 10 yards from NSU09 to NSU19. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Gio Lopez pass complete to Shamar Sandgren for 2 yds to the NWST 17

3rd & 12Penalty-15 yds

South Alabama Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Malachi Preciado) to the NWST 32

4th & 27Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Laith Marjan 50 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 31

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Chance Newman run for 1 yd to the NWST 32

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Chance Newman pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 6 yds to the NWST 38

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamaal Pritchett at the USA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+57 ydsPPA +3.07

Fluff Bothwell run for 57 yds to the NWST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Fluff Bothwell run for 5 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Laith Marjan kickoff for 64 yds , Myles Kitt-Denton return for 24 yds to the NWST 25

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Zay Davis run for 7 yds to the NWST 32

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Zay Davis run for 8 yds to the NWST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zay Davis run for 3 yds to the NWST 43

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Zay Davis run for 14 yds to the USA 43 Northwestern State Penalty, Personal Foul (Twon Hines) to the NWST 32

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Tyler run for 3 yds to the NWST 35

0th & 18End of Half+3 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Gio Lopez pass complete to Devin Voisin for 11 yds to the USA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

Kentrel Bullock run for 59 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kennieth Lacy run for 6 yds to the NWST 19

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Kennieth Lacy run for 7 yds to the NWST 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

JT Fayard pass complete to Twon Hines for 10 yds to the NWST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kennieth Lacy run for no gain to the NWST 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

JT Fayard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.36

JT Fayard sacked by Maurice Strong Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 35

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Braylon McReynolds run for 8 yds to the USA 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.24

Gio Lopez pass complete to Iverson Celestine for 18 yds to the NWST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +0.84

PJ Martin run for 43 yds South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Malachi Preciado) to the USA 49

1st & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the NWST 47

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.59

Gio Lopez pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 33 yds to the NWST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Gio Lopez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

PJ Martin run for 4 yds to the NWST 10

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.89

Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 10 yds for a TD (Davis Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zay Davis run for 2 yds to the NWST 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zay Davis run for 5 yds to the NWST 32 Northwestern State Penalty, False Start (Kareame Cotton Jr.) to the NWST 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 49

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +1.87

PJ Martin run for 45 yds to the NWST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Martin,PJ rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NSU01 (Owens,Chancellor) PENALTY USA Illegal Formation 5 yards from NSU06 to NSU11. NO PLAY.

1st & 11Penalty-10 yds

(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Davenport,Bishop rush right for 11 yards gain to the NSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:03 PENALTY USA Holding (Gibbs,Rod) 10 yards from NSU11 to NSU21. NO PLAY.

1st & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

PJ Martin run for 8 yds to the NWST 13

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

PJ Martin run for 9 yds to the NWST 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

PJ Martin run for 4 yds for a TD (Davis Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the NWST 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Quaterius Hawkins run for 3 yds to the NWST 29

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown+30 ydsPPA -7.16

Chrystyile Caldwell 30 Yd Interception Return (Davis Little Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.92

Quaterius Hawkins run for no gain to the NWST 22 Quaterius Hawkins fumbled, recovered by USA Julien Demby

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Dorian Smith run for 9 yds to the NWST 13

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarvis Durr run for 4 yds to the NWST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jarvis Durr run for 2 yds to the NWST 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jarvis Durr run for 3 yds to the NWST 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Jarvis Durr run for 4 yds for a TD (Davis Little KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Davis Little kickoff for 60 yds , Zay Davis return for 28 yds to the NWST 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 6 yds to the NWST 39

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 4 yds to the NWST 35

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 3 yds to the NWST 38

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jarvis Durr run for 3 yds to the USA 4

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Kneel down by South Alabama at USA03 for loss of 1 yard.

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.07

Kneel down by South Alabama at USA02 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

Northwestern State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
22%
9 plays
25%
8 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
77%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th