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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 4.2

Home Win Probability

Nevada 38%

Market (Bovada)

Nevada +3

Edge: Fresno State -3 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
3147024
NevadaNevada
7140021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-37-1014-1021-1721-24
NevadaFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVTD675ydFG1049ydPUNT626ydTD1286ydTD468ydPUNT36ydDOWNS4-11ydTD316ydTD1483ydEND11ydPUNT424ydPUNT1041ydTD695ydPUNT3-8ydTO10ydDOWNS4-25ydDOWNS921ydPUNT67ydPUNT31ydPUNT530ydPUNT712ydEND214yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Nevada
StatisticFresno StateNevada
Passing13-2016-25
Pass Yards190211
Rush Yards12684
Total Yards316295
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-125-13
Penalties6-466-36
Possession27:3932:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Mikey Keene
13/20, 190 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah Gilliam
20 CAR, 66 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Elijah Gilliam
2 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Brendon Lewis
13/19, 158 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Savion Red
13 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaden Smith
9 REC, 134 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Brendon Lewis run for 12 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chubba Purdy for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 36

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the NEV 36

3rd & 11Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +4.45

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 55 yds to the FRES 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Savion Red run for 4 yds to the FRES 5

2nd & 5Penalty+2 yds

(11:31) QB Keeper LEWIS, Brendon rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the FST3 (NOMURA, Tuasivi;LANGLEY, Malachi), clock 11:28. PENALTY FST Offsides on BAUMGARTNER, Kavika enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the FST5 to the FST3 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Savion Red run for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 4 yds to the FRES 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 3 yds to the FRES 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 3 yds to the FRES 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 13 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 12 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Elijah Gilliam run for 10 yds to the NEV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the NEV 27

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Elijah Gilliam run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 4 yds to the NEV 26

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 yds

Dylan Lynch 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 65 yds , Marquis Ashley return for 23 yds to the NEV 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 9 yds to the NEV 32

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Savion Red run for 14 yds to the NEV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Marcus Bellon run for 6 yds to the FRES 48 Nevada Penalty, Illegal Block (Jaden Smith) to the NEV 41

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Brendon Lewis run for 8 yds to the NEV 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Moss at the FRES 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Bryson Donelson run for 3 yds to the FRES 17

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Mikey Keene run for 2 yds to the FRES 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.81

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 16 yds to the FRES 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.01

Mikey Keene sacked by Keyshawn Cobb for a loss of 12 yards to the FRES 23

2nd & 22Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.41

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.94

Bryson Donelson run for 14 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryson Donelson run for 5 yds to the NEV 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bryson Donelson run for 4 yds to the NEV 27

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.44

Bryson Donelson run for 12 yds to the NEV 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 5 yds to the NEV 10

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Elijah Gilliam run for 10 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 62 yds , Marquis Ashley return for 29 yds to the NEV 32 Marquis Ashley fumbled, recovered by NEV Chad Brown C. Brown return for 29 yds , return for 7 yds to the NEV 32

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(11:48) QB Keeper LEWIS, Brendon rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the NEV36 (CLARK, Dean), clock 11:40. PENALTY Before the snap, FST Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the NEV32 to the NEV37. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.52

Savion Red run for 3 yds to the NEV 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 5 yds to the NEV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Brendon Lewis run for 9 yds to the FRES 46

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.04

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Nate Burleson II for 46 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mikey Keene pass complete to Richie Anderson for 1 yd to the FRES 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bryson Donelson run for 5 yds to the FRES 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Savion Red run for 1 yd to the NEV 28

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the NEV 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 9Rush-12 ydsPPA +0.24

Guy Gillespie run for a loss of 12 yards to the NEV 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the NEV 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Mikey Keene pass complete to Nathan Acevedo for 10 yds to the NEV 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 53 yds , Marquis Ashley return for 5 yds to the NEV 17

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Brendon Lewis run for 14 yds to the NEV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 8 yds to the NEV 39

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.05

Savion Red run for 1 yd to the NEV 40

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Nevada Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEV 35

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Fresno State Penalty, Targeting on CLARK, Dean enforced (Dean Clark) to the FRES 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the FRES 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 4 yds to the FRES 31

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Savion Red run for 2 yds to the FRES 29

4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Savion Red run for 11 yds to the FRES 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Savion Red run for 3 yds to the FRES 15

2nd & 7Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.37

Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the FRES 13 Nevada Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marcus Bellon) to the FRES 24

2nd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.98

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 15 yds to the FRES 9

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Savion Red run for 3 yds to the FRES 2

3rd & 1Penalty+4 yds

WOODS, Ky rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the FST8 (EMBRY, Jakari), clock 00:22. PENALTY Before the snap, FST Illegal Substitution enforced 4 yards from the FST9 to the FST5 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Bryson Donelson run for 1 yd to the FRES 16

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 50 yds , Jordan Brown return for no gain to the FRES 15

0th & 20End of Half+84 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Mikey Keene pass complete to Nathan Acevedo for 16 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the FRES 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the FRES 49

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the FRES 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jaden Smith for 8 yds to the NEV 18

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Savion Red run for 4 yds to the NEV 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Marcus Bellon run for 1 yd to the NEV 23

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Savion Red run for 4 yds to the NEV 27

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

(10:22) LEWIS, Brendon pass to the right complete for 8 yards to SMITH, Jaden caught at the NEV33 and advanced to the NEV35 (LOCKRIDGE, Cameron;JACKSON, Phoenix), clock 10:17. PENALTY NEV Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BRAHAM, Cortez enforced 5 yards from the NEV27 to the NEV22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(09:54) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Jaden thrown to the FST46, clock 09:51. PENALTY FST Pass Interference on NEAL, Julian enforced 15 yards to the NEV37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Patrick Garwo III run for 3 yds to the NEV 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 3 yds to the NEV 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Patrick Garwo III for 6 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the FRES 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

AJ Bianco punt for 44 yds, downed at the FRES 5

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Elijah Gilliam run for 7 yds to the FRES 12

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+71 ydsPPA +4.48

Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 71 yds to the NEV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 10 yds to the NEV 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Joshua Wood run for 7 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 65 yds , Marquis Ashley return for 23 yds to the NEV 23

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Sean Dollars run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 22

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.41

Brendon Lewis sacked by Malachi Langley and TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the NEV 15

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Moss at the FRES 45

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.72

Mikey Keene pass intercepted Drue Watts return for no gain to the FRES 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 2 yds to the FRES 46

2nd & 8Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.19

Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 6 yards to the NEV 48

3rd & 14Penalty-11 yds

Nevada Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brendon Lewis) to the NEV 37

4th & 25Rush-10 ydsPPA +0.34

Guy Gillespie run for a loss of 10 yards to the NEV 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the NEV 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the NEV 23

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the NEV 19

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.84

Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the NEV 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Elijah Gilliam run for 11 yds to the NEV 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Elijah Gilliam run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 5

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Joshua Wood run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.87

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the NEV 11

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Savion Red run for 3 yds to the NEV 14

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the NEV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.80

Brendon Lewis sacked by Malachi Langley for a loss of 9 yards to the NEV 8

2nd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 1 yd to the NEV 9

3rd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Patrick Garwo III run for 4 yds to the NEV 13

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalen Moss at the NEV 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bryson Donelson run for 6 yds to the NEV 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Bryson Donelson run for 2 yds to the NEV 40

3rd & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.49

Mikey Keene sacked by Henry Ikahihifo for a loss of 7 yards to the NEV 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 43 yds, downed at the NEV 4

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

Nevada Penalty, Personal Foul (Cortez Braham Jr.) to the NEV 6

2nd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.06

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jaden Smith for 31 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the NEV 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.00

Chubba Purdy sacked by Devo Bridges for a loss of 7 yards to the NEV 34

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Elijah Gilliam run for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 43

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Nathan Acevedo run for 8 yds to the NEV 49

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the NEV 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Mikey Keene run for 2 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the NEV 43

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the NEV 42

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 4 yds to the NEV 38

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Fresno State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NEV 43

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 37 yds, downed at the NEV 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.51

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jaden Smith for 14 yds to the NEV 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
46%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
36%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
11%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play