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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 0.3

Home Win Probability

UNLV 46%

Market (Bovada)

UNLV -2.5

Edge: Fresno State +2.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
007714
UNLVUNLV
147102859

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-028-031-031-738-745-1459-14
UNLVFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSFSUNLFSUNLTO222ydPUNT39ydPUNT32ydPUNT544ydPUNT3-1ydTD329ydTD918ydPUNT835ydDOWNS681ydTO645ydTD742ydTO645ydEND33ydTD575ydDOWNS735ydFG633ydTD1066ydTD668ydPUNT419ydTD566ydTD1075ydTO21ydTD525ydDOWNS628ydEND38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and UNLV
StatisticFresno StateUNLV
Passing28-4514-17
Pass Yards316198
Rush Yards30254
Total Yards346452
Turnovers40
3rd Down6-142-8
Penalties7-788-67
Possession33:2026:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Mikey Keene
27/41, 316 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Johnathan Arceneaux
4 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Raylen Sharpe
10 REC, 116 YDS
defense
UNLV
passing
Hajj-Malik Williams
13/16, 182 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Hajj-Malik Williams
12 CAR, 119 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ricky White
10 REC, 127 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 22 yds to the FRES 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -2.90

Joshua Wood pass intercepted Cameron Oliver return for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kylin James run for 3 yds to the UNLV 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 14

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 12 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 16 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

WILLIAMS, Hajj-Malik scrambles to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the UNLV48 (AGINA, Kosi), clock 10:47. PENALTY FSU Holding on LOCKRIDGE, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the UNLV41 to the FSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Greg Burrell run for 2 yds to the FRES 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 4 yds to the FRES 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 39 yds, downed at the FRES 4

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 3

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 3

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+18 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 44 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 18 yds to the FRES 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.27

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 18 yds to the FRES 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the FRES 6

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.45

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 6 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 7 yds to the FRES 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the FRES 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 4 yards to the FRES 33

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 7 yds to the FRES 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kamron Beachem for 14 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.98

Mikey Keene sacked by Mani Powell for a loss of 10 yards to the FRES 44

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Mikey Keene pass complete to Josiah Freeman for 10 yds to the UNLV 46

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.62

Mikey Keene sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the FRES 43 Mikey Keene fumbled, recovered by FRES , return for 0 yards

4th & 21Blocked Punt Touchdown+13 ydsPPA -6.75

Ricky White III 13 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Caden Chittenden Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 15 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Joshua Wood pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for no gain to the FRES 40

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Joshua Wood run for 4 yds to the FRES 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.18

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 25 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

KEENE, Mikey pass to the left incomplete intended for MOSS, Jalen thrown to the UNLV19, clock 12:16. PENALTY FSU Holding on TAUMALOLO, Daniel enforced 10 yards from the UNLV30 to the UNLV40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 19Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for no gain to the UNLV 40

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 18

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.63

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 21 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +2.54

Kylin James run for 53 yds to the FRES 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 7 yds to the FRES 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Hajj-Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Devin Green run for 1 yd to the FRES 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Hajj-Malik Williams run for no gain to the FRES 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mikey Keene run for 3 yds to the FRES 4

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the FRES 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.31

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 21 yds to the FRES 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the FRES 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.80

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 14 yds to the FRES 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+27 ydsPPA -2.82

Mikey Keene pass intercepted Johnathan Baldwin return for 27 yds to the FRES 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Greg Burrell run for 4 yds to the FRES 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Greg Burrell run for 3 yds to the FRES 35

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the FRES 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 12 yds to the FRES 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 6 yds to the FRES 13

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the FRES 12

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.75

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 12 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 2 yds to the FRES 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mikey Keene run for no gain to the FRES 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.53

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 28 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

UNLV Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cameron Oliver) to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.63

Mikey Keene pass intercepted Jalen Catalon return for no gain to the UNLV 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 2

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 4

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Greg Burrell run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.38

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 19 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 8 yds to the UNLV 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.07

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 34 yds to the FRES 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 17 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 13 yds to the FRES 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.99

Mikey Keene run for a loss of 7 yards to the FRES 31 Mikey Keene fumbled, recovered by FRES Mikey Keene M. Keene return for 0 yds

2nd & 17Penalty+15 yds

UNLV Penalty, Roughing the Passer on ELAD, Jett enforced (Jett Elad) to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Mac Dalena run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 40

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(10:09) WILLIAMS, Hajj-Malik pass deep up the middle intercepted by SHARPE, Raylen at the FSU10 intended for WHITE III, Ricky. Sharpe return for 0 yards to the FSU10, End of Play, clock 10:01. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference on LOCKRIDGE, Cameron enforced 15 yards to the FSU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kylin James run for 3 yds to the FRES 42

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 16 yds to the FRES 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kylin James run for 3 yds to the FRES 23

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.13

Kylin James run for a loss of 4 yards to the FRES 27

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the FRES 27

4th & 11Field Goal Good+45 yds

Caden Chittenden 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Caden Chittenden kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 29 yds to the FRES 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 8 yds to the FRES 42

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.34

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 42

3rd & 2Penalty+8 yds

(05:54) KEENE, Mikey pass to the right incomplete intended for SHARPE, Raylen thrown to the FSU50, clock 05:36. PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference on BALDWIN, Johnathan enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the FSU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 8 yds to the UNLV 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.99

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kamron Beachem for 3 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the UNLV 33

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Elijah Gilliam run for 7 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 4 yds to the UNLV 22

2nd & 6Penalty+9 yds

(02:57) KEENE, Mikey pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MOSS, Jalen thrown to the UNLV0, clock 02:53. PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference on GRIMES, Tony enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the UNLV13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+7 yds

UNLV Penalty, Illegal Block (Jackson Woodard) to the UNLV 6

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.24

Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 57 yds , Jacob De Jesus return for 24 yds to the UNLV 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jai'Den Thomas run for 8 yds to the UNLV 40

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Jai'Den Thomas run for 9 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 13 yds to the FRES 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(00:53) WILLIAMS, Hajj-Malik pass to the left complete for 37 yards to DE JESUS, Jacob caught at the FSU40 and advanced to the FSU1 (SHARPE, Raylen), clock 00:43. PENALTY UNLV Holding on BRADLEY, Jaden enforced 10 yards from the FSU38 to the FSU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.29

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 24 yds to the FRES 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 9 yds to the FRES 15

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 15 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Caden Chittenden kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 6 yds to the FRES 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 10 yds to the FRES 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Mikey Keene pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 6 yds to the FRES 22

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 3 yds to the FRES 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Greg Burrell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 38

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Fresno State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on FOREMAN, Korey enforced (Korey Foreman) to the FRES 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.32

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 20 yds to the FRES 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Green run for 4 yds to the FRES 7

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 18 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the FRES 44

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.65

Mikey Keene sacked by Fisher Camac for a loss of 7 yards to the FRES 37

3rd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.69

Mikey Keene pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 6 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Mikey Keene sacked by Jeremiah Vessel for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.12

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 20 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 12 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Elijah Gilliam run for 5 yds to the UNLV 9

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 9 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+90 yds

Jai'Den Thomas 90 Yd Kickoff Return (Caden Chittenden Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Bryson Donelson run for 1 yd to the FRES 26

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA -0.33

Jayden Mandal pass intercepted Jeremiah Vessel return for 15 yds to the FRES 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UNLV Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FRES 30

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Greg Burrell run for 7 yds to the FRES 23

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Greg Burrell run for 2 yds to the FRES 21

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Greg Burrell run for 5 yds to the FRES 16

4th & 1Penalty+8 yds

Fresno State Penalty, Personal Foul (Tim Thomas) to the FRES 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Timothy Conerly run for 7 yds to the FRES 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cameron Friel run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 3 yds to the FRES 28

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.37

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 20 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Johnathan Arceneaux run for 7 yds to the UNLV 45

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Johnathan Arceneaux run for no gain to the UNLV 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Joshua Wood pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Joshua Wood run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 47

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

DeAngelo Irvin Jr. run for 5 yds to the FRES 48

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Devin Green run for 5 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

(00:22) [NHSG] Kneel down by UNLV at FSU45 (team loss of 2).

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
34 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
63%
27 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play