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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1
NevadaNevada
28
-Final
26
TroyTroy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 31.5

Home Win Probability

Troy 95%

Market (Bovada)

Troy -7.5

Edge: Troy -7.5 (23.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NevadaNevada
0615728
TroyTroy
773926

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-617-1417-2117-2820-2826-28
TroyNevada

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TRONEVTRONEVTRONEVTRONEVTRONEVTRONEVTRONEVTRONEVTRONEVTRONEVPUNT35ydPUNT36ydPUNT31ydPUNT34ydTD1184ydDOWNS939ydPUNT67ydMISS1051ydTD570ydTD857ydEND213ydTD375ydFG1369ydTD779ydPUNT33ydTD636ydFG1374ydPUNT625ydTD975ydEND111yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nevada and Troy
StatisticNevadaTroy
Passing18-2120-30
Pass Yards179201
Rush Yards214190
Total Yards393391
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-129-15
Penalties4-454-40
Possession29:3530:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nevada
passing
Brendon Lewis
17/20, 158 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Savion Red
11 CAR, 135 YDS
receiving
Jaden Smith
6 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Drue Watts
1.5 TFL
Troy
passing
Will Crowder
20/30, 201 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Damien Taylor
11 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devonte Ross
7 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 65 yds , Jordan Lovett return for 24 yds to the TROY 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Goose Crowder run for 5 yds to the TROY 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for no gain to the NEV 33

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Sean Dollars run for no gain to the NEV 33

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the NEV 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Peyton Higgins at the TROY 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the TROY 21

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Gerald Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 18

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the NEV 47

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds to the TROY 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.59

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 49

4th & 6Punt+7 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 42 yds , Peyton Higgins returns for 7 yds to the TROY 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jordan Lovett run for 7 yds to the TROY 23

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.26

Jordan Lovett run for 5 yds to the TROY 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Goose Crowder pass complete to Ethan Conner for 7 yds to the TROY 35

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Jordan Lovett run for 8 yds to the TROY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Goose Crowder run for no gain to the TROY 43

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the TROY 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.56

Goose Crowder pass complete to Ethan Conner for 10 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Goose Crowder pass complete to Jordan Lovett for 1 yd to the NEV 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.53

Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 18 yds to the NEV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Damien Taylor run for 25 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Nick Troemel kickoff for 58 yds , Marquis Ashley return for 20 yds to the NEV 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the NEV 30

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.40

Savion Red run for 9 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the NEV 46

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Savion Red run for 1 yd to the NEV 47

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Patrick Garwo III run for 10 yds to the TROY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Patrick Garwo III run for 8 yds to the TROY 35

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Patrick Garwo III run for 1 yd to the TROY 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.63

Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the TROY 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Goose Crowder run for no gain to the TROY 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.52

Goose Crowder run for 10 yds to the TROY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Damien Taylor run for no gain to the TROY 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Goose Crowder pass complete to Jordan Lovett for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 41

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 40 yds, downed at the NEV 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 8 yds to the NEV 27

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Brendon Lewis run for 10 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Savion Red run for 5 yds to the NEV 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the NEV 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Patrick Garwo III run for 3 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.38

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 31 yds to the TROY 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(08:15) RED, Savion rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the TRO14, out of bounds, clock 08:09. PENALTY NEV Holding on HAWKINS, Deston enforced 10 yards from the TRO21 to the TRO31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 1 yd to the TROY 30

2nd & 19Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for no gain to the TROY 30

3rd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the TROY 30

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Matthew Killam 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Gerald Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 5 yds to the TROY 33

3rd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.28

Goose Crowder run for 12 yds to the NEV 45 for a 1ST down Nevada Penalty, Defensive Holding (Chad Brown) to the NEV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.91

Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 29 yds to the NEV 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Gerald Green run for 16 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Paddy Mcateer kickoff for 65 yds , Marquis Ashley return for 43 yds to the NEV 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 11 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jace Henry for 7 yds to the TROY 39

2nd & 3Penalty-15 yds

(02:20) LEWIS, Brendon pass short to the left complete for 3 yards to HENRY, Jace caught at the TRO36 and advanced to the TRO36 (JACKSON, Brendan), clock 02:16. PENALTY NEV Illegal use of the hands on BOLLES, John enforced 15 yards from the TRO39 to the NEV46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.45

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 25 yds to the TROY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jace Henry for 7 yds to the TROY 22

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the TROY 20

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

Patrick Garwo III run for 3 yds to the TROY 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jace Henry for 17 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 59 yds , Jordan Lovett return for 7 yds to the TROY 13

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Nevada Penalty, Defensive Holding (Mackavelli Malotumau) to the TROY 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

(00:04) Kneel down by CROWDER, Goose at TRO26 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+69 ydsPPA +4.03

Savion Red run for 69 yds to the TROY 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Patrick Garwo III run for 5 yds to the TROY 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Patrick Garwo III run for 1 yd for a TD (Brendon Lewis pass to Jaden Smith for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 58 yds , Jordan Lovett return for 12 yds to the TROY 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the TROY 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.52

Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 20 yds to the TROY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 19 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the NEV 36

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the NEV 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Goose Crowder run for 3 yds to the NEV 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 7 yds to the NEV 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 10 yds to the NEV 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Damien Taylor run for no gain to the NEV 8

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Goose Crowder run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 12

3rd & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Paddy Mcateer kickoff for 65 yds , Marquis Ashley return for 21 yds to the NEV 21

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.24

Savion Red run for 26 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 4 yds to the TROY 49

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Patrick Garwo III run for no gain to the TROY 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.65

AJ Bianco pass complete to Jaden Smith for 21 yds to the TROY 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Savion Red run for 8 yds to the TROY 20

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.83

Sean Dollars run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 22

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.10

Patrick Garwo III run for 22 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Goose Crowder pass complete to Ethan Conner for 1 yd to the TROY 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Goose Crowder pass complete to Landon Parker for 4 yds to the TROY 30

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Goose Crowder run for a loss of 2 yards to the TROY 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Robert Cole punt for 8 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Savion Red run for 5 yds to the TROY 31 Savion Red fumbled, recovered by NEV return for 0 yds

2nd & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.96

Caleb Ramseur run for a loss of 6 yards to the TROY 37

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.26

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 16 yds to the TROY 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 12 yds to the TROY 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Savion Red run for 2 yds to the TROY 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Killam KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Goose Crowder pass complete to Devonte Ross for 3 yds to the TROY 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Goose Crowder pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 6 yds to the TROY 34

3rd & 1Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.09

Damien Taylor run for 30 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Damien Taylor run for 7 yds to the NEV 29

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Troy Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the NEV 34

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Damien Taylor run for 6 yds to the NEV 28

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.29

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the NEV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Goose Crowder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Troy Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the NEV 30

2nd & 15Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.92

Damien Taylor run for 25 yds to the NEV 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Damien Taylor run for no gain to the NEV 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the NEV 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Gerald Green run for no gain to the NEV 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+19 yds

Scott Taylor Renfroe 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Savion Red run for 6 yds to the NEV 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 18 yds to the NEV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Savion Red run for 6 yds to the TROY 48

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.69

Savion Red run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 25 yds, downed at the TROY 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the TROY 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 5 yds to the TROY 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Goose Crowder pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 11 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Goose Crowder sacked by Henry Ikahihifo and Kristopher Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 47

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Goose Crowder run for 5 yds to the NEV 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 9 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.57

Goose Crowder pass complete to Landon Parker for 23 yds to the NEV 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Devonte Ross 16 Yd pass from Goose Crowder (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Uncategorized-11 yds

fumbled, recovered by TROY Damien Taylor D. Taylor return for 0 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Troy Penalty, Targeting on TAYLOR, Damien enforced (Damien Taylor) to the TROY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

(00:17) [SG] Kneel down by LEWIS, Brendon at TRO42 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
68%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
28 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
78%
9 plays
4th
100%
1 play