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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Sam Houston by 4

Home Win Probability

Sam Houston 53%

Market (Bovada)

Sam Houston -4

Edge: Hawai'i +4 (0.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Hawai'iHawai'i
0310013
Sam HoustonSam Houston
7107731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-317-317-1024-1331-13
Sam HoustonHawai'i

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SHHAWSHHAWSHHAWSHHAWSHHAWSHHAWHAWSHHAWSHHAWSHHAWSHHAWSHTD975ydPUNT38ydTO19ydMISS65ydPUNT36ydPUNT31ydPUNT727ydFG745ydTD1675ydTO216ydFG727ydEND98ydTD1175ydTD593ydFG1255ydTO37ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT49ydPUNT3-4ydTD468ydDOWNS731ydEND1238yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Hawai'i and Sam Houston
StatisticHawai'iSam Houston
Passing21-4215-23
Pass Yards252165
Rush Yards56261
Total Yards308426
Turnovers12
3rd Down2-147-15
Penalties14-1224-45
Possession25:3834:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Hawai'i
passing
Brayden Schager
21/42, 252 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cam Barfield
5 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Pofele Ashlock
8 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Sam Houston
passing
Hunter Watson
15/23, 165 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jevyon Ducker
15 CAR, 148 YDS
receiving
Qua'Vez Humphreys
4 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hunter Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Hunter Watson run for 9 yds to the SHSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.47

Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 40 yds to the HAW 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Noah Smith run for 4 yds to the HAW 20

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

DJ McKinney run for 7 yds to the HAW 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 4 yds to the HAW 9

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

DJ McKinney run for 2 yds to the HAW 7

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.73

Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 7 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 4 yds to the HAW 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 6 yds to the HAW 21

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 59 yds , Emon Allen returns for no gain to the SHSU 20

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -0.61

DJ McKinney run for 9 yds to the SHSU 29 DJ McKinney fumbled, recovered by HAW Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Cam Barfield run for 7 yds to the SHSU 22

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.10

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 9 yds to the SHSU 13 for a 1ST down

2nd & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Barfield run for 4 yds to the SHSU 24

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 21Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Kansei Matsuzawa 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 23

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Hunter Watson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+3 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 47 yds , Tylan Hines returns for 3 yds to the HAW 26

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Brayden Schager run for 6 yds to the HAW 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 10

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Hunter Watson run for 8 yds to the SHSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Jay Ducker run for 8 yds to the SHSU 26

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 4 yds to the SHSU 33

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Hunter Watson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+16 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 42 yds , Tylan Hines returns for 16 yds to the HAW 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Cam Barfield run for 6 yds to the HAW 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.25

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 52 yds to the SHSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 23Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 7 yds to the SHSU 16

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Good+33 yds

Kansei Matsuzawa 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 5 yds to the SHSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

John Gentry run for 3 yds to the SHSU 27

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Hunter Watson run for 8 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 36

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Noah Smith run for no gain to the SHSU 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.58

Hunter Watson pass complete to Jay Ducker for 10 yds to the SHSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hunter Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 10 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hunter Watson run for 5 yds to the HAW 39

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

DJ McKinney run for 2 yds to the HAW 37

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Hunter Watson run for 11 yds to the HAW 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 28

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the HAW 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 12 yds to the HAW 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Hunter Watson run for 1 yd to the HAW 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Ife Adeyi run for 9 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 16 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.34

Brayden Schager pass intercepted Caleb Weaver return for no gain to the HAW 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Hunter Watson run for 4 yds to the HAW 32

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

DJ McKinney run for 9 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.61

Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 17 yds to the HAW 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

DJ McKinney run for 1 yd to the HAW 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hunter Watson run for 4 yds to the HAW 9

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Hunter Watson run for no gain to the HAW 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Christian Pavon 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Christian Pavon kickoff for 57 yds , Tylan Hines return for 26 yds to the HAW 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Brayden Schager run for 9 yds to the HAW 43

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.00

Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the HAW 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 14 yds to the SHSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the SHSU 37

2nd & 30Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 30Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 42

0th & 30End of Half+4 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the SHSU 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 6 yds to the SHSU 34

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.10

Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the SHSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Cam Barfield run for 7 yds to the SHSU 22

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.10

Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 9 yds to the SHSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the SHSU 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 7 yds to the SHSU 5

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.91

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+86 ydsPPA +4.68

Jay Ducker run for 86 yds to the HAW 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Hunter Watson pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 2 yds to the HAW 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

DJ McKinney run for 1 yd to the HAW 4

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the HAW 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Hunter Watson pass complete to John Gentry for 3 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brayden Schager run for 4 yds to the HAW 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 7 yds to the HAW 41

4th & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.18

Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 13 yds to the SHSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the SHSU 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.55

Brayden Schager pass complete to Cam Barfield for 16 yds to the SHSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 9 yds to the SHSU 20

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.40

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 10 yds to the SHSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 30Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.31

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 20 yds to the SHSU 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Kansei Matsuzawa 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Hunter Watson run for 3 yds to the SHSU 42

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.21

Hunter Watson pass intercepted Cam Stone return for no gain to the HAW 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Brayden Schager run for 3 yds to the HAW 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Noah Smith at the SHSU 35

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Noah Smith at the SHSU 35

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Qua'Vez Humphreys run for 10 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hunter Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Hunter Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Hunter Watson pass complete to John Gentry for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 44

4th & 11Punt+44 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 44 yds Tylan Hines return for 20 yds to the HAW 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 3 yds to the HAW 23

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Brayden Schager sacked by Chris Murray for a loss of 7 yards to the HAW 16

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Noah Smith at the SHSU 32

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the SHSU 39

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 41

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 55 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Christian Pavon kickoff for 63 yds , Tylan Hines return for 19 yds to the HAW 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 6 yds to the HAW 27

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.51

Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the HAW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 36

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -3.03

Brayden Schager sacked by Briceon Hayes for a loss of 11 yards to the HAW 40 Brayden Schager fumbled, recovered by HAW Zhen Sotelo , return for 0 yards

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 21Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 12 yds to the SHSU 48

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

DJ McKinney run for 8 yds to the HAW 44

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

DJ McKinney run for 1 yd to the HAW 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Jay Ducker run for no gain to the HAW 43

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.15

Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

DJ McKinney run for 3 yds to the HAW 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Hunter Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

DJ McKinney run for 1 yd to the HAW 34

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.30

Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the HAW 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Jay Ducker run for 10 yds to the HAW 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the HAW 10

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

H. Watson takes a knee

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

H. Watson takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Hawai'i

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Sam Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
39%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays