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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 25.5

Home Win Probability

New Mexico State 7%

Market (Bovada)

New Mexico State +18

Edge: Western Kentucky -18 (7.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
141071041
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
7014728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-147-147-217-2414-2421-3121-3828-41
New Mexico StateWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKNMSWKTD470ydTO10ydTD628ydTD1370ydTD779ydTO626ydPUNT31ydMISS843ydTO27ydTO1246ydFG959ydPUNT65ydTO10ydTD536ydPUNT36ydTD692ydTD975ydPUNT32ydPUNT37ydTO335ydTD651ydPUNT36ydPUNT33ydTO219ydFG41ydTD1075ydEND516yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and New Mexico State
StatisticWestern KentuckyNew Mexico State
Passing19-2810-22
Pass Yards297129
Rush Yards116331
Total Yards413460
Turnovers25
3rd Down9-159-16
Penalties1-101-5
Possession30:3029:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Caden Veltkamp
18/27, 246 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Elijah Young
16 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Kisean Johnson
5 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense
New Mexico State
passing
Santino Marucci
10/20, 129 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Michael Washington
19 CAR, 152 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Seth McGowan
3 REC, 47 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 64 yds , Easton Messer return for 29 yds to the WKU 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Childress run for 3 yds to the WKU 33

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.16

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 10 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 54 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 61 yds , Larenzo McMillan return for 22 yds to the NMSU 26

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -0.99

Santino Marucci pass intercepted Dallas Walker return for 2 yds to the NMSU 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the NMSU 24

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

George Hart III run for no gain to the NMSU 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Noah Meyers for 19 yds to the NMSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the NMSU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the NMSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 55 yds , Larenzo McMillan return for 20 yds to the NMSU 30

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Mike Washington run for 10 yds to the NMSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the NMSU 42

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Mike Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Santino Marucci pass complete to Tim Gans for 14 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Santino Marucci run for 4 yds to the WKU 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Santino Marucci run for 2 yds to the WKU 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Santino Marucci pass complete to TJ Pride for 12 yds to the WKU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Santino Marucci run for 11 yds to the WKU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tim Gans run for 7 yds to the WKU 9

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the WKU 7

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Brandon Nunez run for 5 yds to the WKU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Brandon Nunez run for 1 yd to the WKU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Mike Washington run for 1 yd for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 65 yds , Easton Messer return for 21 yds to the WKU 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 7 yds to the WKU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 7 yds to the WKU 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 43

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.46

George Hart III run for 6 yds to the WKU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Dalvin Smith pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 51 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the NMSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Mike Washington run for 8 yds to the NMSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Mike Washington run for 11 yds to the NMSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Seth McGowan run for 3 yds to the WKU 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brandon Nunez pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+22 ydsPPA -1.46

Santino Marucci pass intercepted Anthony Johnson Jr. return for 22 yds to the NMSU 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the NMSU 41

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 24

2nd & 6Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.55

Mike Washington run for 25 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the WKU 47 Mike Washington fumbled, recovered by NMSU return for 0 yds

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Santino Marucci pass complete to TJ Pride for 11 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the WKU 31

2nd & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.96

Jordan Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the WKU 37

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Abraham Montano 54 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 7 yds to the WKU 44

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.66

Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Da'Marcus Crosby return for no gain to the NMSU 37

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Seth McGowan run for 12 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tim Gans run for 4 yds to the WKU 47

2nd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Mike Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMSU 48

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -3.69

Brandon Nunez run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 17 Brandon Nunez fumbled, recovered by WKU Hosea Wheeler H. Wheeler return for 0 yds

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Santino Marucci pass complete to Seth McGowan for 10 yds to the WKU 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.96

Brandon Nunez run for 2 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brandon Nunez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Nunez run for no gain to the WKU 40

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.36

Brandon Nunez run for 15 yds to the WKU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Seth McGowan run for 13 yds to the WKU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Santino Marucci pass complete to Seth McGowan for 3 yds to the WKU 9

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKU 14

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.29

Elijah Young run for 18 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 13 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Elijah Young run for 9 yds to the NMSU 43

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the NMSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to George Hart III for 5 yds to the NMSU 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 7 yds to the NMSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 4 yds to the NMSU 24

2nd & 6Field Goal Good+42 yds

Lucas Carneiro 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the NMSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tim Gans run for 5 yds to the NMSU 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Tim Gans run for 2 yds to the NMSU 45

3rd & 3Rush-15 ydsPPA -1.80

Santino Marucci run for a loss of 15 yards to the NMSU 30

4th & 18Punt0 yds

George Eberle punt for 43 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 27

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.07

Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Dakerric Hobbs return for no gain to the WKU 36

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.43

Seth McGowan run for 19 yds to the WKU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the WKU 14

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brandon Nunez run for 4 yds to the WKU 10

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.25

Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the WKU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Mike Washington run for 3 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 64 yds , Easton Messer return for 36 yds to the WKU 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 39

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 49 yds , Jordan Smith returns for no gain to the NMSU 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the NMSU 11

2nd & 7Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.69

Mike Washington run for 47 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Santino Marucci pass complete to Tim Gans for 1 yd to the WKU 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Santino Marucci pass complete to Seth McGowan for 34 yds to the WKU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Seth McGowan run for 7 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 7 yds to the WKU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 9 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Caden Veltkamp sacked by Tyler Martinez for a loss of 6 yards to the WKU 35

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

George Hart III run for 5 yds to the WKU 40

3rd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.29

Caden Veltkamp run for 16 yds to the NMSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the NMSU 43

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the NMSU 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.40

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 34 yds to the NMSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 65 yds , Larenzo McMillan return for 16 yds to the NMSU 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the NMSU 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+13 yds

George Eberle punt for 50 yds , K.D. Hutchinson returns for 13 yds to the WKU 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds to the NMSU 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jordan Smith at the NMSU 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Santino Marucci run for 4 yds to the NMSU 20

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Seth McGowan run for 16 yds to the NMSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -1.85

Mike Washington run for 15 yds to the WKU 49 Mike Washington fumbled, recovered by WKU Devonte' Mathews D. Mathews return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the NMSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

YOUNG, Elijah rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the NMSU35 (CHARLES, Josiah). PENALTY WKU Holding on WIBBERLEY, Evan enforced 10 yards from the NMSU41 to the WKU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 19Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.23

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to George Hart III for 21 yds to the NMSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the NMSU 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.88

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 28 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 60 yds , Larenzo McMillan return for 9 yds to the NMSU 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the NMSU 16

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the NMSU 20

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

George Eberle punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds to the WKU 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jordan Smith at the NMSU 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Mike Washington run for 9 yds to the NMSU 26

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -1.49

Brandon Nunez run for 10 yds to the NMSU 36 Brandon Nunez fumbled, recovered by WKU Dave Herard D. Herard return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the NMSU 35

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Jalen Hampton run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 36

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the NMSU 35

4th & 9Field Goal Good+53 yds

Lucas Carneiro 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the NMSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Santino Marucci pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 7 yds to the NMSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Seth McGowan run for 12 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Santino Marucci run for 3 yds to the WKU 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Santino Marucci pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.26

Santino Marucci pass complete to PJ Johnson III for 8 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Santino Marucci run for 11 yds to the WKU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Santino Marucci run for no gain to the WKU 29

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.32

Santino Marucci pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 29 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 16 yds , Easton Messer return for no gain to the WKU 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the NMSU 47

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

George Hart III run for 5 yds to the NMSU 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

George Hart III run for no gain to the NMSU 42

4th & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elvin Fofanah for 8 yds to the NMSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

[NH] Kneel down by VELTKAMP, Caden at NMSU35 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
38%
34 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play