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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Middle Tennessee by 9.8

Home Win Probability

Middle Tennessee 73%

Market (Bovada)

Middle Tennessee -3

Edge: Middle Tennessee -3 (6.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
103131036
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
077721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-107-107-1314-2021-2621-3321-36
Middle TennesseeNew Mexico State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTMTNMSMTNMSMTNMSMTNMSNMSMTNMSMTNMSMTNMSMTNMSMTTD414ydPUNT59ydFG1550ydTD1275ydPUNT633ydDOWNS951ydFG655ydPUNT621ydEND1-9ydPUNT3-4ydTO31ydTD349ydTD1178ydTD575ydTD875ydTD975ydDOWNS537ydFG958ydEND1046yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico State and Middle Tennessee
StatisticNew Mexico StateMiddle Tennessee
Passing14-1830-45
Pass Yards237277
Rush Yards145170
Total Yards382447
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-127-14
Penalties3-306-60
Possession27:1632:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico State
passing
Parker Awad
12/16, 221 YDS
rushing
Seth McGowan
12 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Seth McGowan
6 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Middle Tennessee
passing
Nick Vattiato
30/45, 277 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jekail Middlebrook
10 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Holden Willis
3 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 64 yds , Kellen Stewart return for 29 yds to the MTSU 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terry Wilkins run for 5 yds to the MTSU 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 2 yds to the MTSU 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.08

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 7 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+30 ydsPPA -8.22

Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Dylan Early return for 30 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MTSU 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 13 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nicholas Vattiato run for 5 yds to the NMSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the NMSU 41

3rd & 2Penalty-15 yds

(10:25) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass to the left complete for 14 yards to KELLY, Omari caught at the NMS35 and advanced to the NMS27 (BARNES, Tayden), clock 10:26. PENALTY MTSU Face mask on JAMES, Markel enforced 15 yards from the NMS41 to the MTSU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt+17 yds

Trey Turk punt for 47 yds , TJ Pride returns for 17 yds to the NMSU 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the NMSU 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Parker Awad pass complete to Seth McGowan for 12 yds to the NMSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Parker Awad run for 5 yds to the NMSU 48

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Seth McGowan run for 1 yd to the NMSU 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.70

Parker Awad pass complete to TJ Pride for 4 yds to the MTSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Parker Awad run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Seth McGowan run for 12 yds to the MTSU 38

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.70

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the MTSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Mike Washington run for no gain to the MTSU 34

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the MTSU 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Parker Awad pass complete to TJ Pride for 9 yds to the MTSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Mike Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Parker Awad run for no gain to the MTSU 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Parker Awad pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+42 yds

Abraham Montano 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MTSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Evan Poticher for 4 yds to the MTSU 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 12 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VATTIATO, Nicholas pass short to the left incomplete dropped by WILLIS, Holden thrown to the MTSU47, clock 00:23. PENALTY MTSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MILLER, Marcus enforced 5 yards from the MTSU45 to the MTSU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.21

Jekail Middlebrook run for 18 yds to the NMSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 15 yds to the NMSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the NMSU 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 8 yds to the NMSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jekail Middlebrook run for 3 yds to the NMSU 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 2 yds to the NMSU 10

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Jaiden Credle run for 7 yds to the NMSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Zach Benedict kickoff for 57 yds , Larenzo McMillan return for 16 yds to the NMSU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Parker Awad pass complete to Seth McGowan for 14 yds to the NMSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the NMSU 33

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Seth McGowan run for 6 yds to the NMSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Parker Awad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Parker Awad run for 7 yds to the NMSU 46

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Seth McGowan run for 1 yd to the NMSU 47

4th & 2Punt+10 yds

George Eberle punt for 50 yds , Kellen Stewart returns for 10 yds to the MTSU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Evan Poticher for 9 yds to the MTSU 22

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Terry Wilkins run for no gain to the MTSU 22

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.54

Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the MTSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 8 yds to the MTSU 32

2nd & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.78

Terry Wilkins run for 23 yds to the NMSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the NMSU 44

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Nicholas Vattiato run for 8 yds to the NMSU 36

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.44

Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the NMSU 36

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Seth McGowan run for 12 yds to the NMSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.46

Parker Awad pass complete to Kordell David for 38 yds to the MTSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Parker Awad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

PJ Johnson III run for 5 yds to the MTSU 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Parker Awad pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 yds

Abraham Montano 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 9 yds to the MTSU 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 6 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 6 yds to the MTSU 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 37 yds, fair catch by TJ Pride at the NMSU 17

0th & 10End of Half-9 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.80

Mike Washington run for a loss of 9 yards to the NMSU 8 Mike Washington fumbled, recovered by NMSU Mike Washington M. Washington return for 0 yds

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Zach Benedict kickoff for 61 yds , Larenzo McMillan return for 19 yds to the NMSU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Parker Awad pass complete to Seth McGowan for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 13

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Parker Awad pass complete to TJ Pride for 4 yds to the NMSU 17

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.22

Parker Awad sacked by James Stewart for a loss of 7 yards to the NMSU 10

4th & 14Punt0 yds

George Eberle punt for 48 yds , Kellen Stewart returns for no gain to the MTSU 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 7 yds to the MTSU 49

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

CREDLE, Jaiden rush to the left for a gain of 14 yards to the NMS37 (MARTINEZ, Tyler), clock 12:13. PENALTY MTSU Holding on POTICHER, Evan enforced 10 yards from the MTSU49 to the MTSU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the MTSU 43

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Sone Aupiu return for no gain to the MTSU 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Seth McGowan run for 3 yds to the MTSU 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.61

Parker Awad pass complete to TJ Pride for 34 yds to the MTSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Brandon Nunez pass complete to Seth McGowan for 12 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Abraham Montano kickoff for 65 yds , Kellen Stewart return for 22 yds to the MTSU 22

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(09:44) MIDDLEBROOK, Jekail rush to the right for a gain of 22 yards to the MTSU44 (CROSBY, Da'Marcus), out of bounds, clock 09:43. PENALTY MTSU Holding on WILSON, Simon enforced 10 yards from the MTSU22 to the MTSU12 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Jekail Middlebrook run for 10 yds to the MTSU 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 4 yds to the MTSU 26

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

(08:15) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass to the left incomplete intended for KELLY, Omari broken up by HOBBS, Dakerric at the MTSU35, clock 08:17. PENALTY NMS Pass Interference on HOBBS, Dakerric enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the MTSU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Terry Wilkins run for 17 yds to the NMSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 11 yds to the NMSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Terry Wilkins run for 3 yds to the NMSU 33

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Jaiden Credle run for 8 yds to the NMSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 14 yds to the NMSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 12

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.87

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 12 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Larenzo McMillan run for 13 yds to the NMSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.35

Parker Awad pass complete to Seth McGowan for 43 yds to the MTSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.42

Parker Awad sacked by Anthony Bynum for a loss of 9 yards to the MTSU 28

2nd & 19Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.36

Parker Awad run for 17 yds to the MTSU 11

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Mike Washington run for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jekail Middlebrook run for 7 yds to the MTSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 16 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Jekail Middlebrook run for 12 yds to the NMSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Jekail Middlebrook run for 16 yds to the NMSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Terry Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 6 yds to the NMSU 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.65

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 19 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mike Washington run for no gain to the NMSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Parker Awad pass complete to Seth McGowan for 16 yds to the NMSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Parker Awad run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 43

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the NMSU 44

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.20

Parker Awad run for 14 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.61

Parker Awad pass complete to Adam Parks for 38 yds to the MTSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brandon Nunez run for no gain to the MTSU 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Brandon Nunez pass complete to Cooper Sheehan for 4 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(07:39) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass to the right incomplete thrown to the MTSU40; QB hurried by BEADLES, Justin, clock 07:34. PENALTY MTSU Holding on ELLIS, Ethan enforced 10 yards from the MTSU25 to the MTSU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.86

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 43 yds to the NMSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for no gain to the NMSU 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 4 yds to the NMSU 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.58

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the NMSU 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the NMSU 47

3rd & 1Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.39

Seth McGowan run for 33 yds to the MTSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Seth McGowan run for 1 yd to the MTSU 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Parker Awad pass complete to Isaiah Rudison for 10 yds to the MTSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the MTSU 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the MTSU 4

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.29

Seth McGowan run for no gain to the MTSU 4 Seth McGowan fumbled, recovered by NMSU Parker Awad P. Awad return for 0 yds

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Abraham Montano 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 6 yds to the MTSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 4 yds to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the MTSU 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 2 yds to the MTSU 38

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the MTSU 43

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.46

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 5 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.90

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 11 yds to the NMSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 12 yds to the NMSU 29 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays