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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Drake
49
-Final
10
Stetson
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Drake by 27.6

Home Win Probability

Stetson 6%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Stetson +19.5

Edge: Drake -19.5 (8.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Drake
141414749
Stetson
730010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-1410-2110-42
StetsonDrake

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DRASTEDRASTEDRADRASTEDRASTEDRASTESTESTEDRASTEDRASTEDRASTEDRASTEDRASTETD865ydTO39ydTD317ydTD1275ydMISS752ydTD775ydPUNT538ydTD297ydFG1355ydPUNT68ydTO441ydEND513ydTO3-4ydTD323ydPUNT39ydTD1666ydDOWNS512ydDOWNS624ydTO214ydTD619ydPUNT35ydPUNT621ydTO1240yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Drake and Stetson
StatisticDrakeStetson
Passing24-2925-47
Pass Yards203243
Rush Yards27549
Total Yards478292
Turnovers04
3rd Down6-137-16
Penalties7-601-14
Possession38:1121:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Drake
passing
Luke Bailey
23/28, 204 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Davion Cherwin
11 CAR, 161 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Taj Hughes
10 REC, 81 YDS
Stetson
passing
Brady Meitz
21/39, 221 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Donovan Snyder
13 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Dalton Bailey
11 REC, 130 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.34

Davion Cherwin run for 32 yds to the STET 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Jaxon Laminack

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 10 yds to the STET 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Blake Ellingson run for 1 yd to the STET 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 3 yds to the STET 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Luke Bailey pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 5 yds to the STET 14

4th & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.16

Luke Woodson run for 13 yds to the STET 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Luke Woodson run for 1 yd for a TD (Shane Dunning KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 10 yds to the STET 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Donovan Snyder run for a loss of 1 yard to the STET 26

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brady Meitz pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tim Nesslage for 6 yds to the STET 11

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Davion Cherwin run for 4 yds to the STET 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Davion Cherwin run for 7 yds for a TD (Shane Dunning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Donovan Snyder run for 2 yds to the STET 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 10 yds to the STET 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 6 yds to the STET 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Brady Meitz pass complete to Joe Ziegler for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trey Clark run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Brady Meitz pass complete to Fabian Baez for 12 yds to the DRKE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Donovan Snyder run for 2 yds to the DRKE 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.75

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 12 yds to the DRKE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Donovan Snyder run for 4 yds to the DRKE 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Meitz pass complete to Fabian Baez for 4 yds to the DRKE 16

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.75

Trey Clark 16 Yd Run (Daniel Holbrook Kick)

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Luke Bailey pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 5 yds to the STET 12

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Bo Gaines kickoff for 54 yds , Brandon Langdok return for 25 yds to the DRKE 36

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Davion Cherwin run for 6 yds to the DRKE 42

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Davion Cherwin run for no gain to the DRKE 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.36

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 42 yds to the STET 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Blake Ellingson pass complete to Taj Hughes for a loss of 1 yard to the STET 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Shane Dunning 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 6 yds to the DRKE 31 Drake Penalty, face mask (0 yards) (Yards) to the DRKE 31

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Davion Cherwin run for 9 yds to the DRKE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 5 yds to the DRKE 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

pass incomplete to Taj Hughes

3rd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.94

Luke Woodson run for 23 yds to the STET 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, false start (Drew Heiss) to the STET 37

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tyler Nansel for 13 yds to the STET 24

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.34

Hunter Johnson 24 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Shane Dunning Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 6 yds to the STET 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.68

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 30 yds to the DRKE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Donovan Snyder run for 2 yds to the DRKE 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

pass incomplete to Trey Clark

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson, broken up by Kemani Wilson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Luke Woodson run for 6 yds to the DRKE 9

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+91 ydsPPA +6.78

Davion Cherwin 91 Yd Run (Shane Dunning Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 2 yds to the STET 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 13 yds to the DRKE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Trey Clark run for no gain to the DRKE 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 7 yds to the DRKE 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to James Yoest

4th & 3Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.37

pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson Drake Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Caleb Bowling) to the DRKE 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Donovan Snyder run for 4 yds to the DRKE 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Donovan Snyder run for 8 yds to the DRKE 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Brady Meitz pass complete to Fabian Baez for 6 yds to the DRKE 5

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Fabian Baez

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Daniel Holbrook 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Bo Gaines kickoff for 57 yds , Brandon Langdok return for 28 yds to the DRKE 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Davion Cherwin run for 5 yds to the DRKE 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 8 yds to the DRKE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Davion Cherwin run for 2 yds to the STET 49

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Luke Woodson run for 6 yds to the STET 43

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Luke Woodson run for 6 yds to the STET 37 Drake Penalty, Offensive holding (Ross Palmer) to the STET 47

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.89

Luke Bailey sacked by Shug Bentley for a loss of 9 yards to the DRKE 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Trey Clark run for 4 yds to the STET 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete to Trey Clark

3rd & 6Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.79

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 37 yds to the DRKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.76

Brady Meitz pass intercepted

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Brady Meitz sacked by Trystan Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the DRKE 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Donovan Snyder run for no gain to the STET 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Brady Meitz pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 13 yds to the STET 48 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Almari Brown

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Brady Meitz pass complete to Jacque Holley for a loss of 4 yards to the STET 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

pass incomplete to Fabian Baez

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.10

Brady Meitz sacked by Finn Claypool for a loss of 2 yards to the STET 23 Brady Meitz fumbled, recovered by DRKE CJ Grisar , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for no gain to the STET 23

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Taj Hughes run for 11 yds to the STET 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Jaxon Laminack 12 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Shane Dunning Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 9 yds to the STET 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Dalton Bailey, broken up by Trystan Anderson

4th & 1Punt+14 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 46 yds , Jaxon Laminack returns for 14 yds to the DRKE 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 6 yds to the DRKE 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Davion Cherwin run for 2 yds to the DRKE 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 9 yds to the STET 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Luke Bailey pass complete to Sam Johnson for 5 yds to the STET 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Davion Cherwin run for 3 yds to the STET 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.11

Luke Bailey pass complete to Sam Rodriguez for 7 yds to the STET 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for a loss of 1 yard to the STET 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.23

Luke Bailey pass complete to Hunter Johnson for 8 yds to the STET 27 for a 1ST down Stetson Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brysson Stouffer) to the STET 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Luke Bailey pass complete to Parker Olthoff for no gain to the STET 13

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jun Ahn run for 1 yd to the STET 12

3rd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.26

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tim Nesslage for no gain Drake Penalty, illegal motion (Tim Nesslage) to the STET 17

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Luke Bailey pass complete to Jake Metze for 9 yds to the STET 8

4th & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Jake Metze run for 5 yds to the STET 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Blake Ellingson run for a loss of 2 yards to the STET 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Parker Olthoff

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Dante DeNardo 5 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Shane Dunning Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Brady Meitz pass complete to Almari Brown for 18 yds to the STET 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brady Meitz pass complete to Almari Brown for 4 yds to the STET 47

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Trey Clark run for no gain to the STET 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brady Meitz pass complete to Almari Brown for 5 yds to the DRKE 48

4th & 1Rush-15 ydsPPA -1.30

James Yoest run for a loss of 15 yards to the STET 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jun Ahn run for 3 yds to the STET 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jun Ahn run for 6 yds to the STET 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Luke Bailey pass complete to Jun Ahn for 17 yds to the STET 14 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jun Ahn run for 2 yds to the STET 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Mitchell January

4th & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -3.83

Luke Bailey sacked by Shug Bentley for a loss of 4 yards to the STET 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Brady Meitz pass complete to James Yoest for 14 yds to the STET 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brady Meitz pass incomplete, broken up by Jackson Williams

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jun Ahn run for 6 yds to the STET 13

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jun Ahn run for 6 yds to the STET 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jun Ahn run for 2 yds to the STET 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jun Ahn run for 2 yds to the STET 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jun Ahn run for 2 yds to the STET 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jun Ahn 1 Yd Run (Shane Dunning Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Fabian Baez, broken up by Jadon Williams

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trey Clark run for 5 yds to the STET 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Fabian Baez

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jake Metze run for no gain to the DRKE 36

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jake Metze run for 8 yds to the DRKE 44

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.85

Jake Metze run for 9 yds to the STET 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Metze run for no gain to the STET 47

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jake Metze run for 6 yds to the STET 41

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Metze run for 3 yds to the STET 38

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, false start (Hank Foley) to the STET 43

4th & 6Punt+28 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 33 yds Drake Penalty, illegal formation (Tim Nesslage) to the STET 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kael Alexander pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 5 yds to the STET 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Donovan Snyder run for 4 yds to the STET 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Donovan Snyder run for 3 yds to the STET 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Donovan Snyder run for 3 yds to the STET 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kael Alexander pass complete to Almari Brown for 6 yds to the STET 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Donovan Snyder run for 3 yds to the STET 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Jeremiah Giedrys

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 6 yds to the STET 45

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Donovan Snyder run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 5 yds to the DRKE 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete to Dalton Bailey, broken up by Benjamin Wilson

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -2.12

Matt O'Connor pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Drake

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
54%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
12 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Stetson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
27 plays
2nd
25%
8 plays
77%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays