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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Davidson by 15.2

Home Win Probability

Valparaiso 18%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Valparaiso +8

Edge: Davidson -8 (7.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Davidson
770317
Valparaiso
0100818

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-73-710-710-1410-17
ValparaisoDavidson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAVVALDAVVALDAVVALDAVVALDAVVALVALDAVVALDAVVALDAVDAVVALPUNT47ydPUNT735ydTD880ydFG852ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-28ydPUNT518ydTD772ydTD1175ydEND29ydMISS538ydMISS1456ydPUNT729ydFG1258ydPUNT514ydPUNT38ydPUNT85ydTD117yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Davidson and Valparaiso
StatisticDavidsonValparaiso
Passing7-911-20
Pass Yards56157
Rush Yards228105
Total Yards284262
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-153-9
Penalties6-657-78
Possession36:4023:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Davidson
passing
Luke Durkin
5/7, 25 YDS
rushing
Mason Sheron
15 CAR, 110 YDS
receiving
Henry Dolan
1 REC, 25 YDS
Valparaiso
passing
Caron Tyler
11/20, 157 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Caron Tyler
16 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Brandon Jimenez
2 REC, 51 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Mari Adams run for 10 yds to the VAL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Mari Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAL 36

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Davidson Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VAL 41

2nd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Luke Durkin run for 7 yds to the VAL 34

3rd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Aaron Maione run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAL 36

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Luke Durkin punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Colin Graves at the VAL 13

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Caron Tyler pass complete to Gary Givens III for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 12

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Caron Tyler run for 5 yds to the VAL 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.56

Caron Tyler pass complete to Gary Givens III for 25 yds to the VAL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Caron Tyler pass complete to Chris Gundy for 11 yds to the DAV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Gary Givens III

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.89

Caron Tyler run for a loss of 5 yards to the VAL 48

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Gary Givens III

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.41

Mason Sheron run for 45 yds to the VAL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the VAL 31

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the VAL 28

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aaron Maione run for 2 yds to the VAL 26

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Davidson Penalty, Offensive offside (-5 Yards) to the VAL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Luke Durkin run for 5 yds to the VAL 16 for a 1ST down Davidson Penalty, Offensive holding (-8 Yards) to the VAL 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the VAL 5

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Aaron Maione run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Andrew Frazier pass complete to Luke Durkin for 6 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Caron Tyler run for 4 yds to the VAL 19

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Caron Tyler run for 10 yds to the VAL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Caron Tyler pass complete to Chris Gundy for 17 yds to the VAL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.40

Caron Tyler pass complete to Brandon Jimenez for 25 yds to the DAV 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.14

Caron Tyler run for a loss of 4 yards to the DAV 33 Caron Tyler fumbled, recovered by VAL Caron Tyler

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Gary Givens III

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Caron Tyler run for no gain to the DAV 33

4th & 14Field Goal Good+50 yds

Ryan Hawk 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mari Adams run for 6 yds to the DAV 31

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Luke Durkin run for a loss of 3 yards to the DAV 26 Luke Durkin fumbled, recovered by DAV

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Durkin sacked by Kevin Spelman for a loss of 6 yards to the DAV 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DAV 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Michael Mansaray run for 2 yds to the DAV 41

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Brian Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAV 42

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

TYLER, Caron rush for 19 yards to the DAV23, out-of-bounds (S. McLaughlin), PENALTY VALPO holding (EBERHART) 10 yards to the VALPO48, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Fumble Recovery (Own)-21 ydsPPA -0.61

Caron Tyler sacked by Langston Green for a loss of 6 yards to the VAL 29 Caron Tyler fumbled, recovered by VAL Caron Tyler , return for 0 yards Valparaiso Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Carter Woody) to the VAL 29

4th & 38Punt+3 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 55 yds , Aaron Maione returns for 3 yds to the DAV 19

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Mason Sheron run for 8 yds to the DAV 27

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the DAV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Aaron Maione run for a loss of 2 yards to the DAV 28

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Mason Sheron run for 7 yds to the DAV 35

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the DAV 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Colin Graves at the VAL 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Caron Tyler run for 6 yds to the VAL 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Ryan Mann run for 2 yds to the VAL 36

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Caron Tyler run for 2 yds to the VAL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Caron Tyler pass complete to Brandon Jimenez for 26 yds to the DAV 36 for a 1ST down Valparaiso Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the DAV 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brian Thomas run for 4 yds to the DAV 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Caron Tyler pass complete to Chris Gundy for 10 yds to the DAV 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Michael Mansaray run for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Mari Adams run for 7 yds to the DAV 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Mari Adams run for 5 yds to the DAV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Luke Durkin run for 7 yds to the DAV 44

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Mari Adams run for 11 yds to the VAL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the VAL 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Luke Durkin pass complete to Brody Reina for 4 yds to the VAL 38

3rd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.35

Mari Adams run for 20 yds to the VAL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the VAL 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Sam Hedrick

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Luke Durkin run for 9 yds to the VAL 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Mari Adams run for 8 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 65Penalty+15 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Sam Hafner) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Mansaray run for 4 yds to the VAL 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Mansaray run for 5 yds to the VAL 34

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

PENALTY DAV unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY VALPO unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 1Penalty-15 yds

Davidson Penalty, personal foul (Mason Sheron) to the DAV 20

3rd & 16Penalty-10 yds

Davidson Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mason Sheron) to the DAV 10

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MANSARAY rush for 53 yards to the DAV2 (TJ Magee), PENALTY VALPO personal foul off-setting, PENALTY DAV personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.67

Caron Tyler run for 36 yds to the DAV 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Caron Tyler pass incomplete, broken up by Julian Rawlins

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Michael Mansaray run for 2 yds to the DAV 17

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Caron Tyler run for no gain to the DAV 17

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Ryan Hawk 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the DAV 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the DAV 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Luke Durkin pass complete to Aaron Maione for 8 yds to the DAV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Davidson Penalty, false start (Sam Hedrick) to the DAV 29

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Luke Durkin run for 4 yds to the DAV 33

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Mason Sheron run for 10 yds to the DAV 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the DAV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the DAV 47

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Mari Adams run for no gain to the DAV 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Brody Reina, broken up by Caleb Rao

4th & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.94

Adam Zouagui pass complete to Henry Dolan for 25 yds to the VAL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Mari Adams run for no gain to the VAL 28

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Aaron Maione run for 3 yds to the VAL 25

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Luke Durkin run for 1 yd to the VAL 24

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Adam Zouagui 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Chris Gundy

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Mansaray run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Caron Tyler pass complete to Jack Coulson for 14 yds to the VAL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Caron Tyler pass complete to Chris Gundy for 12 yds to the VAL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Michael Mansaray run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 48

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Mansaray run for 5 yds to the DAV 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Gary Givens III

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the DAV 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Aaron Maione run for 3 yds to the DAV 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.95

Luke Durkin pass complete to Aaron Maione for 13 yds to the DAV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Luke Durkin pass complete to Aaron Maione for a loss of 1 yard to the DAV 40

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Brody Reina (LENDINO), PENALTY VALPO pass interference (LENDINO) 15 yards to the VALPO45, 1ST DOWN DAV, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Mari Adams run for 7 yds to the VAL 38

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mason Sheron run for 5 yds to the VAL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Mason Sheron run for 10 yds to the VAL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Luke Durkin run for 3 yds to the VAL 20

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the VAL 18

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Luke Durkin sacked by Jake Birmingham for a loss of 4 yards to the VAL 22

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 yds

Adam Zouagui 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Gary Givens III

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Michael Mansaray run for 11 yds to the VAL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Chris Gundy, broken up by Amare Hill

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Caron Tyler pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 1 yd to the VAL 44

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Caron Tyler run for 2 yds to the VAL 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 51 yds, downed at the DAV 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 5

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Mari Adams run for 6 yds to the DAV 11

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Mari Adams run for no gain to the DAV 11

4th & 2Punt+10 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DAV 46 , Colin Graves returns for 10 yds to the DAV 46

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Caron Tyler run for 19 yds to the DAV 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Caron Tyler run for 1 yd to the DAV 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Caron Tyler run for 5 yds to the DAV 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Michael Mansaray, broken up by John Tessman

4th & 4Sack-26 ydsPPA -3.31

Caron Tyler sacked by Julian Rawlins for a loss of 11 yards to the DAV 32 for a 1ST down Valparaiso Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the DAV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the DAV 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Luke Durkin pass complete to Christian Berry for 1 yd to the DAV 19

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the DAV 22

4th & 5Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Shawn Fester blocked by Shawn Fester TEAM punt BLOCKED, recovered by DAV TEAM at DAV17 (blocked by FESTER).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Caron Tyler pass complete to Gary Givens III for 17 yds for a TD Timeout Davidson, clock 00:00 (Caron Tyler pass to Jake Vickers for Two-Point Conversion)

Situational Analysis

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
10%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Valparaiso

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play