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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego by 32.5

Home Win Probability

San Diego 96%

Market (ESPN Bet)

San Diego -27.5

Edge: San Diego -27.5 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stetson
00066
San Diego
21147345

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-028-035-042-045-045-6
San DiegoStetson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STESDSTESDSTESDSTESDSTESDSTESDSTESDSTESDSTESDSTESDSTESDPUNT928ydTD879ydPUNT3-7ydTD550ydPUNT34ydTD130ydTO647ydTD596ydTO1347ydTD1295ydEND37ydTD855ydTO10ydMISS849ydDOWNS843ydFG1053ydPUNT3-7ydMISS729ydMISS1342ydPUNT519ydTD579ydUncategorized19yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stetson and San Diego
StatisticStetsonSan Diego
Passing25-4422-31
Pass Yards198362
Rush Yards80202
Total Yards278564
Turnovers30
3rd Down3-147-11
Penalties2-204-40
Possession24:4535:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stetson
passing
Kael Alexander
19/33, 148 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Trey Clark
8 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dalton Bailey
8 REC, 61 YDS
San Diego
passing
Grant Sergent
20/28, 311 YDS, 6 TD
rushing
Isaiah Smith
17 CAR, 110 YDS
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
5 REC, 121 YDS, 3 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trey Clark run for 2 yds to the STET 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Trey Clark run for 7 yds to the STET 34

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Trey Clark run for 8 yds to the STET 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Trey Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the STET 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Dalton Bailey for no gain to the STET 41

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.97

Trey Clark run for 11 yds to the USD 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Matt O'Connor run for 3 yds to the USD 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Matt O'Connor pass complete to James Yoest for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the USD 23

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Logan Gingg run for 4 yds to the USD 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Grant Sergent pass complete to Cole Monach for 7 yds to the USD 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Grant Sergent pass complete to Bradley Schlom for 9 yds to the USD 43

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.44

Kenyon Sims run for no gain to the USD 43

3rd & 1Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.87

Cole Monach pass complete to Grant Sergent for 46 yds to the STET 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the STET 9

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Grant Sergent pass complete to Cole Monach for 9 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaxson Dicus run for no gain to the STET 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Matt O'Connor sacked by Jake Higgins for a loss of 7 yards to the STET 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Grant Sergent pass complete to Logan Gingg for 9 yds to the STET 41

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.12

Logan Gingg run for 9 yds to the STET 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Logan Gingg run for 13 yds to the STET 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (Maicah Talavou) to the STET 24

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.00

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 24 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 64 yds , Ronnel Johnson return for 12 yds to the STET 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 4 yds to the STET 17

4th & 6Punt+37 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 35 yds , Eric Haney returns for 37 yds to the STET 30

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 30 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trey Clark run for no gain to the STET 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 9 yds to the STET 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.75

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Trey Clark for 23 yds to the USD 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.61

James Yoest pass complete to Jaxson Dicus for 16 yds to the USD 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jaxson Dicus run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 28

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.65

Matt O'Connor pass intercepted Ruben Lopez return for no gain to the USD 4

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Logan Gingg run for 8 yds to the USD 12

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.09

Logan Gingg run for 5 yds to the USD 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.06

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 38 yds to the STET 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.92

Grant Sergent pass complete to Bradley Schlom for 30 yds to the STET 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

SERGENT, Grant pass to the right complete for 15 yards to LAWSON, Dylan caught at the STE0 and advanced to the STE0, 1ST DOWN, TOUCHDOWN USD, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:47 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY STE Holding USD Unnecessary Roughness on D'AMBRA, Jack STE Holding on SIMEUS, Marven , Offsetting penalties. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 15 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kael Alexander pass complete to Fabian Baez for 7 yds to the STET 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kael Alexander pass complete to Trey Clark for 2 yds to the STET 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Trey Clark run for 2 yds to the STET 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Kael Alexander pass complete to Donovan Snyder for 13 yds to the STET 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kael Alexander pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 7 yds to the USD 44

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Jaxson Dicus run for 7 yds to the USD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kael Alexander pass complete to Fabian Baez for 3 yds to the USD 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.44

Kael Alexander pass complete to Aanjay Feliciano for 8 yds to the USD 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Kael Alexander pass complete to Trey Clark for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 28

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.57

Kael Alexander pass intercepted Nick Murray return for no gain to the USD 5

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the USD 5

2nd & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.15

Isaiah Smith run for 32 yds to the USD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the USD 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.98

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 14 yds to the STET 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the STET 45

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Isaiah Smith run for 8 yds to the STET 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Grant Sergent pass complete to Christopher Hall for 3 yds to the STET 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 3 yds to the STET 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Grant Sergent pass complete to Bradley Schlom for 8 yds to the STET 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 23 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 51 yds , Ronnel Johnson return for 16 yds to the STET 30

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Donovan Snyder run for 12 yds to the STET 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Kael Alexander pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 7 yds to the STET 49

2nd & 3Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.14

Kael Alexander sacked by Mo Vanderweil for a loss of 12 yards to the STET 37

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Bo Gaines kickoff for 54 yds , Eric Haney return for 34 yds to the USD 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the STET 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Grant Sergent run for 1 yd to the STET 43

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the STET 37

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

Stetson Penalty, Defensive Holding (Trey Lockhart Jr.) to the STET 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the STET 27

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.90

Grant Sergent pass complete to Christopher Hall for 27 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Kael Alexander pass intercepted Ruben Lopez return for no gain to the USD 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the USD 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 8 yds to the STET 49

3rd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.68

Grant Sergent pass complete to Bradley Schlom for 15 yds to the STET 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.41

Grant Sergent pass complete to Christopher Hall for 23 yds to the STET 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SERGENT, Grant pass to the right incomplete intended for HEVERLY, Josh thrown to the STE0; QB hurried by ELPHICK, Kyle. PENALTY USD Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BARI, Oliver enforced 5 yards from the STE11 to the STE16 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Grant Sergent pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 7 yds to the STET 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Aidan Lehman 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Kael Alexander pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 12 yds to the STET 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.44

Kael Alexander pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 16 yds to the STET 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Jaxson Dicus run for 13 yds to the USD 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kael Alexander pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 4 yds to the USD 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Jaxson Dicus run for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 37

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Isaiah Smith run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the STET 48

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Kenyon Sims run for 19 yds to the STET 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kenyon Sims run for 4 yds to the STET 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Grant Sergent pass complete to Peyton Smith for 9 yds to the STET 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Kenyon Sims run for 14 yds to the STET 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Kenyon Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the STET 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Grant Sergent sacked by Gavin Peacock and Shug Bentley for a loss of 7 yards to the STET 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Aidan Lehman 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kael Alexander pass complete to Trey Clark for 3 yds to the STET 28

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.92

Kael Alexander run for a loss of 8 yards to the STET 16 Kael Alexander fumbled, recovered by STET Almari Brown

3rd & 19Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Kael Alexander pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 2 yds to the STET 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Bo Gaines punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 40

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Isaiah Smith run for 9 yds to the USD 49

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.00

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the STET 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Isaiah Smith run for 11 yds to the STET 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the STET 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kenyon Sims run for 4 yds to the STET 25

3rd & 2Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.96

Grant Sergent sacked by Damontez McDowell for a loss of 6 yards to the STET 31

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Aidan Lehman 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Kael Alexander pass complete to Fabian Baez for 10 yds to the STET 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Kael Alexander run for a loss of 2 yards to the STET 39

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

SNYDER, Donovan rush up the middle for no gain to the STE39 (VALENZUELA, Micah). PENALTY STE Holding on COLLINS, Rowan enforced 10 yards from the STE39 to the STE29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.90

Kael Alexander pass complete to Dalton Bailey for 19 yds to the STET 48

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Donovan Snyder run for 1 yd to the STET 49

4th & 2Penalty+15 yds

San Diego Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jake Higgins) to the USD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaxson Dicus run for no gain to the USD 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.97

Kael Alexander pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 10 yds to the USD 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

[NHSG] Kneel down by ALEXANDER, Kael at USD27 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

4th & 11Blocked Field Goal+43 yds

Daniel Holbrook 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Kenyon Sims run for 7 yds to the USD 27

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Kenyon Sims run for 5 yds to the USD 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Voss pass complete to Casey Carlesimo for 5 yds to the USD 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the USD 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Voss pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kael Alexander pass complete to Donovan Snyder for no gain to the STET 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kael Alexander pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Kael Alexander pass complete to Donovan Snyder for a loss of 1 yard to the STET 20

4th & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.32

Kael Alexander pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 28 yds to the STET 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Trey Clark run for 52 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Bo Gaines kickoff for 50 yds , Isaiah Smith return for 5 yds to the USD 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Nathan Brown run for 9 yds to the USD 29

Situational Analysis

Stetson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th