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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Drake by 15.5

Home Win Probability

Drake 81%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Drake -14.5

Edge: Drake -14.5 (1.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morehead State
00131629
Drake
273820

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014282-09-012-712-1320-1320-2020-23
DrakeMorehead State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSDRAMSDRAMSDRAMSDRAMSDRAMSDRAMSDRAMSDRAMSDRAMSDRAMSDRATO59ydMISS946ydPUNT842ydTO778ydSAF10ydPUNT523ydPUNT633ydTD619ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydPUNT820ydEND1-2ydTO10ydTD239ydFG921ydTD1275ydTD1076ydTD1275ydPUNT36ydFG1142ydTD3-13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morehead State and Drake
StatisticMorehead StateDrake
Passing12-2227-41
Pass Yards154210
Rush Yards13771
Total Yards291281
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-138-14
Penalties0-03-28
Possession33:1526:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morehead State
passing
Carter Cravens
11/21, 116 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
James Louis
26 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nate Garnett
2 REC, 58 YDS
Drake
passing
Luke Bailey
27/40, 210 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Luke Woodson
10 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Trey Radocha
3 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Isaac Stopke run for 9 yds to the MORE 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaac Stopke run for 2 yds to the MORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Carter Cravens sacked by Sean Allison for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 34

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -0.01

Carter Cravens pass intercepted Tyler Radocha return for 5 yds to the DRKE 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Luke Bailey pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 14 yds to the MORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Davion Cherwin run for 15 yds to the MORE 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 9 yds to the MORE 17

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Blake Ellingson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 18

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.24

Luke Bailey pass complete to Davion Cherwin for 3 yds to the MORE 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Davion Cherwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 16

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Blake Ellingson run for 5 yds to the MORE 11

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tim Nesslage for 2 yds to the MORE 9

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Shane Dunning 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

James Louis run for 7 yds to the MORE 27

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.17

James Louis run for 3 yds to the MORE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

James Louis run for no gain to the MORE 30

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

James Louis run for 7 yds to the MORE 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.82

Carter Cravens pass complete to Nate Garnett for 20 yds to the DRKE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

James Louis run for 5 yds to the DRKE 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 22 yds to the DRKE 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 9 yds to the MORE 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Luke Woodson run for 3 yds to the MORE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Luke Bailey pass complete to Elijah Gutierrez for 6 yds to the MORE 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.61

Luke Bailey pass complete to Hunter Johnson for 20 yds to the MORE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+18 ydsPPA -4.38

Jaxon Laminack run for 18 yds to the MORE 2 Jaxon Laminack fumbled, recovered by MORE Branden Stearman B. Stearman return for 0 yds

1st & 10Safety0 ydsPPA -2.02

Team Safety

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.84

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 21 yds to the MORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 2 yds to the MORE 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 39 yds, downed at the MORE 3

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +0.42

Carter Cravens pass complete to Trevon Kleint for 14 yds Trevon Kleint fumbled, recovered by MORE Trevon Kleint T. Kleint return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 3 yds to the MORE 20

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

James Louis run for 5 yds to the MORE 25

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Drake Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MORE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MORE 32

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

James Louis run for 4 yds to the MORE 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+58 yds

Kip Warren punt for 42 yds , Jaxon Laminack returns for no gain to the MORE 19 , returns for 58 yds to the MORE 19 , Davion Cherwin returns for no gain to the MORE 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Luke Woodson run for 1 yd to the MORE 18

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Luke Woodson run for 3 yds to the MORE 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tim Nesslage for 9 yds to the MORE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Luke Woodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Luke Bailey pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 8 yds for a TD (Shane Dunning KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Griffin Kollhoff kickoff for 33 yds , return for no gain to the MORE 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Chance Harris run for no gain to the MORE 32

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.80

Carter Cravens sacked by Finn Claypool for a loss of 6 yards to the MORE 26

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+4 yds

Kip Warren punt for 35 yds , Jaxon Laminack returns for 4 yds to the DRKE 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 5 yds to the DRKE 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Blake Ellingson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

James Louis run for 3 yds to the MORE 20

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MORE 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Kip Warren punt for 48 yds , Jaxon Laminack returns for 1 yd to the DRKE 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Luke Bailey pass complete to Elijah Gutierrez for 4 yds to the DRKE 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tim Nesslage for 7 yds to the DRKE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Luke Bailey pass complete to Jaxon Laminack for 8 yds to the DRKE 40

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Luke Bailey run for 6 yds to the DRKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.90

Luke Bailey sacked by Kenneth Shaffner for a loss of 12 yards to the DRKE 34

3rd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Luke Woodson run for 7 yds to the DRKE 41

4th & 15Punt+39 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 39 yds , Noah Skobis returns for no gain to the MORE 14 , returns for no gain to the MORE 14

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

[NH] Kneel down by CRAVENS, Carter at MORE12 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Thomas Schwartz V kickoff for 48 yds , Brandon Langdok return for 27 yds to the DRKE 44

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.63

Luke Bailey pass intercepted Jackson Benjamin return for no gain to the DRKE 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.20

Bradley West pass complete to Nate Garnett for 38 yds to the DRKE 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Isaac Stopke run for 1 yd for a TD (Thomas Schwartz V KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Thomas Schwartz V kickoff for 19 yds , return for no gain to the DRKE 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Davion Cherwin run for no gain to the DRKE 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 10 yds to the MORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Davion Cherwin run for 8 yds to the MORE 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for a loss of 4 yards to the MORE 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.67

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tyler Nansel for 8 yds to the MORE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Blake Ellingson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 33

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+50 yds

Shane Dunning 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

James Louis run for 7 yds to the MORE 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Carter Cravens run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 31

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.76

James Louis run for 8 yds to the MORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

James Louis run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

James Louis run for 5 yds to the DRKE 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for no gain to the DRKE 45

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.83

James Louis run for 8 yds to the DRKE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Isaac Stopke run for no gain to the DRKE 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.17

Carter Cravens pass complete to Trevon Kleint for 16 yds to the DRKE 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the DRKE 20

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

James Louis run for 5 yds to the DRKE 15

3rd & 4Penalty0 yds

CRAVENS, Carter pass up the middle incomplete intended for UPP, Ryan thrown to the DRAKE0. PENALTY DRAKE Offsides on CHRISTENSON, Jason declined DRAKE Roughing the Passer on BLALOCK, Gene declined DRAKE Pass Interference on RADOCHA, Tyler enforced 13 yards to the DRAKE2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

James Louis run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Thomas Schwartz V kickoff for 61 yds , Brandon Langdok return for 20 yds to the DRKE 24

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Luke Woodson run for 9 yds to the DRKE 33

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.02

Luke Woodson run for 3 yds to the DRKE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.17

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 29 yds to the MORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.39

Luke Bailey pass complete to Elijah Gutierrez for 18 yds to the MORE 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Bailey pass complete to Tim Nesslage for 5 yds to the MORE 12

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Luke Woodson run for 2 yds to the MORE 10

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Luke Woodson run for 4 yds to the MORE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Luke Woodson run for no gain to the MORE 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 6 yds for a TD (Luke Bailey pass to Taj Hughes for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 10 yds to the MORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MORE 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Carter Cravens pass complete to Christian Pedersen for 17 yds to the DRKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Carter Cravens run for no gain to the DRKE 46

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

James Louis run for 1 yd to the DRKE 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.61

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 15 yds to the DRKE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

James Louis run for 4 yds to the DRKE 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

James Louis run for 3 yds to the DRKE 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 5 yds to the DRKE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

James Louis run for 5 yds to the DRKE 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.90

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 13 yds for a TD (Thomas Schwartz V KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Davion Cherwin run for 4 yds to the DRKE 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 2 yds to the DRKE 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Luke Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 24 yds, downed at the MORE 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 3 yds to the MORE 48

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.57

Carter Cravens run for 11 yds to the DRKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.35

James Louis run for 13 yds to the DRKE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.93

James Louis run for a loss of 3 yards to the DRKE 31

2nd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.12

Carter Cravens run for 15 yds to the DRKE 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

James Louis run for 1 yd to the DRKE 15

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

James Louis run for 2 yds to the DRKE 13

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaac Stopke run for no gain to the DRKE 13

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 yds

Thomas Schwartz V 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 6 yds to the DRKE 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 13 yds to the DRKE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+12 ydsPPA -9.63

L. Bailey pass to M. January for -13 yds for a TD,B. Krebs fumbled, recovered by MORE M. McClelland,M. McClelland return for 12 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
37%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Drake

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th