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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego by 2

Home Win Probability

San Diego 54%

Market (ESPN Bet)

San Diego -3

Edge: Davidson +3 (1.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Davidson
760013
San Diego
7300340

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-710-717-731-737-1340-13
San DiegoDavidson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAVSDDAVSDDAVDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDDAVSDPUNT30ydTD666ydTD1375ydFG850ydTD1038ydPUNT3-2ydTD359ydPUNT3-1ydTD675ydTD681ydTD475ydEND412ydPUNT37ydPUNT34ydMISS746ydMISS1248ydPUNT729ydDOWNS822ydFG1013ydPUNT3-8ydEND3-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Davidson and San Diego
StatisticDavidsonSan Diego
Passing7-1419-27
Pass Yards36307
Rush Yards22886
Total Yards264393
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-146-12
Penalties7-605-45
Possession31:4428:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Davidson
passing
Andrew Frazier
2/3, 19 YDS
rushing
Sam Valor
9 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Christian Berry
1 REC, 17 YDS
San Diego
passing
Grant Sergent
19/27, 307 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Logan Gingg
15 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
14 REC, 186 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mari Adams run for no gain to the DAV 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the DAV 26

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Luke Durkin sacked by Brandon Myers and Giovanni Iovino for a loss of 1 yard to the DAV 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 41 yds, downed at the USD 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.57

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 17 yds to the DAV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 17 yds to the DAV 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Davidson Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Sabin McLaughlin) to the DAV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 5 yds to the DAV 12

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the DAV 9

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Davidson Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the DAV 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Logan Gingg run for 4 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mason Sheron run for 6 yds to the DAV 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Andrew Frazier run for 3 yds to the DAV 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Mason Sheron run for 5 yds to the DAV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Sam Valor run for 1 yd to the DAV 40

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Andrew Frazier run for 11 yds to the USD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Sam Valor run for 3 yds to the USD 46

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the USD 42

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Sam Valor run for 10 yds to the USD 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jaleel Sales run for 3 yds to the USD 29

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Mason Sheron run for 1 yd to the USD 28

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaleel Sales run for 2 yds to the USD 26

4th & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.63

Andrew Frazier pass complete to Christian Berry for 17 yds to the USD 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Sam Valor run for 9 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Logan Gingg run for 31 yds to the DAV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 6 yds to the DAV 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the DAV 35

3rd & 1Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.91

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 25 yds to the DAV 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the DAV 8

3rd & 8Rush-17 ydsPPA -3.29

Luke Durkin run for a loss of 17 yards to the DAV 25

4th & 25Field Goal Good+42 yds

Aidan Lehman 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the DAV 36

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Mari Adams run for 6 yds to the DAV 42

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Mari Adams run for 5 yds to the DAV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Kellyn West run for 15 yds to the USD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the USD 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the USD 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Luke Durkin pass complete to Brody Reina for 5 yds to the USD 30

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the USD 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the USD 25

2nd & 8Fumble Return Touchdown+73 ydsPPA -11.00

Jerry Riggins 73 Yd Fumble Return (Aidan Lehman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaleel Sales run for 5 yds to the DAV 30

2nd & 5Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.23

Luke Durkin run for a loss of 7 yards to the DAV 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Andrew Frazier pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 41

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Logan Gingg run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +6.71

Grant Sergent pass complete to Bradley Schlom for 60 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 65 yds , Dante Sellari return for 22 yds to the DAV 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mari Adams run for no gain to the DAV 22

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Luke Durkin run for 4 yds to the DAV 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Luke Durkin pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Davidson Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DAV 21

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 54 yds, downed at the USD 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 16 yds to the USD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the USD 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.41

Grant Sergent pass complete to Kenyon Sims for 23 yds to the DAV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Kenyon Sims run for 3 yds to the DAV 31

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.89

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 31 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 63 yds , Dante Sellari return for 17 yds to the DAV 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Luke Durkin run for no gain to the DAV 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Luke Durkin pass complete to Ivan Hoyt for 11 yds to the DAV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Luke Durkin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.46

Mason Sheron run for 32 yds to the USD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Luke Durkin pass complete to Kellyn West for 6 yds to the USD 32

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.84

Luke Durkin run for 32 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Davidson Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the USD 30

1st & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.29

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 14 yds to the USD 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 11 yds to the DAV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.84

Grant Sergent pass complete to Cole Monach for 24 yds to the DAV 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 21 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman PAT BLOCKED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 55 yds , Dante Sellari return for 9 yds to the DAV 19 Dante Sellari fumbled, recovered by DAV Dante Sellari D. Sellari return for 9 yds , return for no gain to the DAV 19

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

San Diego Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the DAV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Luke Durkin run for 6 yds to the DAV 40

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Luke Durkin run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAV 39

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Durkin sacked by Brian Coburn for a loss of 8 yards to the DAV 31

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 4 yds to the USD 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the USD 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 39 yds, downed at the DAV 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Luke Durkin run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAV 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Andrew Frazier pass complete to Brody Reina for 2 yds to the DAV 30

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Andrew Frazier run for 3 yds to the DAV 33

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 36 yds, downed at the USD 31

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Davidson Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on CARTER, Daniel enforced (Daniel Carter) to the DAV 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 4 yds to the DAV 24

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Davidson Penalty, Offsides (Darryn Kindles) to the DAV 19

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Logan Gingg run for 1 yd to the DAV 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Gingg run for 1 yd to the DAV 17

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.76

Grant Sergent sacked by Julian Rawlins for a loss of 6 yards to the DAV 23

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Aidan Lehman 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.20

Sam Valor run for 25 yds to the DAV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mason Sheron run for 5 yds to the USD 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaleel Sales run for 4 yds to the USD 43

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

San Diego Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the USD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sam Valor run for 5 yds to the USD 33

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the USD 30

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.50

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the USD 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Kellyn West run for 8 yds to the USD 20

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaleel Sales run for 5 yds to the USD 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Durkin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Davidson Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kellyn West) to the USD 25

3rd & 20Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Luke Durkin sacked by Jerry Riggins and Mason Sheron for a loss of 4 yards to the USD 29

4th & 24Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Adam Zouagui 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Logan Gingg run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Logan Gingg run for 6 yds to the DAV 44

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Logan Gingg run for 1 yd to the DAV 43

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the DAV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the DAV 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 9 yds to the DAV 31

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (Oliver Bari) to the DAV 36

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.18

Grant Sergent sacked by Ashton Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the DAV 42

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Andrew Frazier run for no gain to the DAV 20

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Sam Valor run for 10 yds to the DAV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Luke Durkin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.19

Sam Valor run for 14 yds to the DAV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Luke Durkin pass complete to Brody Reina for a loss of 5 yards to the DAV 39

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kellyn West run for 3 yds to the DAV 42

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaleel Sales run for no gain to the DAV 42

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Durkin pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the DAV 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the DAV 36

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

San Diego Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nick Struempf) to the DAV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kenyon Sims run for 2 yds to the DAV 45

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (Ja'seem Reed) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 6 yds to the DAV 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.13

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 10 yds to the DAV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the DAV 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+46 yds

Aidan Lehman 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.15

run for a loss of 7 yards to the DAV 16 fumbled, recovered by DAV Jaleel Sales

2nd & 19Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.07

Luke Durkin pass complete to Sam Valor for no gain to the DAV 16

3rd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Luke Durkin run for 1 yd to the DAV 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the USD 38

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.56

Dom Nankil sacked by Dixon Hudson for a loss of 9 yards to the USD 29

3rd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Isaiah Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 28

Situational Analysis

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
52%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th