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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
VMI
3
-Final
27
Samford
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Samford by 24.2

Home Win Probability

Samford 91%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Samford -17

Edge: Samford -17 (7.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VMI
30003
Samford
7107327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-317-324-327-3
SamfordVMI

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VMISAMVMISAMVMISAMVMISAMVMISAMVMISAMSAMVMISAMVMISAMVMISAMVMISAMVMISAMFG1660ydTD971ydPUNT418ydTD770ydPUNT6-2ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-9ydFG47ydPUNT617ydPUNT322ydPUNT33ydEND1-5ydMISS860ydPUNT59ydPUNT31ydTO511ydTD26ydPUNT36ydPUNT630ydPUNT35ydFG1047ydPUNT68ydEND419yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing VMI and Samford
StatisticVMISamford
Passing14-2826-30
Pass Yards87196
Rush Yards42116
Total Yards129312
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-174-11
Penalties5-402-15
Possession30:2829:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

VMI
passing
Brady Hammonds
14/28, 87 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Hunter Rice
23 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Ivan Thorpe
3 REC, 35 YDS
Samford
passing
Quincy Crittendon
26/30, 196 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Micah Kelly
9 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
E. Jai Mason
7 REC, 76 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Hunter Rice run for 14 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Hunter Rice run for 8 yds to the VMI 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the VMI 48

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Brady Hammonds run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 7 yds to the SAM 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the SAM 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the SAM 41

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the SAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Luke Schalow run for 4 yds to the SAM 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Luke Schalow run for 2 yds to the SAM 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 10 yds to the SAM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the SAM 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 6 yds to the SAM 16

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the SAM 15

4th & 2Field Goal Good+33 yds

Caden Beck 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 7 yds to the SAM 36

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the SAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 8 yds to the SAM 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.87

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 22 yds to the VMI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 9 yds to the VMI 20

2nd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.65

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 17 yds to the VMI 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the VMI 2

2nd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 5 yds for a TD (Forrest Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 21 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VMI Penalty, False Start (Morgan McPhaul) to the VMI 41

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 43

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+10 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 37 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for 10 yds to the SAM 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon for 5 yds to the SAM 35

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Damonta Witherspoon run for 13 yds to the SAM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the SAM 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.98

Quincy Crittendon run for 16 yds to the VMI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 17 yds to the VMI 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 18 yds for a TD (Forrest Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 20

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Hunter Rice run for 7 yds to the VMI 27

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.63

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the VMI 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

VMI Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brady Hammonds) to the VMI 13

2nd & 25Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Hunter Rice for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 10

3rd & 28Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Luke Schalow run for 6 yds to the VMI 16

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 2 yds to the VMI 48

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Micah Kelly run for 2 yds to the VMI 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 5 yds to the VMI 41

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Samford Penalty, False Start (Jaylon Barden) to the VMI 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Destin Moore at the VMI 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.26

Brady Hammonds sacked by Kamron Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the VMI 1

3rd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the VMI 2

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 19 yds, downed at the VMI 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 9 yds to the VMI 12

2nd & 1Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Samuel Willoughby for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Samuel Willoughby for 1 yd to the VMI 14

4th & 3Field Goal Good+31 yds

Forrest Taylor 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the VMI 25

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 4 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 6 yds to the VMI 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 55 yds, downed at the SAM 6

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CRITTENDON, Quincy pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COUSIN, Iaan thrown to the SAM45. PENALTY VMI Pass Interference on LOCKS, Asa enforced 15 yards to the SAM21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Micah Kelly run for 2 yds to the SAM 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 5 yds to the SAM 28

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the SAM 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the SAM 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the SAM 17

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.72

(00:44) [NHSG] Kneel down by CRITTENDON, Quincy at SAM12 (team loss of 5).

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Quincy Crittendon run for 12 yds to the SAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Micah Kelly run for 4 yds to the SAM 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.35

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 10 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +0.92

Micah Kelly run for 30 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Micah Kelly run for 2 yds to the VMI 13

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the VMI 11

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Forrest Taylor 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Morgan McPhaul for 8 yds to the VMI 28

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Hunter Rice run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 26

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

HAMMONDS, Brady scrambles up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the VMI28 (DEARMAN, Edwin). PENALTY SAM Holding on YANCEY, Jalik enforced 10 yards from the VMI28 to the VMI38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HAMMONDS, Brady pass to the left complete for 3 yards to SHIPE, Aslin caught at the VMI35 and advanced to the VMI41 (THOMPSON, Jamall). PENALTY VMI Holding on THORPE, Ivan enforced 10 yards from the VMI38 to the VMI28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Hunter Rice run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 27

3rd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Hammonds run for 2 yds to the VMI 29

4th & 19Punt+6 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 46 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for 6 yds to the SAM 31

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Quincy Crittendon run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAM 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for 3 yds to the SAM 31

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Quincy Crittendon run for 1 yd to the SAM 32

4th & 9Punt+47 yds

Will Thorley punt for 47 yds , Ivan Thorpe returns for no gain to the VMI 23 , returns for no gain to the VMI 23

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Aslin Shipe for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 22

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 12 yds to the VMI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+45 ydsPPA -0.11

Brady Hammonds pass intercepted Midnight Steward return for 45 yds to the VMI 6

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Quincy Crittendon run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 8 yds for a TD (Forrest Taylor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Hunter Rice run for 6 yds to the VMI 35

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 35

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 48 yds, downed at the SAM 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the SAM 21

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

CRITTENDON, Quincy pass short to the left complete for 2 yards to WITHERSPOON, Damonta caught at the SAM23 and advanced to the SAM23 (JONES, Shamus). PENALTY VMI Holding on LOCKS, Asa enforced 10 yards from the SAM21 to the SAM31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Wesley Carlock for 6 yds to the SAM 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Tate Taylor for 8 yds to the SAM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the SAM 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon for no gain to the SAM 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 49 yds, downed at the VMI 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 6

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 2 yds to the VMI 8

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Morgan McPhaul for 1 yd to the VMI 9

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the SAM 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 5 yds to the SAM 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.19

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for no gain to the SAM 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.63

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 17 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Micah Kelly run for 12 yds to the VMI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Micah Kelly run for 3 yds to the VMI 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 15 yds to the VMI 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Micah Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 9

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Micah Kelly run for 5 yds to the VMI 4

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.94

Quincy Crittendon sacked by Eric Rankin for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Forrest Taylor 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the VMI 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 7 yds to the VMI 22

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Brady Hammonds pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 7 yds to the VMI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brady Hammonds pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.32

Brady Hammonds sacked by Mailk Gaither for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 22

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the SAM 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ken Cherry run for 4 yds to the SAM 48

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ken Cherry run for 3 yds to the VMI 49

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.67

Haden Klees run for 7 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jonathan Bennett run for 5 yds to the VMI 37

Situational Analysis

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
18 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Samford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
54%
24 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th