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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arizona State by 14.5

Home Win Probability

Arizona State 80%

Market (Bovada)

Arizona State -2.5

Edge: Arizona State -2.5 (12.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
7107731
Arizona StateArizona State
7147735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-107-1714-1728-2428-3135-31
Arizona StateUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFASUCFUCFASUCFASUCFUCFASUCFASUCFASUCFASUCFASUCFASUCFTD1375ydDOWNS939ydTD3-1ydFG1147ydPUNT3-1ydTD1166ydTD975ydTO10ydMISS525ydPUNT631ydPUNT1028ydPUNT312ydTD554ydTD875ydTD675ydPUNT3-24ydMISS48ydTD971ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS712ydEND111yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Arizona State
StatisticUCFArizona State
Passing24-3416-25
Pass Yards229161
Rush Yards17799
Total Yards406260
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-136-12
Penalties9-805-41
Possession31:2028:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
Dylan Rizk
24/34, 229 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
RJ Harvey
25 CAR, 127 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Randy Pittman
4 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Quadric Bullard
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Arizona State
passing
Sam Leavitt
16/25, 161 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Kyson Brown
18 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Jordyn Tyson
7 REC, 99 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 7 yds to the UCF 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 1 yd to the UCF 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.52

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 18 yds to the ASU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the ASU 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 3 yds to the ASU 40

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UCF False Start (Rubelt,Paul) 5 yards from ASU40 to ASU45. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UCF False Start (Jones,Jacoby) 5 yards from ASU45 to ASU50. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 10 yds to the ASU 40

4th & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.58

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 7 yds to the ASU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the ASU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 3 yds to the ASU 26

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Myles Montgomery run for 13 yds to the ASU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 5 yds to the ASU 8

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.46

RJ Harvey run for 8 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Evan Morris kickoff for 65 yds , Jake Smith return for 21 yds to the ASU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 4 yds to the ASU 25

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Kyson Brown run for 14 yds to the ASU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sam Leavitt run for 5 yds to the ASU 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Kyson Brown

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.35

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jake Smith for 10 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kyson Brown run for 4 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kyson Brown run for 3 yds to the UCF 39

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the UCF 40

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jordyn Tyson

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jordyn Tyson

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Dylan Rizk sacked by Jacob Rich Kongaika for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ja'Cari Henderson) declined

4th & 11Blocked Punt Touchdown+46 ydsPPA -6.89

Montana Warren 46 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Parker Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Dylan Rizk pass complete to RJ Harvey for 2 yds to the UCF 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 9 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 23 yds to the ASU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the ASU 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the ASU 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.15

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 8 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UCF False Start (Kight,Amari) 5 yards from ASU28 to ASU33. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UCF False Start (Marshall,Marcellus) 5 yards from ASU33 to ASU38. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete to Jacoby Jones

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 10 yds to the ASU 28

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete to Jacoby Jones

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Grant Reddick 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Sam Leavitt sacked by Daylan Dotson for a loss of 10 yards to the ASU 15

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kyson Brown run for 4 yds to the ASU 19

3rd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Sam Leavitt run for 5 yds to the ASU 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 38

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.42

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 10 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Myles Montgomery run for 13 yds to the ASU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the ASU 39

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the ASU 37

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the ASU 35

4th & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.41

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 9 yds to the ASU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 19 yds to the ASU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Dylan Rizk run for 1 yd to the ASU 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Jacurri Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sam Leavitt run for 4 yds to the ASU 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Kyson Brown run for 7 yds to the ASU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 20 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 3 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 13Penalty+15 yds

(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Leavitt,Sam sacked for loss of 10 yards to the ASU43 (Kelly,Nyjalik) PENALTY UCF Face Mask (Kelly,Nyjalik) 15 yards from UCF47 to UCF32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ASU False Start (Atkins,Joshua) 5 yards from UCF32 to UCF37. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Kyson Brown run for 9 yds to the UCF 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.38

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 14 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Sam Leavitt run for 8 yds to the UCF 6

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.41

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 2 yds to the UCF 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 4 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

Parker Lewis kickoff for 65 yds , Christian Peterson return for 1 yd to the UCF 1

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Parker Lewis kickoff for 33 yds , Randy Pittman Jr. return for 4 yds to the UCF 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 9 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+8 yds

Arizona State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Myles Rowser) declined

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Rizk,Dylan pass complete short left to Harvey,RJ caught at ASU45, for 2 yards to the ASU42 (McCullough,Caleb) PENALTY ASU Offside (Kongaika,Jacob) 5 yards from ASU44 to ASU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+57 yds

Grant Reddick 57 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half-61 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Evan Morris kickoff for 65 yds , Jake Smith return for 24 yds to the ASU 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyson Brown run for 5 yds to the ASU 29

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.39

Kyson Brown run for 12 yds to the ASU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.36

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 17 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ASU False Start (Iheanachor,Max) 5 yards from UCF42 to UCF47. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Kyson Brown

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 9 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Johnny Richardson run for 4 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.31

Myles Montgomery run for 8 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.39

RJ Harvey run for 18 yds to the ASU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete to Jacoby Jones

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.26

Dylan Rizk sacked by Prince Dorbah for a loss of 10 yards to the ASU 47

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UCF False Start (Barr,Ethan) 5 yards from ASU47 to UCF48. NO PLAY.

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the ASU 6

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jordyn Tyson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jake Smith

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.76

Ja'Varrius Johnson run for 20 yds to the ASU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

RJ Harvey run for 10 yds to the ASU 21 for a 1ST down Arizona State Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Jordan Crook) to the ASU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the ASU 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

RJ Harvey 8 Yd Run (Grant Reddick Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the ASU 23

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sam Leavitt run for 5 yds to the ASU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.58

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 29 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Sheldon Arnold) to the UCF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Sam Leavitt run for 8 yds to the UCF 12

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the UCF 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

DeCarlos Brooks run for 2 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jordyn Tyson 9 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Parker Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

RJ Harvey run for 26 yds to the ASU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the ASU 48

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the ASU 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.97

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 8 yds to the ASU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.51

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 24 yds to the ASU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

RJ Harvey 13 Yd Run (Grant Reddick Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the ASU 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.21

Sam Leavitt sacked by Quadric Bullard for a loss of 8 yards to the ASU 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dylan Rizk run for 4 yds to the ASU 33

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the ASU 29

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the ASU 29

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Grant Reddick 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Leavitt,Sam pass incomplete deep middle to Guillory,Xavier thrown to UCF17 PENALTY UCF Pass Interference (Johnson,Chasen) 15 yards from ASU29 to ASU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the ASU 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.76

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 9 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jake Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 5 yds to the UCF 41

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.56

Sam Leavitt run for 7 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 8 yds to the UCF 26

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the UCF 25

3rd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.38

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 12 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jordyn Tyson 13 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Parker Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 7 yds to the UCF 32

2nd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.70

Dylan Rizk sacked by C.J. Fite for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 9 yds to the UCF 33

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the UCF 32

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Kyson Brown run for 7 yds to the UCF 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Sam Leavitt run for 2 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the UCF 21

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kyson Brown run for 3 yds to the UCF 18

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Sam Leavitt run for 4 yds to the UCF 22

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.74

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.74

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 11 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Arizona State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays