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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 51%

Market (Bovada)

Cincinnati -5

Edge: Arizona State +5 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arizona StateArizona State
707014
CincinnatiCincinnati
10140024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-710-717-724-724-14
CincinnatiArizona State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINASCINASCINASCINASCINASCINASCINASCINASASCINASCINASCINASCINPUNT32ydTD666ydTO523ydTO16ydTD222ydDOWNS516ydFG613ydPUNT416ydTD691ydPUNT37ydPUNT519ydDOWNS524ydTD550ydPUNT36ydMISS944ydEND27ydPUNT725ydPUNT723ydTD874ydDOWNS1472ydMISS867ydPUNT828ydMISS1357ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arizona State and Cincinnati
StatisticArizona StateCincinnati
Passing12-2323-31
Pass Yards155206
Rush Yards191201
Total Yards346407
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-123-12
Penalties2-204-55
Possession25:2034:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arizona State
passing
Jeff Sims
12/23, 155 YDS
rushing
Cameron Skattebo
17 CAR, 75 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jordyn Tyson
6 REC, 108 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
23/31, 206 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Corey Kiner
22 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
8 REC, 67 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 4 yds to the CIN 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.20

Jeff Sims pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 20 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyson Brown run for 5 yds to the CIN 37

2nd & 5Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.89

Kyson Brown run for 29 yds to the CIN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the CIN 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (Ian Hershey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.92

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 16 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Barry Jackson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CIN 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.19

Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted Keith Abney II return for no gain to the ASU 16

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.42

Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 22 Cam Skattebo fumbled, recovered by CIN Kameron Wilson K. Wilson return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Evan Pryor run for 8 yds to the ASU 14

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.18

Brendan Sorsby run for 14 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 15 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

DeCarlos Brooks run for no gain to the ASU 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the ASU 48

4th & 2Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.85

Jeff Sims pass complete to Cam Skattebo for a loss of 7 yards to the ASU 41

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the ASU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 14 yds to the ASU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.63

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 6 yards to the ASU 34 Corey Kiner fumbled, recovered by CIN Tony Johnson T. Johnson return for 3 yds

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the ASU 33

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 5 yds to the ASU 28

4th & 7Field Goal Good+46 yds

Nathan Hawks 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 23 yds to the ASU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the CIN 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the CIN 45

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

(00:31) SIMS, Jeff pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to METAYER, Chamon caught at the CIN42 and advanced to the CIN41 (SANKS, Jiquan), out of bounds, clock 00:23. PENALTY Before the snap, ASU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the CIN45 to the ASU50. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.45

Jeff Sims sacked by Jonathan Thompson for a loss of 9 yards to the ASU 41

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 50 yds, downed at the CIN 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 13 yds to the CIN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 9 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the CIN 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.80

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Evan Pryor run for 55 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ASU 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jeff Sims run for no gain to the ASU 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 56 yds, downed at the CIN 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 13 yds to the CIN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CIN 16

1st & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds to the CIN 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the CIN 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 26

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the ASU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

DeCarlos Brooks run for 5 yds to the ASU 47

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

DeCarlos Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 5 yds to the CIN 49

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Cam Skattebo run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 47

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 15 yds to the ASU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 17 yds to the ASU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Corey Kiner run for 20 yds to the ASU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the ASU 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 3 yds to the CIN 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 40

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 8 yds to the ASU 48

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Arizona State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Caleb McCullough) to the ASU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 5 yds to the ASU 24

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Nathan Hawks 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the ASU 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 65 yds , Jake Smith return for 35 yds to the ASU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 13 yds to the ASU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the CIN 43

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Kyson Brown run for 7 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the CIN 35

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.98

Jeff Sims sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 40

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 17

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the CIN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.09

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Jacob Rich Kongaika for a loss of 9 yards to the CIN 27

3rd & 19Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 9 yds to the CIN 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Cam Skattebo run for 16 yds to the ASU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Jeff Sims pass complete to Troy Omeire for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Cam Skattebo run for 8 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

DeCarlos Brooks run for 13 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

DeCarlos Brooks run for 3 yds to the CIN 26

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(03:58) SIMS, Jeff pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TYSON, Jordyn thrown to the CIN0, clock 03:53. PENALTY CIN Pass Interference on ARNOLD, Ormanie enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the CIN11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the CIN 3

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.14

Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the CIN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD (Ian Hershey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the CIN 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Barry Jackson Jr. run for 3 yds to the ASU 47

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Brendan Sorsby run for 12 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the ASU 32

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.82

Brendan Sorsby run for a loss of 5 yards to the ASU 37

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 9 yds to the ASU 28

4th & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.59

Corey Kiner run for 18 yds to the ASU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the ASU 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 7 yds to the ASU 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -4.08

Tony Johnson run for no gain to the ASU 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 5

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ASU 12

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the ASU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 42 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the CIN 32

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

DeCarlos Brooks run for 2 yds to the CIN 30

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Ian Hershey 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.22

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 14 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 49

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.22

Brendan Sorsby run for 13 yds to the ASU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the ASU 37

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the ASU 32

3rd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.89

TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the ASU 42

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the ASU 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 10 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jeff Sims pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 6 yds to the ASU 41

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.91

Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the ASU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jeff Sims pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 9 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.22

Jeff Sims pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 11 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Ian Hershey 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

(00:23) [SG] Kneel down by SORSBY, Brendan at CIN23 (team loss of 0), clock 00:16.

Situational Analysis

Arizona State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
64%
28 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays