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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Samford by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Samford 47%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Samford -12.5

Edge: Alabama State +12.5 (11.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alabama State
70007
Samford
066012

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-76-712-7
SamfordAlabama State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAMASSAMASSAMASSAMASSAMASSAMASSAMASSAMASSAMASSAMASSAMASSAMASSAMPUNT614ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-10ydTD461ydPUNT614ydPUNT37ydPUNT46ydPUNT611ydTO548ydPUNT617ydTD777ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydMISS1360ydEND1-5ydPUNT33ydTD1354ydPUNT522ydMISS856ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT511ydPUNT638ydPUNT628ydPUNT3-8ydEND615yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama State and Samford
StatisticAlabama StateSamford
Passing9-2319-25
Pass Yards106185
Rush Yards103120
Total Yards209305
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-165-17
Penalties6-373-26
Possession25:0134:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama State
passing
Zach Sims
9/23, 106 YDS
rushing
Marcus II Harris
11 CAR, 58 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
BaKari Dailey
2 REC, 51 YDS
Samford
passing
Quincy Crittendon
19/25, 185 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Damonta Witherspoon
23 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Iaan Cousin
4 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 60 yds , D.J. Rias return for 18 yds to the SAM 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Quincy Crittendon run for 7 yds to the SAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.01

run for a loss of 6 yards to the SAM 30

3rd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon for 7 yds to the SAM 37

2nd & 10Penalty-11 yds

Samford Penalty, Offensive Holding (E. Jai Mason) to the SAM 28

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 29 yds, downed at the ALST 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zach Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, False Start (Josh Daniel) to the ALST 29

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for no gain to the ALST 29

3rd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Sims pass complete to Marcus Harris II for no gain to the ALST 29

4th & 15Punt+3 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 48 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for 3 yds to the SAM 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the SAM 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.16

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Quincy Crittendon for a loss of 9 yards to the SAM 21

3rd & 15Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.10

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for a loss of 5 yards to the SAM 16

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

AJ Gates Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 36

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Daquon Kincey run for 3 yds to the ALST 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.14

Zach Sims pass complete to Bakari Dailey for 47 yds to the SAM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Marcus Harris II run for 14 yds for a TD (Brandon Gilliam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the SAM 28

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the SAM 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.85

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 8 yds to the SAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the SAM 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the SAM 44

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.21

Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAM 40

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Marcus Harris II run for no gain to the ALST 19

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

AJ Gates Jr. run for 7 yds to the ALST 26

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Zach Sims pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 34 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for no gain to the SAM 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Preston Bird for 13 yds to the ALST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Micah Kelly run for 2 yds to the ALST 42

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Micah Kelly run for 3 yds to the ALST 39

3rd & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.73

Quincy Crittendon sacked by Treqwan Thomas and Tyler Swann for a loss of 12 yards to the SAM 49

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Harris II run for 5 yds to the ALST 15

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Zach Sims pass complete to Ajai Harrell for 9 yds to the ALST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Zach Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.44

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 21

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Sims pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 40 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for no gain to the SAM 21 Samford Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SAM 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the SAM 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.60

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 48 yds to the ALST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Quincy Crittendon run for 4 yds to the ALST 5

2nd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.89

Iaan Cousin run for a loss of 8 yards to the ALST 13

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return+19 ydsPPA -3.67

Quincy Crittendon pass intercepted Rhoody Jean-Louis return for 19 yds to the ALST 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tacaris Bozeman run for no gain to the ALST 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Zach Sims pass complete to Jalen Jones for 6 yds to the ALST 35

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.85

Marcus Harris II run for 7 yds to the ALST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

AJ Gates Jr. run for no gain to the ALST 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Zach Sims pass complete to Bakari Dailey for 4 yds to the ALST 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Zach Sims pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+5 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 36 yds , D.J. Rias returns for 5 yds to the SAM 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the SAM 26

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.05

Quincy Crittendon run for 7 yds to the SAM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.80

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 46 yds to the ALST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the ALST 17

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Damonta Witherspoon run for 10 yds to the ALST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Quincy Crittendon run for 2 yds to the ALST 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 5 yds for a TD (Forrest Taylor PAT BLOCKED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Wilson Beaverstock kickoff for 65 yds , AJ Gates Jr. return for 16 yds to the ALST 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus Harris II run for 4 yds to the ALST 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Zach Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Zach Sims pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 29 yds, fair catch by D.J. Rias at the ALST 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Damonta Witherspoon run for no gain to the ALST 49

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Quincy Crittendon run for 3 yds to the ALST 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Tacaris Bozeman run for 1 yd to the ALST 9

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.79

Tacaris Bozeman run for 12 yds to the ALST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tacaris Bozeman run for 2 yds to the ALST 23

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 9 yds to the ALST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zach Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.09

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 25 yds to the SAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for no gain to the SAM 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Zach Sims pass complete to Ajai Harrell for 9 yds to the SAM 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Marcus Harris II run for 3 yds to the SAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Zach Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Zach Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Zach Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAM 32

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Brandon Gilliam 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.46

[NHSG] Kneel down by CRITTENDON, Quincy at SAM27 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Forrest Taylor kickoff for 62 yds , AJ Gates Jr. return for 14 yds to the ALST 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for no gain to the ALST 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Sims pass complete to Derick Harden for 3 yds to the ALST 20

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Sims pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 34 yds, fair catch by D.J. Rias at the SAM 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 6 yds to the ALST 48

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds to the ALST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 8 yds to the ALST 34

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA -0.01

Damonta Witherspoon run for 13 yds to the ALST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the ALST 18

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds to the ALST 12

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the ALST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ken Cherry run for 4 yds to the ALST 4

2nd & 4Penalty+3 yds

CHERRY, Ken rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the ASU1 (FLETCHER, Jakeem;JEAN-LOUIS, Rhoody). PENALTY Before the snap, ASU Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the ASU4 to the ASU2. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ken Cherry run for no gain to the ALST 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Quincy Crittendon run for 1 yd to the ALST 1

4th & 1Penalty+1 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Caleb Offord) to the ALST 0

1st & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Quincy Crittendon run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 1 Quincy Crittendon fumbled, recovered by SAM Quincy Crittendon

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Quincy Crittendon run for no gain to the ALST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Wilson Beaverstock kickoff for 60 yds , Robert McMinn return for no gain to the ALST 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Harris II run for 5 yds to the ALST 20

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Marcus Harris II run for 11 yds to the ALST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 3 yds to the ALST 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Sims pass complete to Jalen Jones for 3 yds to the ALST 37

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for no gain to the ALST 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 31 yds, downed at the SAM 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 16 yds to the SAM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for no gain to the SAM 48

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Quincy Crittendon run for 1 yd to the SAM 49

3rd & 9Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.36

Damonta Witherspoon run for 33 yds to the ALST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the ALST 14

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ken Cherry run for 2 yds to the ALST 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Forrest Taylor 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zach Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Marcus Harris II run for 4 yds to the ALST 24

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Sims sacked by Nick Jackson and Conroy Cunningham II for a loss of 10 yards to the ALST 14

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 33 yds, fair catch by D.J. Rias at the ALST 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Quincy Crittendon run for 3 yds to the ALST 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 10 yds to the ALST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Ken Cherry run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 37

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 13Penalty-6 yds

Samford Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the ALST 43

3rd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 7 yds to the ALST 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Marcus Harris II run for 4 yds to the ALST 8

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Harris II run for 1 yd to the ALST 9

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.85

Zach Sims pass complete to AJ Gates Jr. for 25 yds to the ALST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Tacaris Bozeman run for 8 yds to the ALST 42

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Zach Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tacaris Bozeman run for no gain to the ALST 42

4th & 2Punt+17 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 38 yds , D.J. Rias returns for 17 yds to the SAM 37

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Iaan Cousin run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAM 34

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Damonta Witherspoon run for 9 yds to the SAM 44 Damonta Witherspoon fumbled, recovered by SAM E. Jai Mason E. Jai Mason return for 1 yds

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the ALST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 4 yds to the ALST 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to D.J. Rias for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 5 yds to the ALST 35

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 35 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Robert McMinn run for a loss of 6 yards to the ALST 14

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

AJ Gates Jr. run for 7 yds to the ALST 21

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.22

Zach Sims sacked by Makhi Gilbert for a loss of 9 yards to the ALST 12

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the ALST 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 3 yds to the ALST 36

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the ALST 31

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Damonta Witherspoon run for 15 yds to the ALST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

[NHSG] Kneel down by CRITTENDON, Quincy at ASU19 (team loss of 3).

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

[SG] Kneel down by CRITTENDON, Quincy at ASU21 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 15Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.74

[SG] Kneel down by CRITTENDON, Quincy at ASU25 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
19%
21 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Samford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
28 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th