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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 16.8

Home Win Probability

NC State 84%

Market (Bovada)

NC State -4

Edge: NC State -4 (12.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wake ForestWake Forest
10731434
NC StateNC State
3137730

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-1010-1013-1016-1723-2030-2730-34
NC StateWake Forest

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFFG962ydTO765ydTD22ydFG1157ydPUNT413ydTD1255ydPUNT36ydFG1361ydTD775ydFG955ydEND1-1ydPUNT32ydTO2-8ydMISS43ydTO211ydPUNT35ydFG852ydTD775ydPUNT3-3ydTD762ydTD975ydPUNT31ydTD1365ydTO10ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wake Forest and NC State
StatisticWake ForestNC State
Passing16-3231-47
Pass Yards154314
Rush Yards161105
Total Yards315419
Turnovers22
3rd Down3-118-15
Penalties4-425-52
Possession24:0835:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wake Forest
passing
Hank Bachmeier
16/32, 154 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Demond Claiborne
20 CAR, 136 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Micah Mays Jr.
4 REC, 48 YDS
defense
NC State
passing
CJ Bailey
28/42, 272 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kendrick Raphael
10 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin Joly
4 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 5 yds to the WAKE 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Demond Claiborne run for 7 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Hank Bachmeier run for 20 yds to the NCSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 7 yds to the NCSU 36

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.27

Demond Claiborne run for 18 yds to the NCSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 5 yds to the NCSU 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+31 yds

Matthew Dennis 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Grayson McCall pass complete to Noah Rogers for 7 yds to the NCSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Grayson McCall pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 5 yds to the WAKE 37 for a 1ST down Wake Forest Penalty, Targeting (Davaughn Patterson) to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.09

Grayson McCall pass complete to Justin Joly for 30 yds to the WAKE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the WAKE 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -3.52

Grayson McCall run for 9 yds to the WAKE 10, Grayson McCall fumbled, recovered by WAKE Evan Slocum, returned 88 yards to the NCSU 2

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yd to the NCSU 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for no gain to the NCSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 13 yds to the NCSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for 10 yds to the NCSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kendrick Raphael for 7 yds to the WAKE 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the WAKE 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.66

CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 24 yds to the WAKE 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.42

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 18

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+35 yds

Kanoah Vinesett 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 13 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSU 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kevin Concepcion run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Jordan Waters run for 9 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Jordan Waters run for 8 yds to the WAKE 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 11 yds to the WAKE 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevin Concepcion run for 3 yds to the WAKE 16

2nd & 7Penalty+7 yds

Wake Forest Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (7 Yards) to the WAKE 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.72

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a loss of 5 yards to the WAKE 12

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the WAKE 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 9 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+3 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 51 yds , Kevin Concepcion returns for 3 yds to the NCSU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.87

CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for 22 yds to the NCSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 8 yds to the WAKE 49

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Kendrick Raphael run for 6 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 9 yds to the WAKE 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Kevin Concepcion run for no gain to the WAKE 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the WAKE 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.16

CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 8 yds to the WAKE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.48

CJ Bailey sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WAKE 29

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.20

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 11 yds to the WAKE 18

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Kanoah Vinesett 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 15 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 11 yds to the NCSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 11 yds to the NCSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Bachmeier,Hank pass incomplete deep right to Alexander,Deuce thrown to NCSU10 PENALTY NCSU Pass Interference (Carter,Ja'Had) 15 yards from NCSU38 to NCSU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.63

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 23 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 7 yds to the NCSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 7 yds to the NCSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 14 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kendrick Raphael for 9 yds to the WAKE 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 11 yds to the WAKE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

CJ Bailey run for 5 yds to the WAKE 20

2nd & 5Field Goal Good+37 yds

Kanoah Vinesett 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

H. Bachmeier takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 7 yds to the NCSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

CJ Bailey run for 5 yds to the NCSU 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAKE 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 44

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.76

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Sean Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the WAKE 35 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by WAKE Sean Brown , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the WAKE 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Kanoah Vinesett 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Demond Claiborne run for 11 yds to the WAKE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.53

Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Waters run for 4 yds to the NCSU 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

(10:47) Shotgun Bailey,CJ rush right for 8 yards gain to the NCSU49 (Stevenson,Zamari), out of bounds PENALTY NCSU Holding (McKay,Timothy) 10 yards from NCSU41 to NCSU31. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 11 yds to the NCSU 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 25

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Demond Claiborne run for 32 yds to the NCSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the NCSU 41

2nd & 8Penalty+7 yds

(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Bachmeier,Hank pass incomplete short left to Morin,Taylor thrown to NCSU35 PENALTY NCSU Pass Interference (Marshall,Devon) 7 yards from NCSU41 to NCSU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Horatio Fields for 7 yds to the NCSU 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.07

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Harry Lodge for 7 yds to the NCSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WFU False Start (Gulbin,Matt) 5 yards from NCSU20 to NCSU25. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 2 yds to the NCSU 23

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+41 yds

Matthew Dennis 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 14 yds to the NCSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

CJ Bailey run for 8 yds to the NCSU 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the NCSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.22

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kendrick Raphael for 11 yds to the WAKE 40 for a 1ST down Wake Forest Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Jasheen Davis) to the WAKE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kendrick Raphael run for 5 yds to the WAKE 20

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Kendrick Raphael run for 20 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Devon Betty for a loss of 3 yards to the WAKE 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for 6 yds to the NCSU 44

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the NCSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 10 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the WAKE 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 10 yds to the WAKE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Kevin Concepcion run for 8 yds to the WAKE 22

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.30

CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 22 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the WAKE 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Tamarcus Cooley for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 36 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by WAKE Nick Sharpe , return for 0 yards

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Bachmeier,Hank pass incomplete short right to Claiborne,Demond thrown to WFU40 QB hurried by Betty,Devon PENALTY NCSU Roughing The Passer (Betty,Devon) 15 yards from WFU36 to NCSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the NCSU 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.64

Hank Bachmeier run for 16 yds to the NCSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Demond Claiborne run for 32 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the NCSU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for 7 yds to the NCSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

(07:25) Noonkester,Caden punt 54 yards to the WFU15 fair catch by Morin,Taylor at WFU15 PENALTY NCSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from NCSU31 to NCSU26. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt+15 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 54 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 15 yds to the WAKE 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 34

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Demond Claiborne run for 8 yds to the WAKE 42

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.52

Deuce Alexander run for 3 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 47

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the WAKE 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.40

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 17 yds to the NCSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tate Carney run for 5 yds to the NCSU 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the NCSU 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the NCSU 26

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.33

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 6 yds to the NCSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 17 yds to the NCSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

CJ Bailey pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

H. Bachmeier takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

H. Bachmeier takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
41%
29 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
36 plays
2nd
38%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
7 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th