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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
SMUSMU
34
-Final
27
LouisvilleLouisville
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 1

Home Win Probability

Louisville 43%

Market (Bovada)

Louisville -7

Edge: SMU +7 (8.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SMUSMU
14103734
LouisvilleLouisville
10314027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-710-1413-2120-2427-2727-34
LouisvilleSMU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMULOUSMULOUSMULOUSMULOUSMULOULOUSMULOUSMULOUSMULOUSMULOUSMUTD875ydTD565ydTD675ydFG846ydPUNT619ydPUNT1036ydTD578ydFG1036ydFG1037ydEND1-1ydTD878ydFG649ydTD390ydMISS542ydDOWNS1048ydPUNT38ydPUNT624ydTD1189ydTO1056ydEND630yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SMU and Louisville
StatisticSMULouisville
Passing22-2822-35
Pass Yards291329
Rush Yards190132
Total Yards481461
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-114-12
Penalties7-777-61
Possession25:3734:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SMU
passing
Kevin Jennings
21/27, 281 YDS
rushing
Kevin Jennings
10 CAR, 113 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
R.J. Maryland
6 REC, 83 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Tyler Shough
22/35, 329 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaac Brown
10 CAR, 117 YDS
receiving
Ja'Corey Brooks
3 REC, 121 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 33 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the LOU 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Brashard Smith for 13 yds to the LOU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Brashard Smith run for 2 yds to the LOU 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 9 yds to the LOU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the LOU 11

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Kevin Jennings run for 6 yds to the LOU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Donald Chaney run for 3 yds to the LOU 38

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Isaac Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +4.76

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 58 yds to the SMU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Shough run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 6 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 31 yds to the LOU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Brashard Smith run for 1 yd to the LOU 43

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Louisville Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tayon Holloway) to the LOU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brashard Smith run for 4 yds to the LOU 27

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.01

Kevin Jennings run for 22 yds to the LOU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LOU 10

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Preston Stone pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Collin Rogers kickoff for 65 yds , Isaac Brown return for 25 yds to the LOU 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.24

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 29 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 6 yds to the SMU 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyler Shough pass complete to Caullin Lacy for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+46 yds

Brock Travelstead 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Brashard Smith for no gain to the SMU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 5 yds to the SMU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.17

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the SMU 34 fumbled, recovered by SMU Roderick Daniels Jr. R. Daniels Jr. return for 0 yds

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 6 yds to the SMU 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Brashard Smith for 4 yds to the SMU 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Isaac Pearson punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Donald Chaney run for 4 yds to the LOU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Tyler Shough pass complete to Donald Chaney for 7 yds to the LOU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.84

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 10 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Louisville Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LOU 33

2nd & 18Penalty+15 yds

(11:29) SHOUGH, Tyler pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROOKS, Ja'Corey thrown to the SMU35, clock 11:30. PENALTY SMU Pass Interference on CROSSLEY, Brandon enforced 15 yards to the LOU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 5 yds to the SMU 47

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.03

Isaac Brown run for 15 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.95

Tyler Shough sacked by Elijah Roberts for a loss of 12 yards to the SMU 44

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Brady Hodges punt for 22 yds, downed at the SMU 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Brashard Smith run for 2 yds to the SMU 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 9 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 2 yds to the SMU 35

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(07:49) JENNINGS, Kevin pass to the right complete for 10 yards to DIXON, Kelvontay caught at the SMU45 and advanced to the SMU45, End of Play, clock 07:45. PENALTY SMU Holding on BYRD, Savion enforced 10 yards from the SMU35 to the SMU25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 16 yds to the SMU 41

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +5.73

Kevin Jennings run for 59 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Collin Rogers kickoff for 45 yds , Chris Bell return for 5 yds to the LOU 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 13 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Isaac Brown run for 2 yds to the SMU 45

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Keyjuan Brown run for 9 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Keyjuan Brown run for 1 yd to the SMU 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.79

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 12 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.50

Tyler Shough sacked by Cameron Robertson for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 31

2nd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Donald Chaney run for 7 yds to the SMU 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+41 yds

Brock Travelstead 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brashard Smith run for 4 yds to the SMU 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brashard Smith run for 4 yds to the SMU 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Brashard Smith run for 2 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kevin Jennings run for no gain to the SMU 35

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Kevin Jennings run for 13 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 10 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the LOU 38

4th & 6Field Goal Good+55 yds

Collin Rogers 55 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Gabriel Lozano kickoff for 54 yds , Chris Bell return for 6 yds to the LOU 17

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

(00:11) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at LOU16 (team loss of 1), clock 00:03.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Gabriel Lozano kickoff for 59 yds , Chris Bell return for 16 yds to the LOU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 7 yds to the LOU 29

2nd & 3Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.12

Isaac Brown run for 53 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Caullin Lacy run for 9 yds to the SMU 9

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Donald Chaney run for 4 yds to the SMU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Donald Chaney run for no gain to the SMU 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 2 yds to the SMU 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Shough run for 2 yds to the SMU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Donald Chaney run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 33 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 9 yds to the LOU 33

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

(09:14) DANIELS, JR., Roderick rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the LOU30 (QUINN, T.J.), clock 09:13. PENALTY LOU Offsides on THORNTON, Corey enforced 5 yards from the LOU33 to the LOU28 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kevin Jennings run for 6 yds to the LOU 22

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Brashard Smith run for 2 yds to the LOU 20

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Brashard Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 21

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the LOU 26

4th & 8Field Goal Good+43 yds

Collin Rogers 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Gabriel Lozano kickoff for 64 yds , Isaac Brown return for 19 yds to the LOU 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Donald Chaney run for no gain to the LOU 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 4 yds to the LOU 14

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+86 ydsPPA +7.17

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 86 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Louisville Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Guerad) to the LOU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.90

Kevin Jennings run for a loss of 7 yards to the LOU 39

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 6 yds to the LOU 33

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Collin Rogers 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.46

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 16 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Isaac Brown run for 13 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the SMU 30

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Keyjuan Brown run for 1 yd to the SMU 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 9 yds to the SMU 19

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Donald Chaney run for no gain to the SMU 19

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.69

Donald Chaney run for no gain to the SMU 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 8 yds to the SMU 27

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+8 yds

Isaac Pearson punt for 52 yds , Ahmari Huggins-Bruce returns for 8 yds to the LOU 29

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Isaac Brown run for 12 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaac Brown run for 2 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Caullin Lacy run for 1 yd to the SMU 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brady Hodges punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Roderick Daniels Jr. at the SMU 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brashard Smith run for 5 yds to the SMU 16

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brashard Smith run for 4 yds to the SMU 20

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.60

Brashard Smith run for 4 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.49

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 17 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.36

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 17 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the LOU 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.48

Kevin Jennings run for 6 yds to the LOU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.33

Brashard Smith run for 19 yds to the LOU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the LOU 7

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

JENNINGS, Kevin pass up the middle incomplete intended for DIXON, Kelvontay thrown to the LOU0; QB hurried by WATTS, Antonio, clock 06:49. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on THORNTON, Corey enforced 5 yards to the LOU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

(06:42) JENNINGS, Kevin pass short to the right incomplete intended for HIBNER, Matthew thrown to the LOU0; QB hurried by GILLOTTE, Ashton, clock 06:43. PENALTY LOU Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the LOU2 to the LOU1 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 6 yds to the LOU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Shough pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 3 yds to the LOU 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Shough run for no gain to the LOU 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.86

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 32 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

SMU Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on ROBERTSON, Cameron enforced (Cameron Robertson) to the SMU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.03

Tyler Shough sacked by Kori Roberson Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the SMU 21

2nd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 1 yd to the SMU 20

3rd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the SMU 19

4th & 17Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.14

Tyler Shough pass intercepted, touchback. Isaiah Nwokobia return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 5 yds to the SMU 25

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.15

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 18 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

(01:59) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at LOU48 (team loss of 2), clock 01:51.

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

(01:18) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at LOU49 (team loss of 1), clock 01:12.

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

(00:34) Kneel down by TEAM at LOU50 (team loss of 1), clock 00:29.

Situational Analysis

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
47%
30 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
86%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
42%
26 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play