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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4
NC StateNC State
35
-Final
59
ClemsonClemson
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Clemson by 10.7

Home Win Probability

Clemson 76%

Market (Bovada)

Clemson -19

Edge: NC State +19 (8.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NC StateNC State
0772135
ClemsonClemson
281714059

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425621-028-028-742-745-752-1459-2159-2859-35
ClemsonNC State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CLENSCLENSCLENSCLENSCLENSCLENSCLENSCLENSCLENSCLENSCLENSNSCLENSCLENSCLETD475ydPUNT633ydTD691ydTO2-7ydTD518ydTO515ydTD138ydMISS744ydPUNT33ydTD971ydTD575ydPUNT422ydTD989ydPUNT3-17ydEND724ydDOWNS630ydTD755ydTD475ydPUNT627ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-1ydTD10ydTD675ydPUNT31ydTD452ydDOWNS825ydTD1087ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing NC State and Clemson
StatisticNC StateClemson
Passing20-3121-34
Pass Yards257254
Rush Yards179269
Total Yards436523
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-103-10
Penalties4-286-75
Possession33:1126:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

NC State
passing
CJ Bailey
16/25, 204 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kendrick Raphael
10 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin Joly
3 REC, 72 YDS
defense
Clemson
passing
Cade Klubnik
16/24, 209 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Phil Mafah
7 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Adam Randall
5 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Sammy Brown
4 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 6 yds to the CLEM 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 3 yds to the CLEM 34

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Phil Mafah run for 11 yds to the CLEM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 14 yds to the NCSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 7 yds to the NCSU 46

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Jordan Waters run for 9 yds to the CLEM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

CJ Bailey run for 3 yds to the CLEM 42

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kendrick Raphael run for no gain to the CLEM 42

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

CJ Bailey run for no gain to the CLEM 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.69

Phil Mafah run for 34 yds to the CLEM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the CLEM 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.66

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 18 yds to the NCSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 4 yds to the NCSU 31

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.04

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 31 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the NCSU 30

2nd & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.35

CJ Bailey sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 12 yards to the NCSU 18 CJ Bailey fumbled, forced by T.J. Parker, recovered by CLEM Cade Denhoff , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jay Haynes run for 1 yd to the NCSU 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 13 yds to the NCSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jay Haynes run for 2 yds to the NCSU 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jay Haynes run for no gain to the NCSU 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Hollywood Smothers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 15 yds to the NCSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Hollywood Smothers run for 2 yds to the NCSU 40

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.38

CJ Bailey run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSU 35

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.00

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 5 yds Kevin Concepcion fumbled, forced by Avieon Terrell, recovered by CLEM Avieon Terrell , return for 2 yds to the NCSU 38

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Phil Mafah run for 38 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the NCSU 28 NC State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Val Erickson) to the NCSU 18

1st & 17Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.45

CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 36 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

CJ Bailey pass complete to Dacari Collins for 13 yds to the CLEM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the CLEM 32

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the CLEM 29

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Kendrick Raphael run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 31

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Kanoah Vinesett 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 30

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the CLEM 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy Stellato

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aidan Swanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 9 yds to the NCSU 38

2nd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.60

CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin Concepcion

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.31

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 13 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST down Clemson Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the CLEM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kevin Concepcion run for 2 yds to the CLEM 20

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

CJ Bailey run for 7 yds to the CLEM 13

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the CLEM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

CJ Bailey run for 5 yds to the CLEM 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jordan Waters 5 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.81

Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 40 yds to the NCSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 12 yds to the NCSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keith Adams Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSU 18

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Cole Turner 18 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Kendrick Raphael run for 16 yds to the NCSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 6 yds to the NCSU 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin Concepcion

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin Concepcion

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the CLEM 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.62

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 25 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jay Haynes for 8 yds to the CLEM 44

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.81

Jay Haynes run for 14 yds to the NCSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Cade Klubnik run for 9 yds to the NCSU 33

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jay Haynes run for 3 yds to the NCSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Cole Turner

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

NC State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Davin Vann) to the NCSU 25

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Keith Adams Jr. run for 6 yds to the NCSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio Williams

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

Jay Haynes 19 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hollywood Smothers run for 2 yds to the NCSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-19 ydsPPA -0.39

CJ Bailey sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 11 yards to the NCSU 16 NC State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Anthony Belton) to the NCSU 8

4th & 27Punt+21 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 40 yds , Antonio Williams returns for 21 yds to the NCSU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 11 yds to the NCSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 8 yds to the NCSU 8

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the NCSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam Randall

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cade Klubnik pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Nolan Hauser 20 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

CJ Bailey pass complete to Dante Daniels for 9 yds to the NCSU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.73

CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 13 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Jordan Waters run for 8 yds to the CLEM 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for no gain to the CLEM 45

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin Concepcion

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio Williams

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.03

Phil Mafah run for 11 yds to the NCSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.81

Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 25 yds to the NCSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jay Haynes run for 3 yds to the NCSU 16

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the NCSU 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the NCSU 10

4th & 1Penalty+6 yds

NC State Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the NCSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Adam Randall 4 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Clemson Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jeadyn Lukus) to the NCSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.71

CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 23 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kevin Concepcion run for 2 yds to the CLEM 35

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Kendrick Raphael run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 36

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Bailey, CJ pass incomplete to Jackson, Keenan, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference 15 yards to the CLEMSON21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSU.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Bailey, CJ pass incomplete to Concepcion, Kevin, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Hampton, Ashton) 15 yards to the CLEMSON6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSU.

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Kendrick Raphael 6 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 19 yds to the CLEM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Adam Randall for 9 yds to the NCSU 47

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Keith Adams Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to T.J. Moore

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Christopher Vizzina sacked by Sean Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSU 48

4th & 13Punt+42 yds

Aidan Swanson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 6 NC State Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Hollywood Smothers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSU 4

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Kevin Concepcion

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 49 yds, downed at the CLEM 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jay Haynes run for no gain to the CLEM 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Christopher Vizzina pass incomplete to Troy Stellato

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Vizzina, Christopher rush for 22 yards to the NCSU31, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Thurmon, Elyjah) 10 yards to the CLEMSON37, NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Jay Haynes for 9 yds to the CLEM 46

4th & 11Punt+16 yds

Aidan Swanson punt for 38 yds , Jalen Coit returns for 16 yds to the NCSU 32

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+53 ydsPPA -8.48

Ashton Hampton 53 Yd Interception Return (Nolan Hauser Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the NCSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.58

CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 24 yds to the CLEM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.82

Kendrick Raphael run for 18 yds to the CLEM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kendrick Raphael run for 6 yds to the CLEM 23

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.37

Hollywood Smothers run for 21 yds to the CLEM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Hollywood Smothers 2 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Christopher Vizzina run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 24

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

David Eziomume run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Christopher Vizzina pass complete to Josh Sapp for 4 yds to the CLEM 26

4th & 9Punt+11 yds

Jack Smith punt for 37 yds , Jalen Coit returns for 11 yds to the NCSU 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Jordan Waters run for 6 yds to the CLEM 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Lex Thomas pass incomplete to Justin Joly

3rd & 4Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.78

Kendrick Raphael run for 40 yds to the CLEM 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Demarcus Jones II 6 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Trent Pearman run for 9 yds to the CLEM 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jarvis Green run for 3 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Trent Pearman run for 6 yds to the CLEM 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Jarvis Green run for 2 yds to the CLEM 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

David Eziomume run for 4 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Trent Pearman pass incomplete to Charlie Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Wise Segars Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSU 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Trent Pearman pass complete to Jackson Crosby for 4 yds to the NCSU 45

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Clemson Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 13

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Hollywood Smothers run for 9 yds to the NCSU 22

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Hollywood Smothers run for 9 yds to the NCSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Demarcus Jones II run for no gain to the NCSU 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Lex Thomas pass complete to Jakolbe Baldwin for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSU 30

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Demarcus Jones II run for 7 yds to the NCSU 37

4th & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.70

Lex Thomas run for 9 yds to the NCSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Lex Thomas pass complete to Terrell Anderson for no gain to the NCSU 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.15

Lex Thomas pass complete to Demarcus Jones II for 14 yds to the CLEM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Lex Thomas pass incomplete to Terrell Anderson

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.03

Terrell Anderson 40 Yd pass from Lex Thomas (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 24

Situational Analysis

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Clemson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
48%
29 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th