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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 21.9

Home Win Probability

NC State 89%

Market (Bovada)

NC State -20.5

Edge: NC State -20.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
0173020
NC StateNC State
33141030

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-06-76-1720-1720-2023-2030-20
NC StateLouisiana Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSLTNSLTNSLTNSLTNSLTNSLTNSLTLTNSLTNSLTNSLTNSPUNT59ydTO6-5ydFG718ydPUNT617ydPUNT33ydPUNT633ydFG1363ydTD675ydPUNT3-2ydTD171ydTO212ydFG46ydEND1-1ydTD32ydPUNT32ydTD1376ydFG973ydFG940ydPUNT31ydTD866ydDOWNS1044ydEND852yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana Tech and NC State
StatisticLouisiana TechNC State
Passing19-3622-33
Pass Yards281210
Rush Yards43151
Total Yards324361
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-167-13
Penalties2-204-40
Possession23:2436:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana Tech
passing
Jack Turner
19/36, 281 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jack Turner
5 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
Tru Edwards
4 REC, 148 YDS, 1 TD
defense
NC State
passing
CJ Bailey
13/20, 156 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kendrick Raphael
9 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dacari Collins
3 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Caden Fordham
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 6 yds to the NCSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 5 yds to the NCSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Grayson McCall pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 19 yds to the LT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 25Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 4 yds to the NCSU 25

2nd & 21Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the NCSU 28

3rd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Grayson McCall pass complete to Noah Rogers for 6 yds to the NCSU 34

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Jack Turner pass complete to Jay Wilkerson for 8 yds to the NCSU 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.13

Jack Turner run for 2 yds to the NCSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the NCSU 43

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA -1.90

run for 17 yds to the LT 40 fumbled, recovered by LT Caden Fordham

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the LT 38

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Grayson McCall run for no gain to the LT 38

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.89

Grayson McCall run for 12 yds to the LT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the LT 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 29

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the LT 22

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 yds

Kanoah Vinesett 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jack Turner pass complete to Donerio Davenport for 9 yds to the LT 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jack Turner run for no gain to the LT 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jack Turner pass complete to John Locke for 2 yds to the LT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jack Turner pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 1 yd to the LT 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jack Turner pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 5 yds to the LT 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Patrick Rea punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Hollywood Smothers run for 3 yds to the NCSU 24

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Hollywood Smothers run for no gain to the NCSU 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 55 yds

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Donerio Davenport run for 5 yds to the LT 21

3rd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.35

Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Donerio Davenport run for 2 yds to the NCSU 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the NCSU 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Patrick Rea punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the NCSU 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Grayson McCall pass complete to Terrell Anderson for 7 yds to the NCSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the NCSU 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Grayson McCall pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 12 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Grayson McCall pass complete to Justin Joly for 14 yds to the LT 22

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the LT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the LT 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Kanoah Vinesett 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Jack Turner pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 16 yds to the LT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jack Turner pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 2 yds to the LT 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd to the LT 44

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.59

Jack Turner run for 10 yds to the NCSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.66

Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 41 yds to the NCSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Donerio Davenport run for 5 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hollywood Smothers run for 6 yds to the NCSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

CJ Bailey run for 2 yds to the NCSU 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+6 yds

Caden Noonkester punt for 54 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for 6 yds to the LT 29

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +5.78

Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 71 yds for a TD (Buck Buchanan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 12 yds to the NCSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.95

CJ Bailey pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Donerio Davenport run for 6 yds to the NCSU 40

4th & 4Field Goal Good+57 yds

Buck Buchanan 57 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kneel down by NC State at NCSU24 for loss of 1 yard.

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Donerio Davenport run for 2 yds to the LT 27

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+33 ydsPPA -6.99

DK Kaufman 33 Yd Interception Return (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Turner pass complete to Eli Finley for no gain to the LT 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Jack Turner pass complete to Donerio Davenport for 2 yds to the LT 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Patrick Rea punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the NCSU 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.70

CJ Bailey pass complete to Dacari Collins for 23 yds to the NCSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 8 yds to the LT 44

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Jordan Waters run for no gain to the LT 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.17

CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 5 yds to the LT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.02

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 9 yds to the LT 31

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.58

Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the LT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevin Concepcion run for 3 yds to the LT 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

CJ Bailey pass complete to Dacari Collins for 4 yds to the LT 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 14 yds to the LT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Kendrick Raphael run for 9 yds to the LT 3

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.92

Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Jack Turner pass complete to Jay Wilkerson for 30 yds to the NCSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Omiri Wiggins run for no gain to the NCSU 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.64

Omiri Wiggins run for 12 yds to the NCSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.44

Jack Turner pass complete to Jay Wilkerson for 30 yds to the NCSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Omiri Wiggins run for 2 yds to the NCSU 1

2nd & 1Rush+1 yds

Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the NCSU 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Turner pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Buck Buchanan 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.08

CJ Bailey run for 12 yds to the NCSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Hollywood Smothers run for 1 yd to the NCSU 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.28

CJ Bailey pass complete to Dacari Collins for 28 yds to the LT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Hollywood Smothers run for 1 yd to the LT 35

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+52 yds

Kanoah Vinesett 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Jack Turner pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 1 yd to the LT 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Patrick Rea punt for 40 yds

1st & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.55

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSU 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.71

CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 19 yds to the LT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.07

CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 34 yds to the LT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

CJ Bailey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Jordan Waters run for 12 yds to the LT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jordan Waters run for no gain to the LT 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

CJ Bailey run for 1 yd for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the LT 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jack Turner run for 4 yds to the LT 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.64

Jack Turner pass complete to Jay Wilkerson for 17 yds to the LT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Jack Turner sacked by Davin Vann for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSU 48 Jack Turner fumbled, recovered by LT Jay Wilkerson , return for 0 yards

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Jack Turner pass complete to Donerio Davenport for 1 yd to the NCSU 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.74

Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 7 yds to the NCSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Jack Turner pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 9 yds to the NCSU 31

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.89

Jack Turner pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd to the NCSU 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

CJ Bailey pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 3 yds to the NCSU 33

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.54

CJ Bailey run for 12 yds to the NCSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Kendrick Raphael run for 14 yds to the LT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the LT 40

2nd & 9Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.35

Kendrick Raphael run for 25 yds to the LT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

C. Bailey takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

C. Bailey takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Louisiana Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
37%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
55%
11 plays
4th
0%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th