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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 52%

Market (Bovada)

Cincinnati -2

Edge: Pittsburgh +2 (0.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
3371528
CincinnatiCincinnati
14310027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-317-324-627-1327-1927-2527-28
CincinnatiPittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPITCINPUNT725ydTO754ydTD480ydFG1048ydTD675ydPUNT34ydFG1431ydPUNT67ydMISS1449ydFG445ydDOWNS57ydTD1058ydPUNT33ydFG631ydTD1075ydPUNT526ydTD782ydPUNT47ydTD794ydPUNT527ydFG963ydTO310yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and Cincinnati
StatisticPittsburghCincinnati
Passing20-3522-38
Pass Yards302298
Rush Yards196151
Total Yards498449
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-117-16
Penalties5-506-59
Possession23:3536:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Eli Holstein
20/35, 302 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Desmond Reid
19 CAR, 148 YDS
receiving
Konata Mumpfield
5 REC, 123 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
22/38, 298 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Corey Kiner
20 CAR, 149 YDS
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
5 REC, 80 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 1 yd to the CIN 26

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Corey Kiner run for 11 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.16

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 15 yds to the PITT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the PITT 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.93

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Sincere Edwards for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 13 yds to the PITT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.02

Desmond Reid run for 23 yds to the CIN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.66

Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 15 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the CIN 26

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.05

Eli Holstein pass intercepted, touchback. Josh Minkins return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.38

Corey Kiner run for 28 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +6.14

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 52 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 63 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 21 yds to the PITT 23

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Desmond Reid run for 14 yds to the PITT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the PITT 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.17

Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 12 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the CIN 41

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Eli Holstein run for 5 yds to the CIN 36

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.62

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the CIN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Eli Holstein run for 3 yds to the CIN 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+47 yds

Ben Sauls 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.84

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 34 yds to the PITT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.04

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 32 yds to the PITT 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the PITT 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 62 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 23 yds to the PITT 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 4 yds to the PITT 18

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the CIN 42

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the CIN 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.53

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 15 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the PITT 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.90

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 9 yds to the PITT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the PITT 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.37

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 12 yds to the PITT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Personal Foul (Corey Kiner) to the PITT 30

1st & 23Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Chance Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 32

2nd & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 7 yds to the PITT 25

3rd & 18Penalty-10 yds

(09:22) SORSBY, Brendan pass up the middle complete for 19 yards to TURNER, Aaron caught at the PIT11 and advanced to the PIT6 (GANDY, Ryland), clock 09:15. PENALTY CIN Holding on TINSLEY, Dartanyan enforced 10 yards from the PIT25 to the PIT35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 28Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Aaron Turner for 4 yds to the PITT 31

4th & 24Field Goal Good+49 yds

Carter Brown 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 58 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 13 yds to the PITT 10

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the PITT 19

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the PITT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gavin Bartholomew) to the PITT 15

1st & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 2 yds to the PITT 17

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 39 yds, downed at the CIN 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 9 yds to the PITT 47

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the PITT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 11 yds to the PITT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the PITT 28

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the PITT 24

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Williams run for no gain to the PITT 24

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the PITT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the PITT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the PITT 7

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Carter Brown 25 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 20 yds to the PITT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.91

Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 25 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+53 yds

Ben Sauls 53 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 54 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 40 yds to the CIN 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Eli Holstein run for 9 yds to the PITT 36 Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jason Collier Jr.) to the PITT 49

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the CIN 42

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Desmond Reid run for no gain to the CIN 42

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.58

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.85

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 16 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the PITT 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 3 yds to the PITT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the PITT 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.32

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 13 yds to the PITT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Deondre Buford) to the PITT 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Aaron Turner for 7 yds to the PITT 13

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Evan Pryor run for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 16

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.34

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 16 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Eli Holstein pass complete to Derrick Davis Jr. for 3 yds to the PITT 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the PITT 36

2nd & 6Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.77

Corey Kiner run for 26 yds to the PITT 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the PITT 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Carter Brown 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the PITT 34

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Eli Holstein run for 11 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Eli Holstein run for 10 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 8 yds to the CIN 21

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Kenny Johnson run for 4 yds to the CIN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.86

Eli Holstein sacked by Jonathan Thompson for a loss of 8 yards to the CIN 16

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Eli Holstein run for 5 yds to the CIN 11

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.15

Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 11 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Ben Sauls kickoff for 61 yds , Logan Wilson return for 18 yds to the CIN 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 22

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.88

Corey Kiner run for 26 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 34 yds, downed at the PITT 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Eli Holstein run for 5 yds to the PITT 23

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.55

Desmond Reid run for 16 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 16 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Eli Holstein pass complete to Jake Overman for 9 yds to the CIN 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Eli Holstein pass complete to Jake Overman for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 38

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Derrick Davis Jr. run for no gain to the CIN 38

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +5.03

Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 38 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Williams run for 4 yds to the CIN 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Chance Williams run for 1 yd to the CIN 41

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.15

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Shadarian Harrison for a loss of 9 yards to the CIN 32

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 62 yds, downed at the PITT 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 12 yds to the PITT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the PITT 25

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 4 yds to the PITT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the PITT 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.10

Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 14 yds to the PITT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.53

Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 56 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the CIN 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 12 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Corey Kiner run for 9 yds to the PITT 46

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.82

Evan Pryor run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Desmond Reid run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 8 yds to the PITT 26

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

(01:59) DAVIS JR., Derrick rush up the middle for no gain to the PIT26 (CORLEONE, Dontay;WILSON, Kam), clock 01:55. PENALTY Before the snap, CIN Delay Of Game on WILSON, Kam enforced 5 yards from the PIT26 to the PIT31 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Eli Holstein run for 7 yds to the PITT 38

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the PITT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.49

Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 34 yds to the CIN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Derrick Davis Jr. run for 6 yds to the CIN 13

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.99

Eli Holstein sacked by Dontay Corleone for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 19

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Derrick Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the CIN 17

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Ben Sauls 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the CIN 31

2nd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Nate Matlack for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 27

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA +0.01

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 8 yds Corey Kiner fumbled, recovered by PITT Javon McIntyre J. McIntyre return for 0 yds

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
40%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play