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← Back to GamesOct 25, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 1

Home Win Probability

Boston College 54%

Market (Bovada)

Boston College +7

Edge: Boston College +7 (8.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 25, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
07101431
Boston CollegeBoston College
7137027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-020-720-1027-1727-31
Boston CollegeLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCPUNT3-7ydDOWNS49ydPUNT3-1ydTO545ydTD456ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-4ydMISS1144ydTD1061ydTO221ydTD746ydTD1076ydEND312ydFG1169ydTD574ydTD983ydPUNT620ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-1ydTD442ydPUNT38ydTD463ydPUNT35ydTO3-4ydDOWNS613ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1023yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Boston College
StatisticLouisvilleBoston College
Passing28-3813-28
Pass Yards332164
Rush Yards129154
Total Yards461318
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-117-18
Penalties5-345-40
Possession30:0929:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Tyler Shough
28/38, 332 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Isaac Brown
18 CAR, 85 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ja'Corey Brooks
8 REC, 120 YDS
defense
Boston College
passing
Thomas Castellanos
13/28, 164 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Treshaun Ward
13 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Treshaun Ward
3 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Lewis Bond run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 32 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaac Brown run for 2 yds to the BC 48

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Isaac Brown run for 6 yds to the BC 42

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.71

Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the BC 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for no gain to the BC 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ahmari Huggins-Bruce at the LOU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 8 yds to the LOU 36

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.79

Tyler Shough run for 11 yds to the LOU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(10:36) SHOUGH, Tyler pass deep to the left incomplete intended for REDMAN, Mark thrown to the BC35, clock 10:34. PENALTY BC Pass Interference on CROUCH, Daveon enforced 15 yards to the BC38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 12 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaac Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the BC 46

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for no gain to the BC 46

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +6.18

Kamari Morales 54 Yd pass from Thomas Castellanos (Liam Connor Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the BC 44

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 65 yds , Duke Watson return for 30 yds to the LOU 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 31

3rd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Shough run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 28

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, False Start (Antonio Watts) to the LOU 23

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Brady Hodges punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 44

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.17

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 41

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 42 yds , Ahmari Huggins-Bruce returns for no gain to the LOU 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Donald Chaney run for 6 yds to the LOU 23

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Donald Chaney run for 3 yds to the LOU 26

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.76

Donald Chaney run for 3 yds to the LOU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hughes for 10 yds to the LOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Donald Chaney run for 4 yds to the LOU 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Duke Watson run for 2 yds to the LOU 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.49

Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hughes for 15 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(00:43) SHOUGH, Tyler pass deep to the right complete for 39 yards to BROOKS, Ja'Corey caught at the BC5 and advanced to the BC1 (MCGOWAN, Owen), clock 00:35. PENALTY LOU Holding enforced 10 yards from the BC40 to the LOU50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 49

3rd & 21Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 12 yds to the BC 39

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+56 yds

Brock Travelstead 56 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.84

Treshaun Ward run for 25 yds to the LOU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Boston College Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LOU 41

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the LOU 40

2nd & 14Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.87

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 18 yds to the LOU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Treshaun Ward run for 9 yds to the LOU 13

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the LOU 13

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.09

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the LOU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 2 yds to the LOU 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty+4 yds

Louisville Penalty, Offsides (Quincy Riley) to the LOU 4

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Isaac Brown run for 6 yds to the LOU 31

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -1.26

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 15 yds Ahmari Huggins-Bruce fumbled, recovered by BC Quintayvious Hutchins Q. Hutchins return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the LOU 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the LOU 39

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.26

Lewis Bond run for 11 yds to the LOU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the LOU 22

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Thomas Castellanos run for 16 yds to the LOU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the LOU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Connor PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 63 yds , Isaac Brown return for 22 yds to the LOU 24

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the LOU 32

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 7 yds to the LOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 5 yds to the LOU 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Isaac Brown run for 2 yds to the LOU 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 8 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 26 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Donald Chaney run for 1 yd to the BC 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 15 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Isaac Brown run for no gain to the BC 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Isaac Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the BC 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the BC 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 61 yds , Isaac Brown return for 22 yds to the LOU 26

1st & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.65

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 17 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.27

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 16 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 15 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Duke Watson run for 6 yds to the BC 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hughes for 7 yds to the BC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Duke Watson run for 4 yds to the BC 7

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the BC 6

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Brock Travelstead 23 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 60 yds , Johnathan Montague Jr. return for 21 yds to the BC 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the BC 29

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the BC 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +4.18

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 59 yds to the LOU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Johnathan Montague Jr. run for 4 yds to the LOU 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 6 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Liam Connor kickoff for 61 yds , Isaac Brown return for 13 yds to the LOU 17

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the LOU 25

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.03

Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the LOU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 8 yds to the LOU 37

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the LOU 46

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.79

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 44 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Duke Watson run for 2 yds

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Tyler Shough pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 55 yds , Johnathan Montague Jr. return for 28 yds to the BC 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 13

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the BC 14

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 22

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 25

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

(00:35) ZIVENKO, Ivan punt 30 yards to the LOU45, HUGGINS-BRUCE, Ahmari returned 11 yards to the BC44 (WILLIAMS, Jalon), clock 00:22. PENALTY LOU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the BC25 to the BC30 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ahmari Huggins-Bruce at the LOU 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 7 yds to the LOU 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Carter Schwartz punt for 45 yds, downed at the BC 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the BC 23

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the BC 25

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.50

Thomas Castellanos sacked by Jared Dawson for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 18

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 11 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 3 yds to the BC 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 10 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Isaac Brown run for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Thomas Castellanos run for 8 yds to the BC 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the BC 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for no gain to the BC 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ivan Zivenko punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.26

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 34 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Isaac Brown run for 15 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 8 yds to the BC 6

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.10

Tyler Shough pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 6 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the BC 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 32

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Candotti punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ahmari Huggins-Bruce at the LOU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 5 yds to the LOU 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 31

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(03:57) SHOUGH, Tyler pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to BELL, Chris caught at the LOU34 and advanced to the LOU36 (MCSHANE, Ashton), clock 03:50. PENALTY LOU Holding on CALLOWAY, Jimmy enforced 10 yards from the LOU31 to the LOU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 9 yds to the LOU 44

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.22

Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the LOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Thomas Castellanos run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 40

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 41

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the LOU 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carter Schwartz punt for 21 yds, downed at the BC 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 4 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Thomas Castellanos run for 4 yds to the BC 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kamari Morales for 3 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the LOU 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
67%
30 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play