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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 5.1

Home Win Probability

Pittsburgh 62%

Market (DraftKings)

Pittsburgh -27

Edge: Youngstown State +27 (21.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
0107017
PittsburghPittsburgh
2121102173

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-021-328-335-1042-1045-1752-1766-1773-17
PittsburghYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITYSPITYSPITYSPITYSPITYSPITYSYSPITYSPITYSPITYSPITYSYSPITYSTD1175ydPUNT3-18ydTD242ydPUNT3-1ydTD761ydFG1147ydTD574ydTO69ydTD243ydTD1175ydTD182ydEND53ydTO660ydPUNT3-18ydTD247ydFG737ydPUNT35ydTD983ydPUNT627ydTD992ydTD410ydPUNT3-3ydTD685ydEND638yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Pittsburgh
StatisticYoungstown StatePittsburgh
Passing20-3124-35
Pass Yards238349
Rush Yards71295
Total Yards309644
Turnovers30
3rd Down6-155-9
Penalties12-976-60
Possession37:2922:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Beau Brungard
18/28, 233 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ethan Wright
7 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Cyrus Traugh
4 REC, 87 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Preston Zandier
1 TFL, 2 PD
Pittsburgh
passing
Eli Holstein
16/24, 247 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Daniel Carter
7 CAR, 109 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Censere Lee
4 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Derrick Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 5 yds to the PITT 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Derrick Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 9 yds to the PITT 45

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Eli Holstein run for 6 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.18

Eli Holstein run for 32 yds to the YSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Derrick Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the YSU 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.83

Eli Holstein pass complete to Derrick Davis Jr. for 14 yds to the YSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

(11:39) DAVIS JR., Derrick rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the YSU0, TOUCHDOWN PITT, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:40 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, PITT Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the YSU1 to the YSU6. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Illegal Snap on PARKER, Aidan enforced (-5 Yards) to the YSU 15

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-18 ydsPPA -0.58

run for a loss of 18 yards to the YSU 2 fumbled, recovered by YSU return for 0 yds

2nd & 33Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 3

3rd & 32Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the YSU 7

4th & 28Punt+17 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 52 yds , Kenny Johnson returns for 17 yds to the YSU 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 18 yds to the YSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Daniel Carter run for 24 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Ben Sauls kickoff for 65 yds , Jawon Hall return for 19 yds to the YSU 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.33

Beau Brungard run for a loss of 3 yards to the YSU 16

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the YSU 18

4th & 11Punt+12 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 55 yds , Kenny Johnson returns for 12 yds to the PITT 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Derrick Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the PITT 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.16

Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 39

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Eli Holstein run for 9 yds to the PITT 48

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.84

Derrick Davis Jr. run for 12 yds to the YSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Eli Holstein run for no gain to the YSU 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.15

Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 35 yds to the YSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Eli Holstein run for 2 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ethan Wright run for 9 yds to the YSU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 9 yds to the YSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 9 yds to the PITT 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the PITT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 12 yds to the PITT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-7 Yards) to the PITT 47

1st & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Beau Brungard pass complete to Luke Hensley for 5 yds to the PITT 35

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the PITT 40

2nd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 11 yds to the PITT 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Beau Brungard run for 1 yd to the PITT 28

4th & 5Field Goal Good+46 yds

Andrew Lastovka 46 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Josh Wilkins kickoff for 57 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 18 yds to the PITT 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 25 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+31 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Personal Foul (31 Yards) to the YSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 10

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Eli Holstein pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 10 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 6 yds to the YSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Beau Brungard run for 5 yds to the YSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Ethan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 34

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.01

Beau Brungard pass intercepted Kyle Louis return for no gain to the YSU 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.29

Daniel Carter run for 43 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Da'Shaun Whatley run for 6 yds to the YSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Beau Brungard pass complete to Richard Dandridge for 17 yds to the YSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Da'Shaun Whatley run for 5 yds to the PITT 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Da'Shaun Whatley run for 2 yds to the PITT 45

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyshon King run for no gain to the PITT 45

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.56

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.19

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 11 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ethan Wright run for 4 yds to the PITT 24

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyshon King run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 25

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.50

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 25 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Josh Wilkins kickoff for 63 yds , Derrick Davis Jr. return for 16 yds to the PITT 18

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+82 ydsPPA +6.49

Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 82 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the YSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 14 yds to the YSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(01:04) BRUNGARD, Beau pass short to the left incomplete intended for SECHREST, Colt broken up by BASS, Jordan at the YSU45; QB hurried by GEORGE, Brandon, clock 01:00. PENALTY YSU Chop Block on KING, Tyshon enforced 15 yards from the YSU42 to the YSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Da'Shaun Whatley run for 1 yd to the YSU 28

2nd & 24Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Da'Shaun Whatley run for no gain to the YSU 28

0th & 24End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Beau Brungard pass complete to Jawon Hall for 24 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Rasheem Biles) to the PITT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Ethan Wright run for 8 yds to the PITT 27

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, False Start (Van Keen) to the PITT 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.45

Beau Brungard pass complete to Tyshon King for 22 yds to the PITT 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -4.49

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for a loss of 5 yards Ethan Wright fumbled, recovered by PITT Rashad Battle R. Battle return for 8 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Eli Holstein pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 22

2nd & 11Sack-17 ydsPPA -0.46

Eli Holstein sacked by Jaelen Crider for a loss of 17 yards to the PITT 5

3rd & 28Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Traugh at the PITT 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the PITT 44

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.97

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Josh Wilkins kickoff for 60 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 27 yds to the PITT 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Daniel Carter run for 9 yds to the PITT 41

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

(08:55) HOLSTEIN, Eli pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MUMPFIELD, Konata thrown to the YSU16, clock 08:50. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on EDWARDS, Payton enforced 15 yards to the YSU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Daniel Carter run for 12 yds to the YSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Derrick Davis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 33

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Che Nwabuko run for 2 yds to the YSU 31

4th & 9Field Goal Good+49 yds

Ben Sauls 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the YSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

(06:04) BRUNGARD, Beau pass to the left complete for 7 yards to TRAUGH, Cyrus caught at the YSU36 and advanced to the YSU37 (LYNUM, Tamon), out of bounds, clock 06:03. PENALTY YSU Personal Foul on WILLIAMS, Jaison enforced 15 yards from the YSU30 to the YSU15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.25

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 15 yds to the YSU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 53 yds, downed at the PITT 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 6 yds to the PITT 23

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.04

Eli Holstein pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Eli Holstein run for 10 yds to the PITT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Eli Holstein pass complete to Censere Lee for 5 yds to the PITT 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Daniel Carter run for 4 yds to the PITT 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Daniel Carter run for 2 yds to the PITT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+49 ydsPPA +2.71

Eli Holstein run for 49 yds to the YSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Eli Holstein run for 2 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Ethan Wright run for 10 yds to the YSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Targeting on O'BRIEN JR., Phillip enforced (Phillip O'Brien Jr.) to the PITT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Illegal Snap on PARKER, Aidan enforced (Aidan Parker) to the YSU 48

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Da'Shaun Whatley run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 46

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the PITT 48

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kenny Johnson at the PITT 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 13 yds to the PITT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.77

Daniel Carter run for 15 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 15 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Nate Yarnell run for 7 yds to the YSU 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.42

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the YSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Censere Lee for 15 yds to the YSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daniel Carter for 13 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Ben Sauls kickoff for 62 yds , Jaden Gilbert return for 15 yds to the YSU 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Da'Shaun Whatley run for 5 yds to the YSU 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Max Blanc pass complete to Richard Dandridge for 1 yd to the YSU 14

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.59

Max Blanc pass complete to Andrew Jacobs for 4 yds to the YSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+22 ydsPPA -7.51

Max Blanc pass intercepted Tamarion Crumpley return for 22 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the YSU 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Cephus Harris III run for 2 yds to the YSU 22

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.26

Cephus Harris III run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 20

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Shannon run for 2 yds to the YSU 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 63 yds, downed at the PITT 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Che Nwabuko run for 6 yds to the PITT 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.04

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Che Nwabuko for 13 yds to the PITT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the PITT 29

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Zion Fowler-El for 12 yds to the PITT 41

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Benny Haselrig for 7 yds to the PITT 43

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +6.37

Che Nwabuko run for 57 yds for a TD (Sam Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Da'Shaun Whatley run for 1 yd to the YSU 26

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jeremiah Marcelin) to the YSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaden Gilbert run for 16 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaden Gilbert run for 1 yd to the PITT 40

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Cephus Harris III run for 3 yds to the PITT 37

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Cephus Harris III run for no gain to the PITT 37

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
22 plays
20%
5 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
17%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
56%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
73%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays