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← Back to GamesOct 20, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 1

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 46%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Dakota State +1.5

Edge: North Dakota State +1.5 (0.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 20, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota State
09009
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
070613

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-913-9
North Dakota StateSouth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSNDSSDSNDSSDSNDSSDSNDSSDSNDSSDSNDSSDSNDSSDSNDSSDSNDSSDSNDSMISS839ydPUNT513ydPUNT1032ydDOWNS620ydPUNT38ydTD1369ydTD375ydPUNT415ydFG1565ydMISS1153ydPUNT43ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT513ydPUNT39ydPUNT1022ydTD1092ydTO738ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota State and North Dakota State
StatisticSouth Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
Passing17-3020-27
Pass Yards118163
Rush Yards215112
Total Yards333275
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-175-12
Penalties10-895-38
Possession28:1031:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
17/29, 118 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Chase Mason
5 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Griffin Wilde
5 REC, 32 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
20/27, 163 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Barika Kpeenu
6 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
RaJa Nelson
4 REC, 48 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Davin Stoffel for 20 yds to the SDST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Chase Mason run for 6 yds to the NDSU 49

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.93

Mark Gronowski run for 9 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the NDSU 36

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Mark Gronowski run for 4 yds to the NDSU 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the NDSU 31

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Amar Johnson) to the NDSU 36

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Hunter Dustman 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds to the NDSU 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 8 yds to the NDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.36

Amar Johnson run for 12 yds to the SDST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 1 yd to the SDST 17

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Angel Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Davin Stoffel for 7 yds to the SDST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(07:24) GRONOWSKI, Mark pass to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Angel thrown to the SDSU25, clock 07:19. PENALTY NDSU Offsides on ANENE, Toby enforced 5 yards from the SDSU27 to the SDSU32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.83

Chase Mason run for 2 yds to the SDST 34

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Angel Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDST 36

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Amar Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDST 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Brody Gormley for 2 yds to the SDST 37

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDST 32

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 36

4th & 11Punt0 yds

punt for 13 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

CharMar Brown run for 9 yds to the SDST 40

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the SDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 5 yds to the SDST 32

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Barika Kpeenu run for 4 yds to the SDST 28

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Cam Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 29

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -2.93

CharMar Brown run for no gain to the SDST 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the SDST 32

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the SDST 37

4th & 2Punt+10 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 42 yds , Jackson Williams returns for 10 yds to the NDSU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 3 yds to the NDSU 34

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 9 yds to the NDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 9 yds to the SDST 46

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.14

Cam Miller run for 6 yds to the SDST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

RaJa Nelson run for no gain to the SDST 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Miller pass complete to Barika Kpeenu for 3 yds to the SDST 37

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Cam Miller run for 9 yds to the SDST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the SDST 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Cam Miller pass complete to Barika Kpeenu for 3 yds to the SDST 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 5 yds to the SDST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

RaJa Nelson 18 Yd pass from Cam Miller (Griffin Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Angel Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Angel Johnson for 3 yds to the SDST 34

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +6.10

Chase Mason 66 Yd Run (Hunter Dustman PAT blocked)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 65 yds , TK Marshall return for 18 yds to the NDSU 18

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

CharMar Brown run for 12 yds to the NDSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the NDSU 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 48 yds , Dalys Beanum returns for 1 yd to the SDST 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 2 yds to the SDST 12

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Mason run for 2 yds to the SDST 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.16

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Lofton O'Groske for 12 yds to the SDST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Angel Johnson for 8 yds to the SDST 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Angel Johnson for 6 yds to the SDST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDST 34

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Mark Gronowski run for 6 yds to the SDST 40

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Personal Foul (Marcus Gulley) to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Amar Johnson run for no gain to the NDSU 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 9 yds to the NDSU 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the NDSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the NDSU 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 yds

Hunter Dustman 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 62 yds , TK Marshall return for 14 yds to the NDSU 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Barika Kpeenu run for 7 yds to the NDSU 24

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Barika Kpeenu run for 17 yds to the NDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

TK Marshall run for 4 yds to the NDSU 45

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Cam Miller run for 7 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cole Payton run for 6 yds to the SDST 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the SDST 41

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Cole Payton run for 3 yds to the SDST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

CharMar Brown run for no gain to the SDST 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 6 yds to the SDST 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 2 yds to the SDST 30

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Griffin Crosa 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Personal Foul (Graham Spalding) to the SDST 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Amar Johnson run for 12 yds to the SDST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDST 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 5 yds to the SDST 33

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 8 yds to the NDSU 43

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the NDSU 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Cam Miller run for no gain to the NDSU 44

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Enock Sibomana) to the NDSU 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Chase Mason) to the SDST 22

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 43 yds , Jackson Williams returns for 7 yds to the NDSU 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the NDSU 39

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.73

Cam Miller sacked by Adam Bock for a loss of 10 yards to the NDSU 29

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dalys Beanum at the SDST 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Mark Gronowski run for 7 yds to the SDST 36

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Angel Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Angel Johnson run for no gain to the SDST 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 6

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Cam Miller run for 7 yds to the NDSU 13

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the NDSU 14

3rd & 2Penalty-12 yds

(13:37) MILLER, Cam pass short to the right complete for 12 yards to HENDERSON, Braylon caught at the NDSU19 and advanced to the NDSU26 (DURRANCE, Matthew), clock 13:21. PENALTY NDSU Holding on MARSHALL, TK enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the NDSU14 to the NDSU7 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.12

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 8 yds to the NDSU 15

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 45 yds , Dalys Beanum returns for no gain to the SDST 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 1 yd to the SDST 41

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.13

Mark Gronowski run for 13 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Davin Stoffel) to the SDST 45

1st & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 48

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mark Gronowski run for 4 yds to the NDSU 48

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.18

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 17 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Amar Johnson run for no gain to the NDSU 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Chase Mason pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ethan Vibert) to the NDSU 38

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Chase Mason pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Cam Miller pass complete to Truman Werremeyer for 1 yd to the NDSU 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.85

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 13 yds to the NDSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Cam Miller pass complete to CharMar Brown for 9 yds to the NDSU 31

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the NDSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Cam Miller pass complete to Mekhi Collins for 14 yds to the NDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 2 yds to the SDST 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.70

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 17 yds to the SDST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

TK Marshall run for 10 yds to the SDST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the SDST 20

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.87

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 20 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 53 yds , Angel Johnson return for 26 yds to the SDST 39 South Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) to the SDST 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Mason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Chase Mason pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 12 yds to the SDST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Mark Gronowski run for 12 yds to the SDST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Chase Mason pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 7 yds to the SDST 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Chase Mason pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 7 yds to the SDST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Chase Mason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.75

Chase Mason pass intercepted Logan Hofstedt return for no gain to the NDSU 38

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Kneel down by MILLER, Cam at NDSU37 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Kneel down by MILLER, Cam at NDSU35 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
25 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play