Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 25

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 91%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Dakota State -35.5

Edge: Tennessee State +35.5 (10.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tennessee State
00033
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
142131452

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-035-038-045-052-3
North Dakota StateTennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSNDSTSNDSTSNDSTSNDSTSNDSTSNDSTSNDSTSNDSTSNDSTSNDSTSNDSTSNDSPUNT620ydTD1277ydPUNT419ydTD669ydPUNT932ydTD426ydPUNT516ydTD876ydPUNT34ydTD860ydEND1-3ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-8ydFG47ydTO35ydTO22ydPUNT414ydPUNT33ydTO53ydTD430ydTO432ydTD357ydFG974ydEND836yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee State and North Dakota State
StatisticTennessee StateNorth Dakota State
Passing17-2517-23
Pass Yards128210
Rush Yards72226
Total Yards200436
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-148-13
Penalties7-605-53
Possession29:4430:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee State
passing
Draylen Ellis
17/25, 128 YDS
rushing
Draylen Ellis
11 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Jalal Dean
3 REC, 51 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
14/18, 181 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Nathan Hayes
1 CAR, 51 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryce Lance
7 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Draylen Ellis run for 1 yd to the TNST 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Gerard Bullock for 4 yds to the TNST 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.37

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Gerard Bullock for 15 yds to the TNST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 5 yds to the TNST 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Cole Payton run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDSU 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.86

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 26 yds to the NDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the NDSU 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 5 yds to the TNST 47

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Barika Kpeenu run for no gain to the TNST 47

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.27

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the TNST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

CharMar Brown run for 8 yds to the TNST 37

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

CharMar Brown run for no gain to the TNST 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 6 yds to the TNST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

CharMar Brown run for 7 yds to the TNST 24

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

CharMar Brown run for no gain to the TNST 24

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.09

Cam Miller run for 24 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 53 yds , Craig Cunningham return for 3 yds to the TNST 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Draylen Ellis run for 12 yds to the TNST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 4 yds to the TNST 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 3 yds to the TNST 34

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 41 yds , John Gores returns for 6 yds to the NDSU 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Cam Miller run for 9 yds to the NDSU 40

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.41

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, Targeting on MCCLENDON, Jalen enforced (Jalen McClendon) to the TNST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 10 yds Joe Stoffel fumbled, recovered by NDSU Cam Miller C. Miller return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 14 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 65 yds , Dayron Johnson return for 10 yds to the TNST 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 9 yds to the TNST 19

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.09

Tevin Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the TNST 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Tevin Carter for 11 yds to the TNST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Draylen Ellis run for a loss of 5 yards to the TNST 22

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jordan Gant run for 5 yds to the TNST 27

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.13

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Gerard Bullock for 11 yds to the TNST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ELLIS, Draylen pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for DAVIS, Da'Shon thrown to the NDS35. PENALTY TSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MEADOWS, Connor enforced 5 yards from the TSU38 to the TSU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Draylen Ellis run for 8 yds to the TNST 41

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the TNST 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+67 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 51 yds , John Gores returns for 67 yds to the TNST 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the TNST 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 15 yds to the TNST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the TNST 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

CJ Evans run for 5 yds to the TNST 30

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.23

CJ Evans run for 10 yds to the TNST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the TNST 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 35 yds, fair catch by John Gores at the NDSU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Cole Payton pass complete to Chris Harris for 6 yds to the NDSU 30

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Cole Payton run for 5 yds to the NDSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the NDSU 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Cam Miller pass complete to Cole Payton for 3 yds to the NDSU 43

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.28

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.65

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 42 yds to the TNST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Cam Miller pass complete to John Gores for 12 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for a loss of 2 yards to the TNST 23

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Jalen Rouse run for 7 yds to the TNST 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TNST 25

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Draylen Ellis run for 4 yds to the TNST 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

TK Marshall run for no gain to the NDSU 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.87

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 24 yds to the TNST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Cam Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 37

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 8 yds to the TNST 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Cam Miller pass complete to Tyler Terhark for 8 yds to the TNST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Cam Miller run for 6 yds to the TNST 15

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Barika Kpeenu run for 9 yds to the TNST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 6 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

(00:16) Kneel down by ELLIS, Draylen at TSU22 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+55 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 65 yds , Jackson Williams return for 55 yds to the TNST 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the TNST 43

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(14:09) BROWN, CharMar rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the TSU30 (VILLIERS, Dion), out of bounds, clock 14:02. PENALTY NDS Holding on FRALEY, Trent enforced 10 yards from the TSU43 to the NDS47 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the NDSU 48

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dayron Johnson at the TNST 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaden McGill run for 1 yd to the TNST 15

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaden McGill run for no gain to the TNST 15

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.14

Draylen Ellis sacked by Austin Altepeter for a loss of 4 yards to the TNST 11

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, False Start (Kheagian Heckaman) to the TNST 6

4th & 18Punt+10 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 44 yds , John Gores returns for 10 yds to the TNST 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cam Miller pass complete to Cole Payton for 2 yds to the TNST 38

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the TNST 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cole Payton pass complete to Bryce Lance for 4 yds to the TNST 33

4th & 3Field Goal Good+51 yds

Eli Ozick 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the TNST 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 5 yds to the TNST 34

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -0.90

Tevin Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the TNST 30 Tevin Carter fumbled, recovered by NDSU Jailen Duffie J. Duffie return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the TNST 28

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.89

Cole Payton pass intercepted, touchback. Malik Ganaway return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 15 yds to the TNST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Gerard Bullock for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Cole Payton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Barika Kpeenu run for 6 yds to the NDSU 37

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDSU 34

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 37 yds , Dayron Johnson returns for 1 yd to the TNST 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 9 yds to the TNST 39

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

CJ Evans run for 2 yds to the TNST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(01:52) ELLIS, Draylen pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DEAN, Jalal broken up by EADY, Taylen at the NDS33, clock 01:43. PENALTY TSU Holding on GAMEZ, Blake enforced 10 yards from the TSU41 to the TSU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Draylen Ellis run for 3 yds to the TNST 34

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

CJ Evans run for 5 yds to the TNST 39

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.50

Draylen Ellis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the TNST 30 Draylen Ellis fumbled, recovered by NDSU Logan Larson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Payton run for 5 yds to the TNST 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the TNST 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.18

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the TNST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Cole Payton pass complete to Mekhi Collins for 19 yds for a TD (Eli Ozick KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Rouse run for 3 yds to the TNST 28

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Draylen Ellis run for 2 yds to the TNST 30 for a 1ST down North Dakota State Penalty, Personal Foul (Kaden Zenzen) to the TNST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalen Rouse for no gain to the TNST 45

2nd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.82

Draylen Ellis sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the NDSU 43 Draylen Ellis fumbled, recovered by NDSU Nathaniel Staehling , return for 0 yards for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Jack Liwienski) to the NDSU 38

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Peder Haugo run for 7 yds to the NDSU 45

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Peder Haugo run for 4 yds to the NDSU 49

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +5.32

Nathan Hayes run for 51 yds for a TD (Eli Ozick KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Personal Foul (Brennan Palmer) to the TNST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jaden McGill run for 6 yds to the NDSU 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 2 yds to the NDSU 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Jaden McGill run for 3 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

(08:33) ELLIS, Draylen pass to the right incomplete intended for BRENSON, Karate thrown to the NDS32, clock 08:26. PENALTY NDS Pass Interference on ARTZ, Hudson enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the NDS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+31 ydsPPA +1.47

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 31 yds Jalal Dean fumbled, recovered by TNST for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the NDSU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jordan Gant run for no gain to the NDSU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Draylen Ellis run for no gain to the NDSU 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+19 yds

James Lowery 19 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 39 yds , Truman Werremeyer return for no gain to the NDSU 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Peder Haugo run for 1 yd to the NDSU 27

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Peder Haugo run for 7 yds to the NDSU 34

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.68

Peder Haugo run for 8 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kelly Watson run for 5 yds to the NDSU 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Peder Haugo run for 2 yds to the NDSU 49

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.62

Peder Haugo run for 5 yds to the TNST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kelly Watson run for 2 yds to the TNST 44

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Peder Haugo run for 6 yds to the TNST 38

Situational Analysis

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
18 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
70%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays