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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 16.1

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 82%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Dakota State -14.5

Edge: North Dakota State -14.5 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
0100717
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
141014341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-721-1031-1038-1041-17
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDTD756ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydPUNT37ydTD761ydTD1175ydTD565ydFG1047ydFG1158ydEND1-1ydTO13ydTD838ydPUNT618ydTD985ydPUNT523ydPUNT39ydTD15ydFG1348ydTO732ydDOWNS537ydEND765yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and North Dakota State
StatisticNorth DakotaNorth Dakota State
Passing18-2316-24
Pass Yards166221
Rush Yards101208
Total Yards267429
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-1111-16
Penalties6-655-51
Possession25:4134:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Simon Romfo
18/23, 166 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Gaven Ziebarth
12 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Bo Belquist
4 REC, 61 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
13/19, 168 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
CharMar Brown
21 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryce Lance
2 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+44 yds

Luke Silvernale kickoff for 65 yds , TK Marshall return for 44 yds to the NDSU 44 TK Marshall fumbled, recovered by NDSU TK Marshall T. Marshall return for 44 yds , return for no gain to the NDSU 44

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

CharMar Brown run for 11 yds to the UND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 9 yds to the UND 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.27

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 7 yds to the UND 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(12:53) MILLER, Cam pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HENDERSON, Braylon thrown to the UND3, clock 12:48. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on BLUIETT, Antonio enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the UND14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the UND 12

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Cam Miller run for 6 yds to the UND 6

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the UND 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the UND 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Simon Romfo run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 25

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Simon Romfo pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 4 yds to the UND 24

4th & 11Punt+7 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 47 yds , Jackson Williams returns for 7 yds to the NDSU 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 54 yds, downed at the UND 8

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the UND 12

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Simon Romfo pass complete to Sawyer Seidl for 3 yds to the UND 15

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Sawyer Seidl run for no gain to the UND 15

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the NDSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 46

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the UND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the UND 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.25

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 10 yds to the UND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 36 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Gaven Ziebarth run for 9 yds to the UND 34

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Eli Mostaert) to the NDSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Gaven Ziebarth run for 6 yds to the NDSU 42

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(00:47) SMITH, Isaiah rush to the left for a gain of 15 yards to the NDSU27 (GIVANCE, Darius), clock 00:38. PENALTY UND Holding on BECHER, Liam enforced 10 yards from the NDSU42 to the UND48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Simon Romfo run for 8 yds to the NDSU 44

3rd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.29

Gaven Ziebarth run for 23 yds to the NDSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Gaven Ziebarth run for 3 yds to the NDSU 18

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Sawyer Seidl run for no gain to the NDSU 18

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(12:48) ROMFO, Simon scrambles up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the NDSU12 (HUISMAN, Kody), clock 12:43. PENALTY NDSU Offsides on ROQUES, Loshiaka enforced 5 yards from the NDSU18 to the NDSU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the NDSU 12

4th & 1Penalty+6 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offsides (Eli Mostaert) to the NDSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Gaven Ziebarth run for 5 yds to the NDSU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gaven Ziebarth run for no gain to the NDSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Cam Miller run for 7 yds to the NDSU 42

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.26

CharMar Brown run for no gain to the NDSU 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.11

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 34 yds to the UND 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 8 yds to the UND 16

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.21

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 16 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Gaven Ziebarth run for 12 yds to the UND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Gaven Ziebarth run for 3 yds to the UND 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 13 yds to the NDSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Simon Romfo pass complete to Sawyer Seidl for 5 yds to the NDSU 42

2nd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Simon Romfo sacked by Dylan Hendricks for a loss of 2 yards to the NDSU 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Simon Romfo pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 15 yds to the NDSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the NDSU 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+45 yds

C.J. Elrichs 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Luke Silvernale kickoff for 65 yds , Jackson Williams return for 26 yds to the NDSU 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the NDSU 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.81

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 8 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the NDSU 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.26

Cam Miller pass complete to CharMar Brown for 7 yds to the UND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Cam Miller pass complete to Jackson Williams for 16 yds to the UND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(00:56) MILLER, Cam pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LANCE, Bryce thrown to the UND13, clock 00:51. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on BLUIETT, Antonio enforced 15 yards to the UND18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Cam Miller pass complete to Barika Kpeenu for 2 yds to the UND 16

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+34 yds

Griffin Crosa 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Sawyer Seidl run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -1.76

Simon Romfo run for 3 yds to the UND 38 Simon Romfo fumbled, recovered by NDSU Jaxon Duttenhefer J. Duttenhefer return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds to the UND 33

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the UND 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Cam Miller pass complete to Mekhi Collins for 8 yds to the UND 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

CharMar Brown run for 9 yds to the UND 14

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Barika Kpeenu run for 10 yds to the UND 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the UND 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the UND 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Cam Miller run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 7 yds to the UND 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Simon Romfo run for 4 yds to the UND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Sawyer Seidl run for 2 yds to the UND 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Simon Romfo run for 6 yds to the UND 44

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

TK Marshall run for 2 yds to the NDSU 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 7 yds to the NDSU 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the NDSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

CharMar Brown run for 7 yds to the NDSU 33

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the NDSU 40

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota Penalty, Personal Foul (Lance Rucker) to the UND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Cole Payton pass complete to Mekhi Collins for 33 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sawyer Seidl run for 1 yd to the UND 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.57

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 21 yds to the UND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Simon Romfo run for 5 yds to the NDSU 48

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (Caleb Olson) to the UND 47

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sawyer Seidl run for no gain to the UND 47

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Simon Romfo run for 1 yd to the UND 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 20

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

TK Marshall run for 6 yds to the NDSU 26

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the NDSU 27

4th & 1Punt+66 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 44 yds , Bo Belquist returns for 66 yds to the NDSU 5

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 5 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

CharMar Brown run for 7 yds to the NDSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the NDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the NDSU 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cole Payton pass complete to Mekhi Collins for 6 yds to the NDSU 43

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.47

Cole Payton run for 16 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.76

Cole Payton pass complete to Bryce Lance for 14 yds to the UND 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the UND 24

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Truman Werremeyer) to the UND 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the UND 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Cole Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Cole Payton pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+45 yds

Griffin Crosa 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 8 yds to the UND 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 8 yds to the NDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Sawyer Seidl run for no gain to the NDSU 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 6 yds to the NDSU 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.44

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 5 yds to the NDSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.12

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 5 yds Nate DeMontagnac fumbled, recovered by NDSU Dylan Hendricks D. Hendricks return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.33

Cole Payton run for 29 yds to the UND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Barika Kpeenu run for 6 yds to the UND 32

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

TK Marshall run for no gain to the UND 32

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the UND 31

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.63

Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the UND 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 8 yds to the NDSU 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 5 yds to the NDSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 5 yds to the NDSU 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.54

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 23 yds to the NDSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Simon Romfo run for 4 yds to the NDSU 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
45%
22 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
27 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
0%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
89%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play