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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 49.9

Home Win Probability

South Dakota State 99%

Market (ESPN Bet)

South Dakota State -42

Edge: South Dakota State -42 (7.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Murray State
33006
South Dakota State
142414052

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-321-628-635-638-645-652-6
South Dakota StateMurray State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSTD875ydPUNT1020ydPUNT37ydFG719ydTD275ydTO514ydTD344ydFG858ydTD384ydDOWNS618ydTD743ydPUNT610ydFG1068ydEND10ydPUNT37ydTD890ydPUNT423ydTD1396ydPUNT31ydMISS1135ydDOWNS731ydEND621yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Murray State and South Dakota State
StatisticMurray StateSouth Dakota State
Passing16-2319-34
Pass Yards119252
Rush Yards117343
Total Yards236595
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-1411-15
Penalties12-1085-35
Possession28:0631:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Murray State
passing
Jayden Johannsen
14/18, 95 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jawaun Northington
12 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
J'Kalon Carter
5 REC, 54 YDS
South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
9/16, 170 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Angel Johnson
7 CAR, 132 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Griffin Wilde
3 REC, 78 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Davin Stoffel for 12 yds to the SDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDST 44

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.41

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Davin Stoffel for 41 yds to the MUR 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 10 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Jayden Johannsen sacked by Max Baloun for a loss of 7 yards to the MUR 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.18

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 18 yds to the MUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kywon Morgan run for 4 yds to the MUR 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kywon Morgan run for 5 yds to the MUR 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.15

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JOHANNSEN, Jayden pass to the left complete for 5 yards to HILL, Justice caught at the MURRAY41 and advanced to the SDSU48 (BEANUM, Dalys). PENALTY MURRAY Holding on JUMPER, Caden enforced 10 yards from the MURRAY47 to the MURRAY37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for a loss of 3 yards to the MUR 34

2nd & 23Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MUR 39

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Jawaun Northington run for 6 yds to the MUR 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dalys Beanum at the SDST 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Chase Mason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDST 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty+5 yds

DUSTMAN, Hunter punt 38 yards to the MURRAY49 downed by JOHNSON, Bryce, clock 06:43. PENALTY MURRAY Running Into the kicker on MARTIN, Davon enforced 5 yards from the SDSU13 to the SDSU18 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Justice Hill at the MUR 44

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the SDST 47

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.18

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jayden Johannsen run for no gain to the SDST 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.32

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 3 yds to the SDST 39 Murray State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SDST 49

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jayden Johannsen run for 6 yds to the SDST 43

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 6 yds to the SDST 37

4th & 5Field Goal Good+55 yds

James London 55 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Angel Johnson run for 8 yds to the SDST 33

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.17

Angel Johnson run for 67 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 5 yds to the MUR 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 3 yds to the MUR 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Caden Jumper for 3 yds to the MUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 3 yds to the MUR 39

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.44

Jayden Johannsen pass intercepted Tucker Large return for no gain to the MUR 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.95

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 41 yds to the MUR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kirby Vorhees run for no gain to the MUR 3

2nd & 3Penalty+2 yds

Murray State Penalty, Offsides (Colbe Haddox) to the MUR 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kirby Vorhees run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jayden Johannsen run for 4 yds to the MUR 29

2nd & 6Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.90

Justice Hill run for 29 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the SDST 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.12

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 17 yds to the SDST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the SDST 22

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jawaun Northington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 23

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jayden Johannsen run for 6 yds to the SDST 17

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 yds

James London 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

James London kickoff for 63 yds , Angel Johnson return for 14 yds to the SDST 16

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Davin Stoffel for 7 yds to the MUR 44

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.32

Amar Johnson run for 44 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Caden Jumper for 8 yds to the MUR 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Kywon Morgan run for 2 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 2 yds to the MUR 37

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kywon Morgan run for 6 yds to the MUR 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jayden Johannsen run for no gain to the MUR 43

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tom O'Hara pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Chase Mason run for 7 yds to the MUR 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Chase Mason pass complete to Angel Johnson for 2 yds to the MUR 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Angel Johnson run for 3 yds to the MUR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.31

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 19 yds to the MUR 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Angel Johnson run for 6 yds to the MUR 6

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Angel Johnson run for 1 yd to the MUR 5

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Chase Mason run for 5 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jayden Johannsen run for 4 yds to the MUR 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 5 yds to the MUR 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Jawaun Northington for 1 yd to the MUR 37

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Johannsen run for 3 yds to the MUR 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MUR 35

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dalys Beanum at the SDST 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 18 yds to the SDST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Mark Gronowski run for 14 yds to the MUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for 9 yds to the MUR 39

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the MUR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Lofton O'Groske for 13 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Mark Gronowski run for 7 yds to the MUR 12

4th & 3Field Goal Good+29 yds

Hunter Dustman 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 61 yds , JK Carter return for 15 yds to the MUR 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

[SG] Kneel down by TEAM at MURRAY19 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTHINGTON, Jawaun rush to the left for no gain to the MURRAY25 (FRANCL, Caleb;BOCK, Adam). PENALTY MURRAY Holding on JUMPER, Caden enforced 10 yards from the MURRAY25 to the MURRAY15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the MUR 16

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Jawaun Northington run for 6 yds to the MUR 22

3rd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Jawaun Northington run for 10 yds to the MUR 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 58 yds, downed at the SDST 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Mason pass complete to Lofton O'Groske for 5 yds to the SDST 15

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Angel Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 18

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Personal Foul (Terion Sugick) to the SDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MASON, Chase pass up the middle incomplete intended for ALPERS, David thrown to the SDSU45. PENALTY MURRAY Personal Foul on SLADE, Trelon enforced 15 yards from the SDSU37 to the MURRAY48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.17

Angel Johnson run for 48 yds for a 1ST down South Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Lofton O'Groske) to the MUR 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chase Mason pass complete to Maxwell Woods for 3 yds to the MUR 11

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.18

Maxwell Woods run for 8 yds to the MUR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chase Mason pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Maxwell Woods run for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 24 yds to the SDST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Kywon Morgan run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDST 48

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden Johannsen run for 3 yds to the SDST 47

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kentrell Prejean at the SDST 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Maxwell Woods run for 3 yds to the SDST 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Mason pass complete to Maxwell Woods for 1 yd to the SDST 8

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Chase Mason run for 8 yds to the SDST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Chase Mason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Chase Mason pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.64

Chase Mason pass complete to David Alpers for 15 yds to the SDST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Chase Mason run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Maxwell Woods run for 6 yds to the MUR 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Chase Mason pass complete to Brody Gormley for 19 yds to the MUR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Maxwell Woods run for 3 yds to the MUR 22

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

WOODS, Maxwell rush to the left for a gain of 22 yards to the MURRAY0, TOUCHDOWN SDSU, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY SDSU Holding on NEUMANN, Joey enforced 10 yards from the MURRAY22 to the MURRAY32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Chase Mason pass complete to Lofton O'Groske for 9 yds to the MUR 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.95

Chase Mason pass complete to Lofton O'Groske for 12 yds to the MUR 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Chase Mason pass complete to Lofton O'Groske for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the MUR 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jameson Holcomb pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 26

4th & 9Punt+27 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 45 yds , Kentrell Prejean returns for 27 yds to the MUR 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Maxwell Woods run for 2 yds to the MUR 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Chase Mason pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.40

Chase Mason run for 23 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Mason pass complete to Elijah Ervin for 5 yds to the MUR 14

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brenden Begeman run for no gain to the MUR 14

3rd & 5Penalty+9 yds

MASON, Chase pass to the left incomplete intended for OGROSKE, Lofton thrown to the MURRAY5. PENALTY MURRAY Pass Interference on DUMAS, Chavaris enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the MURRAY5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Mason pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Chase Mason run for 2 yds to the MUR 3

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MUR 8

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MUR 13

3rd & 13Penalty+11 yds

BELL, Jon pass to the right incomplete intended for ERVIN, Elijah thrown to the MURRAY2. PENALTY MURRAY Pass Interference on WILLIAMSON, Josh enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the MURRAY2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

Murray State Penalty, Offsides (Yards) to the MUR 1

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jon Bell pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.11

Maxwell Woods run for a loss of 8 yards to the MUR 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jon Bell pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+22 yds

Hunter Dustman 22 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jameson Holcomb run for no gain to the MUR 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Elijah Downing for 3 yds to the MUR 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.69

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Elijah Downing for 21 yds to the MUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jameson Holcomb run for 2 yds to the MUR 46

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kevin Emmanuel run for 1 yd to the MUR 47

3rd & 7Penalty+17 yds

HOLCOMB, Jameson pass deep to the left complete for 17 yards to DOWNING, Elijah caught at the SDSU36 and advanced to the SDSU36. PENALTY MURRAY Pass Interference on DOWNING, Elijah SDSU Roughing the Passer , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kevin Emmanuel run for 4 yds to the SDST 49

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jameson Holcomb pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Maxwell Woods run for 3 yds to the MUR 48

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Maxwell Woods run for 5 yds to the MUR 43

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.29

Maxwell Woods run for 9 yds to the MUR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Maxwell Woods run for 6 yds to the MUR 28

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Kneel down by TEAM at MURRAY29 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Kneel down by TEAM at MURRAY30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
19 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
66%
29 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
4th