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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota by 19

Home Win Probability

Murray State 12%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Murray State +27.5

Edge: Murray State +27.5 (8.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota
213211459
Murray State
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-140-210-240-310-450-59
Murray StateSouth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSMSSDMSSDSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSTD775ydPUNT36ydTD995ydTO423ydTD244ydPUNT35ydPUNT39ydPUNT517ydTO617ydTO1377ydFG1050ydEND10ydTO3-1ydTD428ydPUNT35ydPUNT728ydTD18ydPUNT3-2ydTD658ydPUNT36ydTD280ydDOWNS49ydTD634ydDOWNS953yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota and Murray State
StatisticSouth DakotaMurray State
Passing16-2213-21
Pass Yards221123
Rush Yards33590
Total Yards556213
Turnovers14
3rd Down5-81-12
Penalties6-402-20
Possession32:2224:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota
passing
Aidan Bouman
16/22, 221 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Travis Theis
14 CAR, 132 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Quaron Adams
3 REC, 83 YDS
Murray State
passing
Jayden Johannsen
7/13, 84 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jawaun Northington
11 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
J'Kalon Carter
3 REC, 54 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the SDAK 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 4 yds to the SDAK 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDAK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 4 yds to the SDAK 40

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the SDAK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +1.87

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Quaron Adams for 46 yds to the MUR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 4 yds to the MUR 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 2 yds to the MUR 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.38

Travis Theis run for 12 yds to the SDAK 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.68

Travis Theis run for 22 yds to the SDAK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.84

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Quaron Adams for 25 yds to the MUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the MUR 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 14 yds to the MUR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 7 yds to the MUR 15

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 7 yds to the MUR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 8 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.14

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 18 yds to the MUR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MUR 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 37

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jayden Johannsen pass intercepted Gabriel Hardman return for no gain to the MUR 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.38

Travis Theis run for 44 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Jayden Johannsen sacked by Nick Gaes for a loss of 3 yards to the MUR 18

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 2 yds to the MUR 20

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

JOHANNSEN, Jayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HILL, Justice thrown to the MUR46. PENALTY USD Offsides on DIXON, Chris enforced 5 yards from the MUR20 to the MUR25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 1 yd to the MUR 26

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 44 yds , Carter Bell returns for 4 yds to the SDAK 34

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Charles Pierre Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDAK 32

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 11 yds to the SDAK 43

4th & 1Punt+43 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 43 yds , JK Carter returns for no gain to the MUR 20 , returns for 4 yds to the MUR 20 , Tyson Meiguez returns for no gain to the MUR 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 20

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.67

Jawaun Northington run for 25 yds to the MUR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden Johannsen run for 4 yds to the MUR 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the SDAK 48

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the SDAK 48

4th & 3Penalty-15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MUR 37

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDAK 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDAK 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDAK 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 20 yds to the SDAK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.25

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones-Logan for a loss of 6 yards to the SDAK 39

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.01

Aidan Bouman pass intercepted Jamari Dailey return for no gain to the MUR 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the MUR 15

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the MUR 19

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.66

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the MUR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 16 yds to the MUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.02

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 28 yds to the SDAK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDAK 35

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jayden Johannsen run for 1 yd to the SDAK 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 8 yds to the SDAK 26

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Jayden Johannsen run for 8 yds to the SDAK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Jawaun Northington for 9 yds to the SDAK 9

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the SDAK 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.39

Q'Daryius Jennings run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDAK 25 Q'Daryius Jennings fumbled, recovered by SDAK Mi'Quise Grace M. Grace return for 14 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Quaron Adams for 12 yds to the SDAK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aidan Bouman run for 5 yds to the SDAK 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 1 yd to the SDAK 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.50

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 14 yds to the MUR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.05

Aidan Bouman sacked by CJ Barnes for a loss of 5 yards to the MUR 48

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 16 yds to the MUR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 12 yds to the MUR 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 5 yds to the MUR 15

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

BOUMAN, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for PIERRE JR., Charles thrown to the MUR20. PENALTY USD Holding on HENDERSON, Bryce enforced 10 yards from the MUR15 to the MUR25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Field Goal Good+43 yds

Will Leyland 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

[NH] Kneel down by JOHANNSEN, Jayden at MUR38 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MUR 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MUR 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 24

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jayden Johannsen pass intercepted Dennis Shorter return for 6 yds to the MUR 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the MUR 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.50

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 13 yds to the MUR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the MUR 11

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.71

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 11 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the MUR 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 1 yd to the MUR 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Travis Theis run for 12 yds to the SDAK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the SDAK 43

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

South Dakota Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jack Martens) to the SDAK 40

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Carter Bell run for 9 yds to the SDAK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

THEIS, Travis rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the MUR49 (JAMES, Terrell;FLOWERS, Dennard). PENALTY USD Offsides on ADAMS, Quaron enforced 5 yards from the USD49 to the USD44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aidan Bouman run for 4 yds to the SDAK 48

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Javion Phelps for 10 yds to the MUR 42

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota Penalty, Delay Of Game (Aidan Bouman) to the MUR 47

4th & 6Punt+34 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 34 yds , JK Carter returns for no gain to the MUR 8 , returns for no gain to the MUR 8

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.99

Jayden Johannsen sacked by Jonathan Bunce for a loss of 7 yards to the MUR 15

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MUR 20

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDAK 42

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Travis Theis run for 7 yds to the SDAK 49 Travis Theis fumbled, recovered by SDAK return for 0 yds

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.33

Charles Pierre Jr. run for 5 yds to the MUR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Charles Pierre Jr. run for no gain to the MUR 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.04

Aidan Bouman pass complete to AJ Coons for 34 yds to the MUR 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Travis Theis run for 10 yds to the MUR 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Travis Theis run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Q'Daryius Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 23

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Jawaun Northington for 6 yds to the MUR 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 69 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Keyondray Jones-Logan run for 6 yds to the SDAK 26

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.10

Nevan Cremascoli run for 74 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Emmanuel run for 2 yds to the MUR 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kevin Emmanuel run for 5 yds to the MUR 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kevin Emmanuel run for 2 yds to the MUR 34

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jameson Holcomb pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Keyondray Jones-Logan run for 4 yds to the MUR 30

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

L.J. Phillips Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 32

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Nevan Cremascoli run for 13 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 7 yds to the MUR 12

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 7 yds to the MUR 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Emmanuel run for 3 yds to the MUR 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Marcus Floyd Jr. for 7 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Kevin Emmanuel run for 16 yds to the SDAK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Kevin Emmanuel run for 1 yd to the SDAK 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.78

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Marcus Floyd Jr. for 17 yds to the SDAK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Kevin Emmanuel for no gain to the SDAK 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Kevin Emmanuel for 2 yds to the SDAK 29

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jameson Holcomb pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -2.21

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Rykin Maxwell for 7 yds to the SDAK 22

Situational Analysis

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
60%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play