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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Murray State by 9

Home Win Probability

Murray State 69%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Murray State -14.5

Edge: Mississippi Valley State +14.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi Valley State
08008
Murray State
2110141459

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-028-031-838-845-852-859-8
Murray StateMississippi Valley State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MVSMSMVSMVSMSMVSMSMVSMSMVSMSMVSMSMSMVSMSMVSMSMVSMSMVSMSMVSMSMVSPUNT30ydTD340ydTD5-7ydPUNT38ydTD1794ydDOWNS1259ydPUNT35ydTO614ydTD628ydPUNT33ydFG514ydTD1365ydEND16ydTD468ydDOWNS724ydTD649ydPUNT817ydPUNT729ydDOWNS839ydTD557ydTO32ydPUNT3-19ydPUNT3-7ydTD1044ydEND36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi Valley State and Murray State
StatisticMississippi Valley StateMurray State
Passing14-3212-24
Pass Yards163221
Rush Yards57219
Total Yards220440
Turnovers30
3rd Down7-1914-18
Penalties3-175-37
Possession31:5328:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi Valley State
passing
Ty'Jarian Williams
11/23, 129 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jakobe Thomas
4 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Kerrick Ross
3 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
Murray State
passing
Jayden Johannsen
9/19, 169 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kywon Morgan
8 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justice Hill
3 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+16 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 43 yds , JK Carter returns for 16 yds to the MVSU 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kywon Morgan run for 4 yds to the MVSU 36

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.18

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 36 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kerrick Ross run for 5 yds to the MVSU 15

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Zamariyon Kendall run for 2 yds to the MVSU 17

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the MVSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Jaydyn Sisk run for a loss of 6 yards to the MVSU 14

2nd & 16Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA +0.25

Jaydyn Sisk run for a loss of 11 yards Jaydyn Sisk fumbled, recovered by MUR Tyson Meiguez T. Meiguez return for 3 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Cameron Nelson run for a loss of 5 yards to the MVSU 20

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

DePhabian Fant run for 7 yds to the MVSU 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 6 yds to the MVSU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 61 yds, downed at the MUR 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the MUR 9

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the MUR 13

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the MUR 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jayden Johannsen run for no gain to the MUR 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.26

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 23 yds to the MUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the MUR 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the MUR 47

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.59

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MVSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jayden Johannsen run for 8 yds to the MVSU 41

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jayden Johannsen run for no gain to the MVSU 41

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Elijah Downing for 13 yds to the MVSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jayden Johannsen run for 3 yds to the MVSU 22

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 9 yds to the MVSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the MVSU 13

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Jawaun Northington run for 8 yds to the MVSU 5

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.58

Jayden Johannsen run for 5 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

DePhabian Fant run for a loss of 4 yards to the MVSU 21

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Cayden Betts run for 1 yd to the MVSU 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.00

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Cameron Nelson for 13 yds to the MVSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cayden Betts run for 3 yds to the MVSU 38

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 8 yds to the MVSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 19 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

DePhabian Fant run for 1 yd to the MUR 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.89

Jaydyn Sisk pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 15 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete

4th & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -2.89

Nicholas Stephens run for 3 yds to the MUR 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Washington run for 5 yds to the MUR 21

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 65 yds, downed at the MVSU 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaydyn Sisk pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the MVSU 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.96

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 6 yds to the MVSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.49

Jakobe Thomas run for 17 yds to the MVSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Zamariyon Kendall run for 1 yd to the MVSU 42

2nd & 9Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.74

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the MVSU 28 Ty'Jarian Williams fumbled, recovered by MUR Kevon Haigler , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Kywon Morgan run for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 31

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 11 yds to the MVSU 20

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kywon Morgan run for 6 yds to the MVSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kywon Morgan run for 5 yds to the MVSU 9

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jayden Johannsen run for 4 yds to the MVSU 5

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.49

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ty'Jarian Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 24

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bryson Hart) to the MVSU 14

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 4 yds to the MVSU 28

4th & 7Punt+19 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 41 yds , JK Carter returns for 19 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 14 yds to the MVSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the MVSU 36

4th & 10Field Goal Good+54 yds

James London 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kerrick Ross run for 7 yds to the MVSU 42

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.26

Zamariyon Kendall run for no gain to the MVSU 42

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.03

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 9 yds to the MUR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

DePhabian Fant run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.39

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 25 yds to the MUR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the MUR 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Murray State Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Offsides on WILLIAMS, Sam enforced (5 Yards) to the MUR 16

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.61

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the MUR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Tonorris Brookins II for no gain to the MUR 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.82

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 6 yds to the MUR 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 8 yds to the MUR 40

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Kywon Morgan run for 1 yd to the MUR 41

3rd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 14 yds to the MVSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Kywon Morgan run for 45 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jakobe Thomas run for 5 yds to the MVSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the MVSU 32

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 8 yds to the MVSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 3 yds to the MVSU 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 5 yds to the MVSU 48

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the MVSU 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.85

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 12 yds to the MVSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 38

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +4.99

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kade Neely for 38 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

DePhabian Fant run for 8 yds to the MVSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the MVSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nathan Rembert run for 6 yds to the MVSU 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 2 yds to the MVSU 45

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Murray State Penalty, Offsides (Detoye Adewole) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Zamariyon Kendall run for 1 yd to the MUR 49

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.26

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Detoye Adewole and Curtis Francis for a loss of 9 yards to the MVSU 42

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 53 yds, downed at the MUR 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 7

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MUR 12

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jawaun Northington run for 7 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Kywon Morgan run for 12 yds to the MUR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kywon Morgan run for 3 yds to the MUR 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Nathan Rembert at the MVSU 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.54

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jakobe Thomas for 20 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the MVSU 40

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by James Camden and Vincent Dinkins for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.55

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Tonorris Brookins II for 22 yds to the MUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Zamariyon Kendall run for no gain to the MUR 40

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Terrell James for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 10 yds to the MUR 40

4th & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Kevon Haigler and Vincent Dinkins for a loss of 3 yards to the MUR 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Kade Neely for 18 yds to the MVSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Washington run for 2 yds to the MVSU 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.99

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Rykin Maxwell for 19 yds to the MVSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Washington run for 3 yds to the MVSU 15

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Marcus Floyd Jr. for 15 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

DePhabian Fant run for 2 yds to the MVSU 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.22

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted Jordan Sonnabend return for no gain to the MVSU 25

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Sonnabend) to the MVSU 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jim Ogle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jordan Washington run for 6 yds to the MVSU 34

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

WASHINGTON, Jordan rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the MVS27 (WILLIAMS, Amir), out of bounds. PENALTY MUR Holding on OXLEY, Jackson enforced 10 yards from the MVS34 to the MVS44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jim Ogle pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 27 yds, downed at the MVSU 17

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaydyn Sisk) to the MVSU 7

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

DePhabian Fant run for 3 yds to the MVSU 10

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 34 yds, downed at the MVSU 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevin Emmanuel run for 4 yds to the MVSU 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kevin Emmanuel run for 5 yds to the MVSU 35

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Kevin Emmanuel run for 5 yds to the MVSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kevin Emmanuel run for 6 yds to the MVSU 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Clint McKee run for 3 yds to the MVSU 21

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.17

Clint McKee run for 1 yd to the MVSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Jim Ogle run for 17 yds to the MVSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jim Ogle run for no gain to the MVSU 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kevin Emmanuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Kevin Emmanuel run for 5 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the MVSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the MVSU 30

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the MVSU 31

Situational Analysis

Mississippi Valley State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
17%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
28 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th