Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 16.1

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 81%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Dakota State -13.5

Edge: North Dakota State -13.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
0140721
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
2114141059

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-028-028-742-1449-1449-2152-2159-21
North Dakota StateMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSPUNT3-3ydTD252ydTO1-9ydTD513ydPUNT425ydTD1295ydPUNT733ydTD980ydTD1078ydTO210ydTD140ydTD1165ydEND115ydTD475ydDOWNS1360ydTD785ydTD1375ydFG858ydTO46ydTD331ydPUNT35ydPUNT32ydEND762yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and North Dakota State
StatisticMissouri StateNorth Dakota State
Passing20-3219-27
Pass Yards296211
Rush Yards86364
Total Yards382575
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-165-9
Penalties5-378-51
Possession31:2128:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
18/30, 247 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jacardia Wright
13 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Hunter Wood
4 REC, 73 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
17/24, 155 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Barika Kpeenu
10 CAR, 169 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Chris Harris
3 REC, 48 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 65 yds , Jayden Becks return for 16 yds to the MOST 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Clark sacked by Marcus Gulley and Eli Mostaert for a loss of 5 yards to the MOST 13

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 45 yds , Jackson Williams returns for 6 yds to the NDSU 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.15

Barika Kpeenu run for 52 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 65 yds , Jayden Becks return for 22 yds to the MOST 22

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA -0.73

Jayden Becks run for a loss of 9 yards to the MOST 13 Jayden Becks fumbled, recovered by NDSU Marcus Sheppard M. Sheppard return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the MOST 10

2nd & 7Penalty+8 yds

(12:35) MILLER, Cam pass to the right incomplete intended for LANCE, Bryce thrown to the MSU0, clock 12:32. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on JOE, Lemondre enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the MSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Penalty-10 yds

(12:29) WILLIAMS, Jackson rush to the right for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU4, out of bounds, clock 12:27. PENALTY NDSU Holding on HOFSTEDT, Logan enforced 10 yards from the MSU2 to the MSU12. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the MOST 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Cam Miller pass complete to Tyler Terhark for 8 yds to the MOST 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 3 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MOST 30

1st & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden Becks run for 19 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 6 yds to the NDSU 45

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacob Clark run for no gain to the NDSU 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Missouri State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

CharMar Brown run for 9 yds to the NDSU 14

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.28

Barika Kpeenu run for 4 yds to the NDSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Cam Miller pass complete to Truman Werremeyer for 4 yds to the NDSU 22

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.61

TK Marshall run for 16 yds to the NDSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 17 yds to the MOST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.80

CharMar Brown run for 21 yds to the MOST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

CharMar Brown run for 8 yds to the MOST 16

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the MOST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the MOST 9

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the MOST 6

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Jake Rock) to the MOST 22

3rd & 4Penalty-11 yds

(01:38) BROWN, CharMar rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the MSU0, TOUCHDOWN NDSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:39 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY NDSU Holding on ZABEL, Grey enforced 11 yards from the MSU6 to the MSU17. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +4.49

Cam Miller pass complete to Jackson Williams for 22 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 13 yds to the MOST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 42

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -2.14

Jacob Clark sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the MOST 29 Jacob Clark fumbled, recovered by MOST , return for 0 yards

3rd & 19Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +4.32

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 37 yds to the NDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the NDSU 29

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-15 ydsPPA -3.57

Jayden Becks run for a loss of 15 yards to the NDSU 44 Jayden Becks fumbled, recovered by MOST Jacob Clark J. Clark return for 0 yds

3rd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 2 yds to the NDSU 42

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Cam Miller pass complete to Tyler Terhark for 11 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds to the NDSU 36

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds to the NDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.03

Barika Kpeenu run for 31 yds to the MOST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the MOST 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Cam Miller pass complete to Tyler Terhark for a loss of 4 yards to the MOST 31

3rd & 13Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.87

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 27 yds to the MOST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 4 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 63 yds , Jayden Becks return for 20 yds to the MOST 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 26

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.85

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MOST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MOST 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 14 yds to the NDSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 11 yds to the NDSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the NDSU 36

2nd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Jacob Clark sacked by Eli Mostaert for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 14 yds to the NDSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.73

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 22 yds to the NDSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 61 yds , TK Marshall return for 4 yds to the NDSU 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the NDSU 13

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Missouri State Penalty, Offsides (Jalen Williams) to the NDSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cam Miller pass intercepted Lemondre Joe return for no gain to the NDSU 40

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Hunter Wood pass complete to Jayden Becks for 40 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 32 yds , Luke Kokat return for 2 yds to the NDSU 35 Luke Kokat fumbled, recovered by NDSU Luke Kokat L. Kokat return for 2 yds , return for no gain to the NDSU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 9 yds to the NDSU 44

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Cam Miller run for 11 yds to the MOST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 12 yds to the MOST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 11 yds to the MOST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Cam Miller pass complete to Truman Werremeyer for 10 yds to the MOST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 9 yds to the MOST 3

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.88

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the MOST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

CharMar Brown run for no gain to the MOST 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 47 yds , Jayden Becks return for 6 yds to the MOST 24

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Jacardia Wright run for 15 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 2 yds to the NDSU 27

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Barika Kpeenu run for 16 yds to the NDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Barika Kpeenu run for 9 yds to the MOST 48

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.18

CharMar Brown run for 48 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 17 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MOST 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.17

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 12 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for no gain to the NDSU 46

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the NDSU 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 3 yds to the NDSU 40

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offsides (Enock Sibomana) to the NDSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.52

Jacob Clark sacked by Logan Larson for a loss of 9 yards to the NDSU 44

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.77

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 27 yds to the NDSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the NDSU 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.35

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDSU 13

2nd & 12Penalty+14 yds

(05:59) MILLER, Cam pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LANCE, Bryce thrown to the NDSU48, clock 05:54. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on JOE, Lemondre enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the NDSU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Barika Kpeenu run for no gain to the NDSU 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Cam Miller pass complete to CharMar Brown for 9 yds to the NDSU 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the NDSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Cam Miller run for 8 yds to the NDSU 46

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Barika Kpeenu run for 49 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 64 yds , Jayden Becks return for 24 yds to the MOST 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the MOST 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.53

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 28 yds to the NDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.70

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 14 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.42

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 22 yds to the NDSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacob Clark run for 4 yds to the NDSU 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Missouri State Penalty, False Start (Ja'Veo Toliver) to the NDSU 10

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Personal Foul (Enock Sibomana) to the NDSU 5

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 3 yds to the NDSU 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 2 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

TK Marshall run for 4 yds to the NDSU 32

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.80

Nathan Hayes run for 14 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Peder Haugo run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.71

Nathan Hayes pass complete to Cade Osterman for 29 yds to the MOST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Hunter Poncius) to the MOST 26

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nathan Hayes pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Peder Haugo run for 4 yds to the MOST 22

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Nathan Hayes run for 8 yds to the MOST 14

4th & 3Field Goal Good+32 yds

Griffin Crosa 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jacardia Wright run for 14 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.05

Brock Bagozzi sacked by Hunter Zenzen for a loss of 7 yards to the MOST 32

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Lance Mason for 9 yds to the MOST 41

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.90

Brock Bagozzi sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the MOST 31 Brock Bagozzi fumbled, recovered by NDSU Kelton McCaslin , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brady Wavrunek run for 1 yd to the MOST 30

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Brady Wavrunek run for 3 yds to the MOST 27

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.52

Nathan Hayes pass complete to John Gores for 27 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jayden Becks run for 4 yds to the MOST 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jayden Becks run for no gain to the MOST 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jayden Becks run for 1 yd to the MOST 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kelly Watson run for 2 yds to the NDSU 25

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kelly Watson run for 1 yd to the NDSU 26

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Wavrunek run for 4 yds to the NDSU 30

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the NDSU 25

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the MOST 34

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Iverson Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 33

3rd & 4Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.38

Iverson Young run for 28 yds to the NDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Iverson Young run for 12 yds to the NDSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Iverson Young run for 6 yds to the NDSU 21

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Iverson Young run for 2 yds to the NDSU 19

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Iverson Young run for 8 yds to the NDSU 11 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
28 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
8 plays
13%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
48%
29 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays