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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri State by 28.1

Home Win Probability

Murray State 5%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Murray State +24

Edge: Missouri State -24 (4.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
721211059
Murray State
61114031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-03-76-1414-2114-2817-2824-3531-5031-5731-60
Murray StateMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSMSPUNT428ydPUNT39ydFG1031ydTD662ydFG646ydTD1175ydPUNT34ydTD570ydTD973ydTD882ydFG444ydPUNT37ydTD581ydTD377ydTD764ydPUNT39ydTD499ydTO30ydTO417ydPUNT738ydTD794ydTO1-6ydFG44ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-11ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and Murray State
StatisticMissouri StateMurray State
Passing27-3522-35
Pass Yards437250
Rush Yards142151
Total Yards579401
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-124-14
Penalties4-303-35
Possession32:2327:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
25/32, 431 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jayden Becks
7 CAR, 85 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jmariyae Robinson
6 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
Murray State
passing
Jayden Johannsen
21/34, 249 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jawaun Northington
4 CAR, 86 YDS
receiving
Justice Hill
2 REC, 64 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Jawaun Northington run for 26 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jayden Johannsen run for 2 yds to the MOST 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 5 yds to the MOST 42

3rd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Justice Hill run for a loss of 5 yards to the MOST 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 38 yds, downed at the MOST 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the MOST 16

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the MOST 18

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justice Hill at the MUR 37

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.09

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 22 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 5 yds to the MOST 38

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Kywon Morgan run for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 40

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jayden Johannsen run for 6 yds to the MOST 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.65

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 8 yds to the MOST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 27

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.97

Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 5 yards to the MOST 32

4th & 16Field Goal Good+50 yds

James London 50 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

James London kickoff for 62 yds , Dash Luke return for 35 yds to the MOST 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 9 yds to the MOST 47

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 6 yds to the MUR 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MUR 44

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.32

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 44 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 60 yds , JK Carter return for 23 yds to the MUR 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 31 yds to the MOST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kade Neely for 13 yds to the MOST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kywon Morgan run for 2 yds to the MOST 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+43 yds

James London 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the MOST 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 9 yds to the MOST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the MOST 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 9 yds to the MUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 6 yds to the MUR 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.51

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 8 yds to the MUR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Jayden Becks run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.41

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 23 yds to the MUR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jayden Becks run for 13 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 61 yds , JK Carter return for 15 yds to the MUR 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MUR 23

2nd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jayden Johannsen sacked by Jalen Williams for 0 yards to the MUR 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 4 yds to the MOST 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 11 yds to the MOST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.58

Jacardia Wright run for 30 yds to the MUR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.44

Jacob Clark sacked by Tyson Meiguez and Dennard Flowers for a loss of 7 yards to the MUR 32

2nd & 17Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.14

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 32 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 56 yds , JK Carter return for 18 yds to the MUR 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 5 yds to the MUR 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.90

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kywon Morgan for 8 yds to the MUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jayden Johannsen run for no gain to the MUR 40

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MUR 35

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.32

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 12 yds to the MUR 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.00

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kade Neely for 10 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Marcus Floyd Jr. for 9 yds to the MOST 34

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

JOHANNSEN, Jayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CARTER, J'Kalon thrown to the MOS0. PENALTY MOS Offsides enforced 5 yards from the MOS34 to the MOS29 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

JOHANNSEN, Jayden pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CARTER, J'Kalon thrown to the MOS5. PENALTY MOS Pass Interference on DIXSON, Dylan enforced 15 yards to the MOS14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

JOHANNSEN, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for CARTER, J'Kalon broken up by POWELL, Avery at the MOS2. PENALTY MOS Offsides on SMITHSON, Sterling enforced 5 yards from the MOS14 to the MOS9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 6 yds to the MOST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kade Neely for 3 yds for a TD (T. O'Hara Run For Two-point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

James London kickoff for 64 yds , Jayden Becks return for 17 yds to the MOST 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Jacob Clark pass complete to Gary Clinton for 9 yds to the MOST 27

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jayden Becks run for no gain to the MOST 27

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.93

Jayden Becks run for 15 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 19 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.52

Jacob Clark sacked by Dareon Goodrum for a loss of 8 yards to the MUR 47

2nd & 18Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for no gain to the MUR 47

3rd & 18Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 16 yds to the MUR 31

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.24

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 31 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 64 yds , JK Carter return for 20 yds to the MUR 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jayden Johannsen run for 4 yds to the MUR 25

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.15

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 20 yds to the MUR 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 20 yds to the MOST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+52 yds

James London 52 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 5 yds to the MOST 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MOST 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 49 yds, downed at the MUR 19

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.72

Jawaun Northington run for 55 yds to the MOST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the MOST 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.62

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 19 yds to the MOST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jayden Johannsen run for 6 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

James London kickoff for 65 yds , Jayden Becks return for 23 yds to the MOST 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

CLARK, Jacob pass short up the middle incomplete intended for WOOD, Hunter broken up by WANSLEY, Amari at the MOS30; QB hurried by MEIGUEZ, Tyson. PENALTY MUR Roughing the Passer on GOODRUM, Dareon enforced 15 yards from the MOS26 to the MOS41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

Jayden Becks run for 59 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 60 yds , JK Carter return for 31 yds to the MUR 36

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kywon Morgan run for 6 yds to the MUR 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Marcus Floyd Jr. for 10 yds to the MOST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Justice Hill) to the MOST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 6 yds to the MOST 12

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Kywon Morgan run for 11 yds to the MOST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kywon Morgan run for no gain to the MOST 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jawaun Northington pass complete to Caden Jumper for 1 yd for a TD (James London KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+95 yds

Jayden Becks 95 Yd Kickoff Return (Yousef Obeid Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 38 yds , Tyler Wilms return for no gain to the MUR 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 9 yds to the MUR 46

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 53 yds, downed at the MOST 1

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 6

2nd & 5Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.17

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 34 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +5.88

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 60 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 41 yds , Tyler Wilms return for no gain to the MUR 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA +0.15

Jayden Johannsen pass intercepted Dylan Dixson return for 3 yds to the MUR 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 16 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jayden Becks run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 3 yds to the MUR 18

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -3.70

Jacob Clark pass intercepted Davon Martin return for 3 yds to the MUR 15

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.93

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 15 yds to the MUR 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for no gain to the MUR 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 4 yds to the MUR 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.35

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 24 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.43

Jayden Johannsen sacked by Sterling Smithson for a loss of 7 yards to the MOST 49

2nd & 17Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.02

Q'Daryius Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 49

3rd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 4 yds to the MOST 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 41 yds, downed at the MOST 6

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 10

2nd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.33

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 21 yds to the MOST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 8 yds to the MOST 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.41

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 21 yds to the MUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MUR 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.50

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 27 yds to the MUR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jacardia Wright run for 13 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 40 yds , Tyler Wilms return for 13 yds to the MUR 38

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -2.05

Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 6 yards to the MUR 32 Jayden Johannsen fumbled, recovered by MOST Darion Smith D. Smith return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Dash Luke for no gain to the MUR 32

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.24

Ramone Green Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Ramone Green Jr. for 6 yds to the MUR 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+45 yds

Yousef Obeid 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 54 yds , JK Carter return for 11 yds to the MUR 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Johannsen run for 5 yds to the MUR 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Iverson Young run for no gain to the MOST 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Iverson Young run for 4 yds to the MOST 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Justice Hill at the MUR 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyrell Campbell run for 1 yd to the MUR 31

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-21 ydsPPA -0.99

Jameson Holcomb run for a loss of 21 yards to the MUR 10 Jameson Holcomb fumbled, recovered by MUR Jameson Holcomb J. Holcomb return for 0 yds

3rd & 30Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.01

Tyrell Campbell run for 9 yds to the MUR 19

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 44

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

[NH] Kneel down by BAGOZZI, Brock at MOS42 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.92

[NH] Kneel down by BAGOZZI, Brock at MOS40 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

[NH] Kneel down by BAGOZZI, Brock at MOS38 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play