Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Indiana State by 2.4

Home Win Probability

Indiana State 54%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Indiana State -6.5

Edge: Murray State +6.5 (4.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Murray State
7371027
Indiana State
1473731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-721-1024-1024-1724-2431-27
Indiana StateMurray State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSISISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSPUNT33ydTD858ydTD880ydTD777ydPUNT622ydPUNT736ydDOWNS841ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydTD535ydFG658ydPUNT38ydPUNT44ydEND746ydPUNT428ydPUNT33ydFG945ydTD1175ydPUNT31ydTD1262ydPUNT35ydPUNT616ydPUNT53ydFG545ydTD975ydEND30yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Murray State and Indiana State
StatisticMurray StateIndiana State
Passing20-3825-34
Pass Yards256218
Rush Yards146188
Total Yards402406
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-173-11
Penalties5-604-40
Possession28:3931:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Murray State
passing
Jayden Johannsen
20/38, 256 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jawaun Northington
15 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justice Hill
7 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
Indiana State
passing
Elijah Owens
25/34, 218 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shen Butler-Lawson
7 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Rashad Rochelle
8 REC, 53 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the MUR 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+19 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 49 yds , Rashad Rochelle returns for 19 yds to the INST 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Elijah Owens run for no gain to the INST 42

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the INST 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.47

Elijah Owens pass complete to Ethan Chambers for 18 yds to the MUR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 4 yds to the MUR 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Plez Lawrence run for 3 yds to the MUR 35

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Elijah Owens run for 11 yds to the MUR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Devin Nelson run for 6 yds to the MUR 18

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Elijah Owens pass complete to Kai Rios for 18 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 16 yds to the MUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 18 yds to the INST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 12 yds to the INST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the INST 33

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.73

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 19 yds to the INST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 12 yds to the INST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 9 yds to the INST 32

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Devin Nelson run for 2 yds to the INST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Elijah Owens pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 6 yds to the INST 40

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 7 yds to the INST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Elijah Owens pass complete to Ethan Chambers for 21 yds to the MUR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Elijah Owens pass complete to Zavion Taylor for 7 yds to the MUR 25

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.50

Plez Lawrence run for 25 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jawaun Northington run for 11 yds to the MUR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kade Neely for 15 yds to the INST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 1 yd to the INST 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for a loss of 5 yards to the INST 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Elijah Owens pass complete to Ethan Chambers for 8 yds to the INST 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Devin Nelson run for 5 yds to the INST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.46

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 16 yds to the INST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.86

Elijah Owens sacked by Dareon Goodrum for a loss of 10 yards to the INST 39

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Elijah Owens pass complete to Plez Lawrence for 10 yds to the INST 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Elijah Owens pass complete to Plez Lawrence for 7 yds to the MUR 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 34 yds, downed at the MUR 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Elijah Downing for 7 yds to the MUR 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 34

4th & 1Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.71

Caden Jumper run for 28 yds to the INST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jayden Johannsen run for 6 yds to the INST 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 1 yd to the INST 31

4th & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.63

Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 3 yards to the INST 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Devin Nelson run for no gain to the INST 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Elijah Owens pass complete to BJ Wuest for 4 yds to the INST 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MUR 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 9 yds to the MUR 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the MUR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.74

Elijah Owens run for 23 yds to the MUR 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Elijah Owens run for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

JOHANNSEN, Jayden scrambles to the right for no gain to the MUR35 (BROWN, Geoffrey). PENALTY INS Holding on VALDES, Jorge enforced 10 yards from the MUR35 to the MUR45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.72

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 40 yds to the INST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 2 yds to the INST 13

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Jayden Johannsen run for 7 yds to the INST 6

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jawaun Northington run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 7

4th & 2Field Goal Good+24 yds

James London 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devin Nelson run for 3 yds to the INST 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 5 yds to the INST 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the INST 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 41 yds, downed at the MUR 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 11 yds to the MUR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Jayden Johannsen sacked by Kendrick Milford for a loss of 7 yards to the MUR 30

4th & 17Punt+2 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 55 yds , Rashad Rochelle returns for 2 yds to the INST 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 3 yds to the INST 20

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Plez Lawrence run for 9 yds to the INST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Elijah Owens pass complete to Zavion Taylor for 10 yds to the INST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on DINKINS, Vincent enforced (15 Yards) to the MUR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Devin Nelson run for 20 yds to the INST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Devin Nelson run for 3 yds to the INST 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Elijah Owens pass complete to Kai Rios for 5 yds to the MUR 47

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 28 yds, downed at the MUR 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MUR 22

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 3 yds to the INST 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Elijah Owens pass complete to Lance Rees for 8 yds to the INST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shen Butler-Lawson run for no gain to the INST 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.25

Elijah Owens pass complete to BJ Wuest for 15 yds to the MUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Elijah Owens pass complete to BJ Wuest for 15 yds to the MUR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 5 yds to the MUR 20

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Devin Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jake Andjelic 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 9 yds to the MUR 34

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Jayden Johannsen run for 13 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Q'Daryius Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.07

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 12 yds to the INST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 1 yd to the INST 41

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the INST 40

3rd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.20

Jawaun Northington run for 21 yds to the INST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Q'Daryius Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 8 yds to the INST 12

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

JOHANNSEN, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for FLOYD, JR., Marcus broken up by OSAFO, JP at the INS0. PENALTY INS Pass Interference on OSAFO, JP enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the INS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kade Neely for 2 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Owens pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 2 yds to the INST 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Devin Nelson run for 1 yd to the INST 28

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah Owens sacked by Dennard Flowers for a loss of 7 yards to the INST 21

4th & 14Penalty+5 yds

Punt by TRAUM, Harry at the INS21 is blocked by GUILLORY, Esteban, recovered by MUR JACKSON, James at the INS0, returned 0 yards to the INS0, TOUCHDOWN MUR, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, MUR Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the INS21 to the INS26. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 36 yds, downed at the MUR 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 7 yds to the MUR 45

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the MUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 5 yds to the INST 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 2 yds to the INST 45

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the INST 44

4th & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.38

Jawaun Northington run for 6 yds to the INST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 12 yds to the INST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the INST 24

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

JENNINGS, Q'Darryius rush to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the INS13 (GLASS, Ahmond), out of bounds. PENALTY MUR Holding on ALLEN, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the INS24 to the INS34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jayden Johannsen run for 1 yd to the INST 33

3rd & 17Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.66

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Marcus Floyd Jr. for 19 yds to the INST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the INST 11

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.65

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 11 yds for a TD (James London KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Devin Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Owens pass complete to Devin Nelson for 2 yds to the INST 21

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Elijah Owens run for 4 yds to the INST 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MUR 32

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.92

Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 3 yards to the MUR 29

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.28

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Justice Hill for 11 yds to the MUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 40

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 5 yds to the MUR 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tom O'Hara punt for 40 yds, downed at the INST 15

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Elijah Owens run for 8 yds to the INST 23

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 5 yds to the INST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 3 yds to the INST 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.51

Elijah Owens sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the INST 23 Elijah Owens fumbled, recovered by INST Shane O'Mara , return for 0 yards

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

Indiana State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Harry Traum) to the INST 18

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 36 yds, downed at the MUR 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.59

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Marcus Floyd Jr. for 36 yds to the INST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 9 yds to the INST 9

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the INST 9

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the INST 9

4th & 1Field Goal Good+25 yds

James London 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 15 yds to the INST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 5 yds to the INST 45

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Elijah Owens run for 9 yds to the MUR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Elijah Owens run for 13 yds to the MUR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.97

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 32 yds to the MUR 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Elijah Owens run for no gain to the MUR 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Elijah Owens run for no gain to the MUR 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Rocco Ciocca run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
41%
32 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
40%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Indiana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
32 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th