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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 8.1

Home Win Probability

Illinois State 31%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Illinois State +10

Edge: Illinois State +10 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
7721742
Illinois State
070310

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-147-217-287-3510-42
Illinois StateNorth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISNDSISNDSISNDSISNDSISNDSNDSISNDSISNDSISNDSISNDSPUNT31ydTD1164ydPUNT39ydPUNT35ydPUNT639ydTD1680ydTD574ydTO536ydPUNT3-16ydMISS638ydTD769ydPUNT3-10ydTD651ydDOWNS523ydTD448ydPUNT929ydTD497ydFG1354ydEND1066yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota State and Illinois State
StatisticNorth Dakota StateIllinois State
Passing21-2417-24
Pass Yards237198
Rush Yards3078
Total Yards544206
Turnovers10
3rd Down10-134-12
Penalties4-276-55
Possession38:5721:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
20/23, 216 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
CharMar Brown
17 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryce Lance
8 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
Illinois State
passing
Tommy Rittenhouse
10/14, 132 YDS
rushing
Wenkers Wright
9 CAR, 24 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Loyd
3 REC, 52 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Tommy Rittenhouse sacked by Eli Mostaert for a loss of 7 yards to the ILST 18

3rd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.07

Wenkers Wright run for 8 yds to the ILST 26

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Hayden Futch punt for 40 yds , Jackson Williams returns for 2 yds to the NDSU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 8 yds to the NDSU 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 3 yds to the NDSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.04

CharMar Brown run for 16 yds to the ILST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the ILST 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 5 yds to the ILST 29

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the ILST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

TK Marshall run for 2 yds to the ILST 24

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILST 29

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Cam Miller pass complete to Barika Kpeenu for 6 yds to the ILST 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 12 yds to the ILST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the ILST 7

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 7 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Xavier Loyd run for no gain to the ILST 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 6 yds to the ILST 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 3 yds to the ILST 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hayden Futch punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cam Miller pass complete to Truman Werremeyer for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the ILST 49

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Cam Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 41 yds, downed at the ILST 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the ILST 11

2nd & 8Penalty+6 yds

RUBLEY, Jake pass short up the middle incomplete intended for KASPER, Eddie broken up by KUBITZ, Nick at the ILS16. PENALTY NDSU Pass Interference on KUBITZ, Nick enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the ILS17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Wenkers Wright run for 3 yds to the ILST 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jake Rubley pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 5 yds to the ILST 25

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

RUBLEY, Jake pass to the left incomplete intended for KASPER, Eddie thrown to the ILS33. PENALTY NDSU Roughing the Passer on HUISMAN, Kody enforced 15 yards from the ILS25 to the ILS40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jake Rubley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Wenkers Wright run for 4 yds to the ILST 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jake Rubley pass complete to Wenkers Wright for 4 yds to the ILST 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hayden Futch punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the NDSU 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 9 yds to the NDSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

CharMar Brown run for 6 yds to the NDSU 39

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Cam Miller run for 10 yds to the NDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Barika Kpeenu run for no gain to the NDSU 49

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the ILST 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.31

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 9 yds to the ILST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

CharMar Brown run for 7 yds to the ILST 32

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Cam Miller run for a loss of 3 yards to the ILST 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 5 yds to the ILST 30

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the ILST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the ILST 22

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.13

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 9 yds to the ILST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the ILST 11

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.71

Cam Miller pass complete to Mekhi Collins for 11 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 59 yds , Jalen Carr return for 20 yds to the ILST 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.16

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 43 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Matt Lawson run for no gain to the NDSU 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.37

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Xavier Loyd for 25 yds to the NDSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 3 yds to the NDSU 3

2nd & 3Penalty+1 yds

RUBLEY, Jake pass short to the left incomplete intended for SOBKOWICZ, Daniel thrown to the NDSU0. PENALTY NDSU Pass Interference on SHEPPARD, Marcus enforced at the spot of the foul for 1 yards to the NDSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Barika Kpeenu run for 8 yds to the NDSU 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the NDSU 36 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

TK Marshall run for no gain to the NDSU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Cam Miller pass complete to Truman Werremeyer for 13 yds to the NDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -3.08

Cam Miller run for 12 yds to the ILST 39 Cam Miller fumbled, recovered by ILST Paul Omodia P. Omodia return for 0 yds

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Personal Foul (Keondre Jackson) to the ILST 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Wenkers Wright run for 1 yd to the ILST 25

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Wenkers Wright run for 3 yds to the ILST 28

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.44

Tommy Rittenhouse sacked by Dylan Hendricks for a loss of 5 yards to the ILST 23

4th & 11Punt-2 yds

Hayden Futch punt for 45 yds , Jackson Williams returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NDSU 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Keondre Jackson) to the ILST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 7 yds to the ILST 32

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Eli Ozick 50 yd FG MISSED

0th & 3End of Half-36 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Ian Wagner kickoff for 39 yds , Finn Diggins return for 5 yds to the NDSU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 15 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Barika Kpeenu run for 6 yds to the ILST 48

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the ILST 46

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the ILST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the ILST 39

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Bryce Lance run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 40

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.81

Cam Miller pass complete to Barika Kpeenu for 40 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 4 yds to the ILST 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

RITTENHOUSE, Tommy pass to the right complete for 22 yards to SOBKOWICZ, Daniel caught at the ILS42 and advanced to the NDSU49 (DUFFIE, Jailen). PENALTY ILS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GUDAITIS, Ryan enforced 5 yards from the ILS29 to the ILS24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.22

Jake Rubley sacked by Loshiaka Roques for a loss of 9 yards to the ILST 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Hayden Futch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the ILST 49

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the ILST 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 5 yds to the ILST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.53

Cam Miller pass complete to CharMar Brown for 17 yds to the ILST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

CharMar Brown run for 9 yds to the ILST 14

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.03

CharMar Brown run for 14 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Xavier Loyd for 14 yds to the ILST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Wenkers Wright run for 1 yd to the ILST 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Wenkers Wright for 6 yds to the ILST 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 2 yds to the ILST 48

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Wenkers Wright run for no gain to the ILST 48

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Cam Miller run for 7 yds to the ILST 41

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.46

CharMar Brown run for 18 yds to the ILST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 14 yds to the ILST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Barika Kpeenu run for 9 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Josh Robinson run for 1 yd to the ILST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 6 yds to the ILST 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Xavier Loyd for 13 yds to the ILST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Eddie Kasper pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.94

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 11 yds to the NDSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.49

Tommy Rittenhouse sacked by Eli Mostaert for a loss of 7 yards to the ILST 49

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Josh Robinson for 5 yds to the NDSU 46

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hayden Futch punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the NDSU 7

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

CharMar Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 6

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.33

Cole Payton pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 21 yds to the NDSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.93

Cole Payton run for 73 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt Lawson run for 4 yds to the ILST 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Jake Rubley pass complete to Rylan Crawford for 11 yds to the ILST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jake Rubley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Matt Lawson run for 2 yds to the ILST 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.43

Jake Rubley pass complete to Scotty Presson Jr. for 24 yds to the NDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Jake Rubley pass complete to Seth Glatz for 10 yds to the NDSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Seth Glatz run for 4 yds to the NDSU 20

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Seth Glatz run for 2 yds to the NDSU 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Jake Rubley pass complete to Scotty Presson Jr. for 5 yds to the NDSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh Robinson run for no gain to the NDSU 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Jake Rubley pass complete to Max Ziebarth for 7 yds to the NDSU 6

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

RUBLEY, Jake pass short to the right incomplete thrown to the NDSU5; QB hurried by ANENE, Toby. PENALTY Before the snap, ILS Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the NDSU6 to the NDSU11. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Illinois State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jake Rubley) to the NDSU 21

4th & 18Field Goal Good+38 yds

Ian Wagner 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cole Payton run for 7 yds to the NDSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the NDSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

TK Marshall run for 7 yds to the NDSU 42

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Peder Haugo run for 11 yds to the ILST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Peder Haugo run for 3 yds to the ILST 44

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

TK Marshall run for 12 yds to the ILST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Peder Haugo run for 2 yds to the ILST 30

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Peder Haugo run for no gain to the ILST 30

3rd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.73

Peder Haugo run for 23 yds to the ILST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Kneel down by PAYTON, Cole at ILS9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
33 plays
2nd
71%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
16%
19 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play