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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 26.5

Home Win Probability

Portland State 6%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Portland State +21.5

Edge: Montana State -21.5 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana State
7286344
Portland State
0001414

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-210-280-380-417-417-4414-44
Portland StateMontana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSTD875ydDOWNS1156ydDOWNS843ydPUNT424ydTD693ydPUNT3-1ydTD465ydPUNT21ydTD549ydPUNT616ydTD474ydEND1-1ydTO513ydFG1159ydPUNT39ydFG1165ydTD975ydFG1252ydTD1175ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana State and Portland State
StatisticMontana StatePortland State
Passing19-2814-22
Pass Yards28486
Rush Yards323149
Total Yards607235
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-105-12
Penalties10-1146-57
Possession34:0625:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
15/20, 239 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Scottre Humphrey
14 CAR, 160 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Taco Dowler
3 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
Portland State
passing
Dante Chachere
11/18, 64 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Delon Thompson
12 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Branden Alvarez
4 REC, 23 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the MTST 29

2nd & 6Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.18

Scottre Humphrey run for 35 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Jared White run for 9 yds to the PRST 27

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Jared White run for 3 yds to the PRST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Unterrio Latin-Henley for 8 yds to the PRST 16

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Unterrio Latin-Henley for 12 yds to the PRST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.92

Tommy Mellott run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Scottre Humphrey run for 7 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 65 yds , Christian Grubb return for 11 yds to the PRST 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 2 yds to the PRST 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(09:31) CHACHERE, Dante pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CRAIG, Quincy thrown to the PSU30; QB hurried by ORTT, Rylan, clock 09:24. PENALTY MSU Personal Foul on SOLANO, Dominic enforced 15 yards from the PSU13 to the PSU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Christian Grubb run for 13 yds to the PRST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jalynnee McGee run for 1 yd to the PRST 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Dante Chachere pass complete to Eric Denham for 7 yds to the PRST 49

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Dante Chachere run for 5 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Dante Chachere pass complete to Tanner Beaman for 10 yds to the MTST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Delon Thompson run for 1 yd to the MTST 35

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Portland State Penalty, False Start (Tanner Beaman) to the MTST 40

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Quincy Craig run for 3 yds to the MTST 37

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dante Chachere pass complete to Tanner Beaman for 4 yds to the MTST 33

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.94

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 9 yds to the MTST 42

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Scottre Humphrey run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:43) QB Keeper MELLOTT, Tommy rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the PSU39, out of bounds, clock 02:37. PENALTY MSU Holding on MOORE, Conner enforced 10 yards from the MSU50 to the MSU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Scottre Humphrey run for 5 yds to the MTST 45

2nd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.18

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Hunter Provience for 24 yds to the PRST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the PRST 28

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

(00:33) MELLOTT, Tommy pass short to the right complete for 28 yards to LONERGAN, Ryan caught at the PSU25 and advanced to the PSU0, TOUCHDOWN MSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 00:25 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on DOWLER, Taco enforced 15 yards to the PSU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Scottre Humphrey run for 8 yds to the PRST 35

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Lonyatta Alexander Jr. for 12 yds to the PRST 23

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.37

Scottre Humphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 24

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.78

Delon Thompson run for 20 yds to the PRST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Delon Thompson run for 4 yds to the PRST 48

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dante Chachere run for no gain to the PRST 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+23 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 38 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 23 yds to the MTST 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Scottre Humphrey run for 9 yds to the MTST 16

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.26

Scottre Humphrey run for 12 yds to the MTST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds to the MTST 34

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.00

Tommy Mellott run for 9 yds to the MTST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 57 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Quincy Craig run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 2 yds to the PRST 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 41 yds , Taco Dowler returns for no gain to the MTST 35

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +2.68

Scottre Humphrey run for 50 yds to the PRST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 2 yds to the PRST 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+7 yds

Portland State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bryson Ross) to the PRST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dante Chachere pass complete to Delon Thompson for 9 yds to the PRST 34

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

(05:34) CHACHERE, Dante pass to the right complete for -1 yard to ALVAREZ, Branden caught at the PSU30 and advanced to the PSU33 (JACKSON, Miles), clock 05:26. PENALTY Before the snap, PSU False Start on BEAMAN, Tanner enforced 5 yards from the end of the play at the PSU33 to the PSU28. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dante Chachere sacked by Neil Daily for a loss of 2 yards to the PRST 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the PRST 49

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Tommy Mellott run for 13 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Scottre Humphrey run for 8 yds to the PRST 28

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Jared White run for 4 yds to the PRST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Jared White for 24 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Delon Thompson run for 4 yds to the PRST 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Delon Thompson run for 1 yd to the PRST 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 8 yds to the PRST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dante Chachere run for 2 yds to the PRST 40

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Dante Chachere run for no gain to the PRST 40

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Dante Chachere run for 1 yd to the PRST 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MTST 26

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Tommy Mellott run for 15 yds to the MTST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 5 yds to the MTST 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan King for 6 yds to the PRST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 48 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(00:21) [NHSG] Kneel down by CHACHERE, Dante at PSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:16.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 8 yds to the PRST 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Quincy Craig run for 1 yd to the PRST 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Dante Chachere pass complete to Tanner Beaman for 4 yds to the PRST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -0.96

Dante Chachere pass intercepted Miles Jackson return for a loss of 2 yards to the MTST 30

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.28

Jared White run for 26 yds to the PRST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.61

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 13 yds to the PRST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Jared White run for 9 yds to the PRST 22

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

(11:07) WHITE, Jared rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU24 (DACOSTA, Jaden), clock 11:02. PENALTY MSU Holding on JONES, Rohan enforced 10 yards from the PSU22 to the PSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 8 yds to the PRST 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 5 yds to the PRST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jared White run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 20

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ty McCullouch run for 3 yds to the PRST 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan King for 6 yds to the PRST 11

4th & 2Field Goal Good+28 yds

Myles Sansted 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Dante Chachere run for a loss of 2 yards to the PRST 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 11 yds to the PRST 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MTST 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Colson Coon run for 9 yds to the MTST 37

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Colson Coon run for 9 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chance Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.76

Chance Wilson pass complete to Rylan Schlepp for 37 yds to the PRST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Chance Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Chance Wilson run for 7 yds to the PRST 10

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Colson Coon run for 4 yds to the PRST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Wilson pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 3 yds to the PRST 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

(02:01) WILSON, Chance pass to the right complete for 3 yards to PROVIENCE, Hunter caught at the PSU3 and advanced to the PSU0, TOUCHDOWN MSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:57 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ROLLINS, Dylan enforced 5 yards from the PSU3 to the PSU8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chance Wilson pass complete to Colson Coon for 4 yds to the PRST 4

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Colson Coon run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Myles Sansted 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

William Haskell pass complete to Quincy Craig for 4 yds to the PRST 29

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

(14:59) HASKELL, Will pass up the middle incomplete intended for DENHAM, Eric thrown to the PSU37, clock 14:57. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on KRAHE, Ryan enforced 15 yards to the PSU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.50

Delon Thompson run for 24 yds to the MTST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Delon Thompson run for no gain to the MTST 32

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Portland State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MTST 37

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Delon Thompson run for 6 yds to the MTST 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

William Haskell pass complete to Eric Denham for 13 yds to the MTST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Portland State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Eric Denham) to the MTST 33

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Montana State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Dominic Solano) to the MTST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+4 yds

Montana State Penalty, Personal Foul (Talon Marsh) to the MTST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Delon Thompson run for 9 yds for a TD (Mathias Uribe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Mathias Uribe kickoff for 65 yds , Unterrio Latin-Henley return for 21 yds to the MTST 21

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Colson Coon run for 14 yds to the MTST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Colson Coon run for 7 yds to the MTST 42

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Colson Coon run for 5 yds to the MTST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Unterrio Latin-Henley run for 5 yds to the PRST 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Chance Wilson pass complete to Unterrio Latin-Henley for 1 yd to the PRST 47

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.74

Unterrio Latin-Henley run for 7 yds to the PRST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Colson Coon run for 7 yds to the PRST 33

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Colson Coon run for 5 yds to the PRST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chance Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Unterrio Latin-Henley run for 1 yd to the PRST 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chance Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+45 yds

Myles Sansted 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Delon Thompson run for 5 yds to the PRST 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Delon Thompson run for 1 yd to the PRST 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

William Haskell pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 5 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

William Haskell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Jalynnee McGee run for 7 yds to the PRST 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Jalynnee McGee run for 2 yds to the PRST 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.15

Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 2 yds to the PRST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Christian Grubb run for 1 yd to the PRST 48

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.00

Quincy Craig run for 16 yds to the MTST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Quincy Craig run for 12 yds to the MTST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

(00:42) HASKELL, Will pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for LYNCH, Jaylen thrown to the MSU5, clock 00:39. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on HARMON, Jackson enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the MSU12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

William Haskell run for 12 yds for a TD (Mathias Uribe KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(00:31) [NH] Kneel down by WILSON, Chance at MSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:22.

Situational Analysis

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
66%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
63%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Portland State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play