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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UC Davis by 14.7

Home Win Probability

Portland State 17%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Portland State +10.5

Edge: UC Davis -10.5 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UC Davis
01401327
Portland State
7133326

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-1420-1423-1423-21
Portland StateUC Davis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSUDPSUDPSUDPSUDPSUDPSUDUDPSUDPSUDPSUDPSPUNT725ydPUNT3-4ydTO11ydPUNT612ydTD980ydDOWNS1359ydTD1080ydTD378ydPUNT39ydTD861ydTD475ydUncategorized974ydPUNT532ydFG817ydTO220ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT849ydPUNT39ydTD1061ydUncategorized866yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UC Davis and Portland State
StatisticUC DavisPortland State
Passing26-3816-21
Pass Yards294250
Rush Yards143111
Total Yards437361
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-134-10
Penalties5-314-45
Possession18:2425:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UC Davis
passing
Miles Hastings
26/37, 294 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Lan Larison
20 CAR, 117 YDS
receiving
C.J. Hutton
6 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Portland State
passing
Dante Chachere
16/21, 250 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Delon Thompson
10 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Jaylen Lynch
3 REC, 89 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Quincy Craig run for 1 yd to the PRST 25

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Delon Thompson run for 13 yds to the PRST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 11 yds to the PRST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalynnee McGee run for 4 yds to the UCD 47

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Quincy Craig run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Dante Chachere pass complete to Delon Thompson for 3 yds to the UCD 46

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Portland State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PRST 49

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 30 yds , Matteo Perez returns for 1 yd to the UCD 22

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.03

Miles Hastings sacked by Elijah Eason for a loss of 9 yards to the UCD 13

2nd & 19Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Lan Larison run for 10 yds to the UCD 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

UC Davis Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCD 18

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 34 yds to PSU48, fair catch by Jordan Herron

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.99

Dante Chachere run for 1 yd to the PRST 49 Dante Chachere fumbled, recovered by UCD Luka Sarac L. Sarac return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the PRST 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the PRST 41

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Lan Larison run for 4 yds to the PRST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Delon Thompson run for 5 yds to the PRST 25

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Dante Chachere run for 10 yds to the PRST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Quincy Craig run for 1 yd to the PRST 36

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

CHACHERE, Dante pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to ALVAREZ, Branden caught at the PSU41 and advanced to the PSU41, out of bounds. PENALTY PSU Holding on SPENCE, Elias enforced 10 yards from the PSU36 to the PSU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 7 yds to the PRST 33

3rd & 12Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.23

Dante Chachere pass complete to Jaylen Lynch for 38 yds to the UCD 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Quincy Craig run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 31

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.01

Delon Thompson run for 13 yds to the UCD 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.70

Eric Denham run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCD 22

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.29

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 22 yds for a TD (Mathias Uribe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 6 yds to the UCD 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.51

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 5 yds to the UCD 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 6 yds to the UCD 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 7 yds to the UCD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 9 yds to the PRST 48

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.63

Lan Larison run for 7 yds to the PRST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 7 yds to the PRST 34

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.01

Miles Hastings run for 5 yds to the PRST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Matteo Perez run for 5 yds to the PRST 24

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Miles Hastings run for 3 yds to the PRST 21

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.50

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the PRST 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalynnee McGee run for 3 yds to the PRST 23

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Dante Chachere run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.93

Dante Chachere pass complete to Eric Denham for 25 yds to the PRST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Dante Chachere run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.31

Dante Chachere pass complete to Delon Thompson for 13 yds to the UCD 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dante Chachere run for no gain to the UCD 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.50

Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 14 yds to the UCD 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Quincy Craig run for 5 yds to the UCD 24

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dante Chachere run for no gain to the UCD 24

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.27

Dante Chachere pass complete to Quincy Craig for 24 yds for a TD (Mathias Uribe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.51

Lan Larison run for 50 yds to the PRST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 11 yds to the PRST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 17 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quincy Craig run for no gain to the PRST 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Delon Thompson run for 4 yds to the PRST 29

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dante Chachere run for 5 yds to the PRST 34

4th & 1Punt+14 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 41 yds , Matteo Perez returns for 14 yds to the UCD 39

4th & 1Punt+14 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 41 yds , Matteo Perez returns for 14 yds to the UCD 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the UCD 41

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Lan Larison run for 6 yds to the UCD 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.57

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 6 yds to the PRST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.91

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 22 yds to the PRST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.49

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 23 yds to the PRST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Matteo Perez run for 1 yd to the PRST 1

2nd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Lan Larison run for a loss of 5 yards to the PRST 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.29

Dante Chachere pass complete to Jaylen Lynch for 46 yds to the UCD 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.44

Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 24 yds to the UCD 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 5 yds for a TD (Mathias Uribe PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 16 yds to the UCD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 5 yds to the UCD 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the UCD 49

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.66

Lan Larison run for 7 yds to the PRST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 4 yds to the PRST 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 8 yds to the PRST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.93

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 31 yds to the PRST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

HASTINGS, Miles pass short up the middle complete for 1 yard to WILLIAMS, Winston caught at the PSU0 and advanced to the PSU0, TOUCHDOWN UCD, score nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UCD Illegal Touch-Pass on WILLIAMS, Winston enforced 0 yards from the PSU1 to the PSU1, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the UCD 11

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.14

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 19 yds to the UCD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 6 yds to the UCD 36

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the UCD 38

4th & 2Punt+40 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 41 yds , Jordan Herron returns for 40 yds to the UCD 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 9 yds to the UCD 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.37

Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for a loss of 3 yards to the UCD 33

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Dante Chachere run for 3 yds to the UCD 30

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Delon Thompson run for 2 yds to the UCD 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Delon Thompson run for 6 yds to the UCD 22

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 yds

Mathias Uribe 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 24 yds to the UCD 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Miles Hastings sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UCD 45 Miles Hastings fumbled, recovered by PRST Jayden House , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Jalynnee McGee run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 46

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Delon Thompson run for 1 yd to the UCD 45

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Dante Chachere sacked by David Meyer and Rex Connors for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Matteo Perez at the UCD 10

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.19

Matteo Perez run for 21 yds to the UCD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HASTINGS, Miles pass deep up the middle incomplete dropped by GALE, Josh thrown to the PSU46. PENALTY Before the snap, UCD Illegal Formation on DAVIS, Chaz enforced 5 yards from the UCD31 to the UCD26. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Lan Larison run for 6 yds to the UCD 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 9 yds to the UCD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Matteo Perez run for 1 yd to the UCD 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Portland State Penalty, Personal Foul (Zach Wusstig) to the PRST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Lan Larison run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 46

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 5 yds to the PRST 41

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jordan Herron at the PRST 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Delon Thompson run for 1 yd to the PRST 7

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Dante Chachere run for 8 yds to the PRST 15

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Quincy Craig run for no gain to the PRST 15

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

Tony Johnson punt for 48 yds , Matteo Perez returns for 2 yds to the UCD 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Lan Larison run for 7 yds to the UCD 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.60

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.28

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 35 yds to the PRST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the PRST 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the PRST 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 5 yds to the PRST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the PRST 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Miles Hastings run for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.28

Delon Thompson run for 19 yds to the PRST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dante Chachere pass complete to Jaylen Lynch for 5 yds to the PRST 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Dante Chachere pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 7 yds to the PRST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Christian Grubb run for 2 yds to the PRST 48

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Delon Thompson run for 4 yds to the UCD 48

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Dante Chachere run for 10 yds to the UCD 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UC Davis Penalty, Personal Foul (Rex Connors) to the UCD 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalynnee McGee run for 4 yds to the UCD 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dante Chachere pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

UC Davis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
57%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Portland State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play