Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Houston Christian by 26.9

Home Win Probability

Houston Christian 93%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Houston Christian -17.5

Edge: Houston Christian -17.5 (9.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northwestern State
0143724
Houston Christian
17735362

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567017-724-1459-1759-24
Houston ChristianNorthwestern State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSHCNSHCNSHCNSNSHCHCNSHCNSHCNSHCNSHCHCNSHCNSNSHCNSHCNSHCNSHCNSHCNSTO49ydFG637ydPUNT3-1ydTD871ydPUNT3-5ydTD845ydTD590ydPUNT32ydTD275ydUncategorized3-3ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT34ydTD851ydTO448ydPUNT73ydMISS633ydTO10ydTD479ydTD315ydPUNT32ydTD441ydFG59ydPUNT32ydDOWNS732ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-1ydTD343ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS45ydTD656ydFG1565ydUncategorized31yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern State and Houston Christian
StatisticNorthwestern StateHouston Christian
Passing12-3217-25
Pass Yards185296
Rush Yards26321
Total Yards211617
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-187-16
Penalties6-469-82
Possession27:2432:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern State
passing
JT Fayard
11/19, 182 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jeremiah James
6 CAR, 39 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Myles Kitt-Denton
2 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
Houston Christian
passing
Cutter Stewart
17/25, 296 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Calvin Hill
20 CAR, 109 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
AJ Wilson
3 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the NWST 38

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Zay Davis run for 2 yds to the NWST 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

JT Fayard pass complete to Zay Davis for 6 yds to the NWST 46

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.82

Chance Newman run for a loss of 3 yards to the NWST 43 Chance Newman fumbled, recovered by NWST Chance Newman

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Cutter Stewart run for 9 yds to the NWST 34

2nd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA -0.08

Champ Dozier run for 12 yds to the NWST 22 Northwestern State Penalty, personal foul (Chancellor Owens) to the NWST 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Champ Dozier for 2 yds to the NWST 9

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds to the NWST 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Dillon Fedor 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kennieth Lacy run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Matt Gower

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

JT Fayard pass incomplete to Amaaz Eugene, broken up by Braden Hay

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 45 yds , Jesse Valenzuela returns for no gain to the HCU 29 Jesse Valenzuela fumbled, recovered by HCU Yasir Aladeen , return for no gain to the HCU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Champ Dozier for 4 yds to the HCU 33

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Champ Dozier run for 2 yds to the HCU 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.48

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Champ Dozier for 14 yds to the HCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Champ Dozier run for 2 yds to the NWST 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 11 yds to the NWST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 13 yds to the NWST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the NWST 27

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, false start (AJ Wilson) to the NWST 32

2nd & 17Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.14

AJ Wilson 32 Yd pass from Cutter Stewart (Dillon Fedor Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern State Penalty, false start (Chris Allen) to the NWST 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kareame Cotton Jr. run for 4 yds to the NWST 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kareame Cotton Jr. run for no gain to the NWST 24

3rd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.19

Kareame Cotton Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the NWST 20

4th & 15Punt+11 yds

Scotty Roblow punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NWST 45 , Jesse Valenzuela returns for 11 yds to the NWST 45

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.88

Calvin Hill run for 27 yds to the NWST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Calvin Hill run for 2 yds to the NWST 16

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the NWST 13

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the NWST 10

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.84

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the NWST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the NWST 9

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Darryle Evans run for 7 yds to the NWST 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Calvin Hill 2 Yd Run (Dillon Fedor Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.11

JT Fayard pass complete to Kennieth Lacy for a loss of 5 yards to the NWST 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

JT Fayard pass incomplete to Twon Hines, broken up by Braden Hay

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern State Penalty, false start (Chance Newman) to the NWST 5

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 6

3rd & 14Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.08

JT Fayard pass complete to Twon Hines for 39 yds to the NWST 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +6.39

JT Fayard pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 60 yds for a TD (Reed Honshtein KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kareame Cotton Jr. run for no gain to the NWST 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to John Barr

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

JT Fayard pass complete to Zay Davis for 2 yds to the NWST 36

4th & 8Punt+60 yds

Scotty Roblow punt for 55 yds Houston Christian Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Darryle Evans) to the HCU 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Calvin Wiggins for 28 yds to the NWST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Darryle Evans 47 Yd Run (Dillon Fedor Kick)

2nd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.26

Cutter Stewart sacked by Chancellor Owens for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 5

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Cutter Stewart run for no gain to the HCU 5

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 38 yds , Ke'Nard King returns for no gain to the HCU 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds to the HCU 7

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Kennieth Lacy run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 45

2nd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.40

JT Fayard sacked by Sincere Littles for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 47

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Myles Kitt-Denton

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Jesse Valenzuela run for 7 yds to the HCU 21

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Adrian Green for 4 yds to the HCU 23

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, false start (Jesse Valenzuela) to the HCU 18

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 33 yds

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.25

JT Fayard pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for 30 yds to the HCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

JT Fayard pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for 5 yds to the HCU 15

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

JT Fayard pass complete to Twon Hines for 11 yds to the HCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Zay Davis run for 2 yds to the HCU 2

2nd & 2Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.94

Chance Newman run for a loss of 7 yards to the HCU 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Zay Davis 9 Yd pass from JT Fayard (Reed Honshtein Kick)

0th & 10End of Half-42 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Champ Dozier run for 6 yds to the HCU 31 Houston Christian Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Trent Savage) to the HCU 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.41

Cutter Stewart pass complete to AJ Wilson for 52 yds to the NWST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Champ Dozier run for 5 yds to the NWST 27

2nd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -4.21

Cutter Stewart pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.83

JT Fayard pass complete to Dane Wallace for no gain to the NWST 20 Northwestern State Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the NWST 15

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.50

JT Fayard pass complete to Dane Wallace for 9 yds to the NWST 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Chance Newman

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.23

JT Fayard pass complete to Ke'Nard King for 16 yds to the NWST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

pass incomplete to Ke'Nard King

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.28

JT Fayard sacked by Zae Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the NWST 33

3rd & 17Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.23

JT Fayard sacked by Joe Cadette for a loss of 10 yards to the NWST 23

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Scotty Roblow punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Champ Dozier for 14 yds to the NWST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cutter Stewart run for 6 yds to the NWST 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Adrian Green for 3 yds to the NWST 39

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Cutter Stewart run for 10 yds to the NWST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Champ Dozier

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Dillon Fedor 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

JT Fayard pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Calvin Hill run for 15 yds to the HCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Calvin Hill run for 10 yds to the HCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.48

Cutter Stewart pass complete to AJ Wilson for 39 yds for a 1ST down Houston Christian Penalty, Offensive holding (Drake Martinez) to the NWST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Calvin Hill run for 25 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the NWST 14

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the NWST 11

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.91

Deuce McMillan 11 Yd pass from Cutter Stewart (Dillon Fedor Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zay Davis run for 2 yds to the NWST 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Caesar Magee III pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+26 yds

Scotty Roblow punt for 40 yds , Jesse Valenzuela returns for 26 yds to the NWST 41

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Champ Dozier run for 17 yds to the NWST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Champ Dozier run for 21 yds to the NWST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Champ Dozier run for no gain to the NWST 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Champ Dozier 3 Yd Run (Dillon Fedor Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Quaterius Hawkins pass incomplete to Twon Hines for a 1ST down Houston Christian Penalty, Defensive holding (Khary Crump) to the HCU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 2 yds to the HCU 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Quaterius Hawkins pass incomplete to Chance Newman, broken up by Zayteak McGhee

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Joseph Moreland

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Reed Honshtein 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the NWST 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

pass incomplete to Kody Finley

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Quaterius Hawkins pass incomplete to Amaaz Eugene, broken up by Darius Bean

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Scotty Roblow punt for 41 yds , Semaj Brown returns for no gain to the HCU 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Darryle Evans run for 1 yd to the HCU 33

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.40

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 22 yds to the NWST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Darryle Evans run for 2 yds to the NWST 43 Houston Christian Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Keshawn Reed) to the NWST 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins, broken up by Blake Gotcher

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cutter Stewart run for 3 yds to the NWST 40

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.51

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Champ Dozier for 4 yds to the NWST 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Amaaz Eugene

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Quaterius Hawkins run for 1 yd to the NWST 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 3 yds to the NWST 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Scotty Roblow punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller, broken up by William White

4th & 11Punt+4 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 45 yds , Twon Hines returns for 4 yds to the NWST 28 Northwestern State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (William White) to the NWST 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Quaterius Hawkins pass incomplete to Myles Kitt-Denton, broken up by Devion Hargrove

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Zay Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

pass incomplete to Chance Newman

4th & 11Punt+9 yds

Scotty Roblow punt for 33 yds , Jesse Valenzuela returns for 9 yds to the NWST 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Darryle Evans run for no gain to the NWST 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Drake Martinez for 7 yds to the NWST 36

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.78

Ismael Fuller 36 Yd pass from Cutter Stewart (Dillon Fedor Kick)

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kareame Cotton Jr. run for no gain to the NWST 15

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern State Penalty, false start (Caleb Billiot) to the NWST 15

2nd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the NWST 12

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

pass incomplete to Jeremiah Keppard

4th & 18Punt+8 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 45 yds , Jesse Valenzuela returns for 8 yds to the NWST 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the NWST 49

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the NWST 46

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Calvin Hill run for 2 yds to the NWST 44

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins, broken up by Antonio Hall

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jeremiah James run for 3 yds to the NWST 47

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 4 yds to the HCU 49

3rd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.18

Kareame Cotton Jr. run for 5 yds to the HCU 44 Houston Christian Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Khary Crump) to the HCU 29

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.74

Jeremiah James run for 23 yds to the HCU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kareame Cotton Jr. pass incomplete to Joseph Moreland, broken up by Devion Hargrove

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Jeremiah James 6 Yd Run (Reed Honshtein Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the HCU 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Calvin Hill run for 5 yds to the HCU 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the HCU 34

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Calvin Hill run for 5 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nakia Holmes run for no gain to the HCU 39

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Nakia Holmes run for 10 yds to the HCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nakia Holmes run for 5 yds to the NWST 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nakia Holmes run for 4 yds to the NWST 42

3rd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Nakia Holmes run for 16 yds to the NWST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Nakia Holmes run for 3 yds to the NWST 23

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Nakia Holmes run for 7 yds to the NWST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Nakia Holmes run for 7 yds to the NWST 9

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Nakia Holmes run for 1 yd to the NWST 8

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Nakia Holmes run for a loss of 2 yards to the NWST 10

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Dillon Fedor 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jeremiah James run for no gain to the NWST 6

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Jeremiah James run for 1 yd to the NWST 7

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Jeremiah James run for 6 yds to the NWST 7

Situational Analysis

Northwestern State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
17%
18 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
10 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
14%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
49%
35 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
46%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays