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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nicholls by 33.6

Home Win Probability

Nicholls 96%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Nicholls -30

Edge: Nicholls -30 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northwestern State
00000
Nicholls
7103020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-017-020-0
NichollsNorthwestern State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSNICNSNICNSNICNICNSNSNICNSNICNICNSNICNSNICNSNICNSNICNSNICPUNT3-10ydPUNT4-5ydPUNT62ydTD1273ydPUNT3-6ydTD750ydEND10ydTO10ydPUNT4-11ydPUNT41ydPUNT730ydDOWNS851ydFG731ydPUNT31ydPUNT938ydPUNT3-5ydFG823ydPUNT825ydPUNT636ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydPUNT4-14ydUncategorized1687yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern State and Nicholls
StatisticNorthwestern StateNicholls
Passing7-1518-32
Pass Yards31186
Rush Yards15207
Total Yards46393
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-136-16
Penalties6-758-79
Possession23:3536:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern State
passing
rushing
Reed Honshtein
1 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
Ty Moore
1 REC, 15 YDS
Nicholls
passing
Pat McQuaide
18/32, 186 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Collin Guggenheim
23 CAR, 129 YDS
receiving
Lee Negrotto
3 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Johnny Mitchell run for 2 yds to the NWST 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Abram Johnston pass complete to Ray Mckneely-Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the NWST 20

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.15

Abram Johnston sacked by Jake Dalmado for a loss of 8 yards to the NWST 12

4th & 20Punt+58 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 43 yds Nicholls Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NICH 30

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Miequle Brock run for a loss of 1 yard to the NICH 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Scrappy Osby, broken up by Antonio Hall

3rd & 11Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -0.31

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Scrappy Osby for no gain to the NICH 29 Nicholls Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NICH 19

3rd & 21Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Miequle Brock run for 6 yds to the NICH 25

4th & 15Punt+10 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 49 yds , Twon Hines returns for 10 yds to the NWST 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kennieth Lacy run for 5 yds to the NWST 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zay Davis run for 4 yds to the NWST 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Johnny Mitchell run for 1 yd to the NWST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Abram Johnston pass incomplete to Joseph Moreland, broken up by Eli Ennis

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Zay Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 45

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.83

Abram Johnston sacked by Eli Ennis for a loss of 7 yards to the NWST 38

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Miequle Brock for a loss of 2 yards to the NICH 25

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Collin Guggenheim run for 7 yds to the NICH 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +2.09

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Terry Matthews for a 1ST down Northwestern State Penalty, Defensive holding (Antonio Hall) to the NICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 3 yds to the NICH 45

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Miequle Brock run for 6 yds to the NWST 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NWST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.82

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Scrappy Osby for 18 yds to the NWST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the NWST 24

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NWST 21

3rd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.20

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Miequle Brock for 17 yds to the NWST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Guggenheim,Collin rush middle (Reed,Ke'Shawn;Magee III,Caesar).

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Miequle Brock 4 Yd pass from Pat McQuaide (Gabe Showalter Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kareame Cotton Jr. run for 4 yds to the NWST 29

2nd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.12

Abram Johnston sacked by Jake Dalmado for a loss of 10 yards to the NWST 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

pass incomplete to Myles Kitt-Denton

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 31 yds , Tyler Morton returns for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Collin Guggenheim run for 6 yds to the NWST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Scrappy Osby for 8 yds to the NWST 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Terry Matthews for a 1ST down Northwestern State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Scotty Roblow) to the NWST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Terry Matthews run for 4 yds to the NWST 17 Nicholls Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NWST 27

1st & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Scrappy Osby for 4 yds to the NWST 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Scrappy Osby, broken up by Blake Gotcher

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.80

Lee Negrotto 23 Yd pass from Pat McQuaide (Gabe Showalter Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NWST 35

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -1.22

Abram Johnston pass complete to Ty Moore for 15 yds Abram Johnston fumbled, recovered by NICH Jake Dalmado

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Davis,Zay rush (Sullivan Jr.,Laurence), PENALTY NSU holding 10 yards to the NSU35. Northwestern State Penalty, Offensive holding (Scotty Roblow) to the NWST 15

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.03

Zay Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 48 yds , Tyler Morton returns for no gain to the NICH 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brock,Miequle rush left (Gotcher,Blake;Jenkins,Hayden).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -0.69

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Yarun Mcmath Nicholls Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NICH 25

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Miequle Brock run for 4 yds to the NICH 29

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Pat McQuaide run for 2 yds to the NICH 31

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 44 yds , Twon Hines returns for 2 yds to the NWST 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hawkins,Quaterius rush middle (Davis,Dillion;Ennis,Eli).

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Quaterius Hawkins run for 2 yds to the NWST 29

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Johnston,Abram rush middle (Dalmado,Jake).

4th & 8Rush+36 ydsPPA +4.24

Reed Honshtein run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line Nicholls Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NICH 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 1 yd to the NICH 34

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Mckneely-Harris,Ray rush middle (Ennis,Eli).

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.44

Abram Johnston sacked by Jake Dalmado for a loss of 9 yards to the NICH 43

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 22 yds to the NICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Miequle Brock for 4 yds to the NICH 46

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Miequle Brock run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.84

Collin Guggenheim run for 13 yds to the NWST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Camare Hampton

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Collin Guggenheim run for 8 yds to the NWST 29

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Miequle Brock

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.93

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Camare Hampton, broken up by Troy Santa Marina Jr. Nicholls Penalty, illegal formation (Yards) to the NWST 29

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Collin Guggenheim run for 11 yds to the NWST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NWST 30

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Pat McQuaide run for 17 yds to the NWST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Terry Matthews, broken up by Caesar Magee III

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Danye Brooks, broken up by Antonio Hall

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Danye Brooks, broken up by Caesar Magee III

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Gabe Showalter 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Gabe Showalter kickoff for 57 yds , Ke'Nard King return for 23 yds to the NWST 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Abram Johnston pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 1 yd to the NWST 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Abram Johnston pass incomplete to Myles Kitt-Denton, broken up by Laurence Sullivan Jr.

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

pass incomplete to Ke'Nard King

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 46 yds , Tyler Morton returns for no gain to the NICH 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the NICH 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Collin Guggenheim

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +1.63

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Miequle Brock, broken up by Ara Rauls III for a 1ST down Northwestern State Penalty, Defensive holding (Cam George) to the NICH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brock,Miequle rush right (Huddleston,Landry).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 12 yds to the NICH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 13 yds to the NWST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NWST 40

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Nicholls Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NWST 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Miequle Brock for 4 yds to the NWST 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for no gain to the NWST 41

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Reed Honshtein kickoff for 63 yds , Miequle Brock return for 19 yds to the NICH 21

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Ke'Nard King for 3 yds to the NWST 23

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Davis,Zay rush middle (Villavaso,Alex;Bernard,Zack).

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.32

Quaterius Hawkins sacked by Ethan Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the NWST 15

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Terry Matthews, broken up by Jeremiah Keppard

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.79

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Scrappy Osby for 21 yds to the NWST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Corey Warren Jr. run for 14 yds to the NWST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Corey Warren Jr. run for 3 yds to the NWST 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -2.10

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Scrappy Osby Nicholls Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-15 Yards) to the NWST 22

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

pass incomplete to Scrappy Osby

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Danye Brooks

4th & 22Field Goal Good+39 yds

Gabe Showalter 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kolbe Burrell run for 5 yds to the NWST 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Kolbe Burrell run for 8 yds to the NWST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kolbe Burrell run for 2 yds to the NWST 40

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kolbe Burrell run for 1 yd to the NWST 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Ke'Nard King for 10 yds to the NICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Kolbe Burrell run for 1 yd to the NICH 48

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Kolbe Burrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Quaterius Hawkins pass incomplete to Ray Mckneely-Harris, broken up by Kendarius Smith

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 31 yds

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Collin Guggenheim run for 8 yds to the NICH 27

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Collin Guggenheim run for 10 yds to the NICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Camare Hampton for 21 yds to the NWST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Miequle Brock run for 2 yds to the NWST 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to Yarun Mcmath

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.81

Pat McQuaide sacked by Landry Huddleston for a loss of 5 yards to the NWST 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Quaterius Hawkins run for 4 yds to the NWST 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Zay Davis for 1 yd to the NWST 25

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Quaterius Hawkins run for 4 yds to the NWST 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 67 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NICH 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NICH 9

3rd & 5Penalty-4 yds

Nicholls Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the NICH 5

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the NICH 10

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Quaterius Hawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the NWST 44

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Joseph Moreland

3rd & 14Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -0.69

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for no gain to the NWST 44 Northwestern State Penalty, illegal block (Cam George) to the NWST 29

3rd & 29Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for 5 yds to the NWST 34

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Corey Warren Jr. run for 4 yds to the NICH 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Yarun Mcmath, broken up by Caesar Magee III

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 10 yds to the NICH 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Corey Warren Jr. run for 6 yds to the NICH 32 for a 1ST down Northwestern State Penalty, personal foul (Cam George) to the NICH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Collin Guggenheim run for 8 yds to the NWST 45

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Collin Guggenheim run for 15 yds to the NWST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jayden Milton run for 4 yds to the NWST 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Pat McQuaide pass complete to Yarun Mcmath for 4 yds to the NWST 22

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NWST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.73

Pat McQuaide sacked by Landry Huddleston and Blake Gotcher for a loss of 4 yards to the NWST 23

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Pat McQuaide run for 1 yd to the NWST 22

3rd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Pat McQuaide run for 11 yds to the NWST 11

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.01

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the NWST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the NWST 1

Situational Analysis

Northwestern State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
13%
15 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Nicholls

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
38%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays