Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Texas A&M by 0.7

Home Win Probability

Northwestern State 46%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Northwestern State +11.5

Edge: Northwestern State +11.5 (10.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Texas A&M
14714742
Northwestern State
7001421

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-147-217-287-3514-4221-42
Northwestern StateEast Texas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSNSETANSETANSETANSETANSETANSETAETANSETANSETANSETANSETANSNSETANSETAPUNT426ydTD15ydTD680ydPUNT3-16ydTD1054ydPUNT420ydTO629ydTO627ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-5ydTD890ydMISS660ydEND1-2ydPUNT620ydPUNT37ydTD575ydPUNT39ydPUNT39ydTO320ydTD436ydDOWNS835ydPUNT511ydTD1-3ydTD1087ydPUNT522ydTD692ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Texas A&M and Northwestern State
StatisticEast Texas A&MNorthwestern State
Passing16-2314-22
Pass Yards280301
Rush Yards15929
Total Yards439330
Turnovers23
3rd Down8-134-12
Penalties10-733-20
Possession30:0129:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Texas A&M
passing
Ron Peace
15/21, 275 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Keith Jackson
12 CAR, 62 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Christian Jourdain
3 REC, 59 YDS, 2 TD
Northwestern State
passing
Abram Johnston
14/22, 301 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kennieth Lacy
13 CAR, 43 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Amaaz Eugene
5 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.11

Abram Johnston pass complete to Twon Hines for 40 yds to the TAMC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the TAMC 33

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Kolbe Burrell run for 10 yds to the TAMC 43

3rd & 18Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.98

Abram Johnston sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the TAMC 49

4th & 24Punt+44 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 42 yds

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kennieth Lacy run for 5 yds for a TD (Reed Honshtein KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NSU False Start 5 yards from TAMUC03 to TAMUC08. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Scotty Roblow kickoff for 63 yds , Dayan Bilbo return for 18 yds to the TAMC 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

JaiSean McMillian run for 1 yd to the TAMC 21

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the TAMC 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Ron Peace pass complete to Jordon Hamilton for 11 yds to the TAMC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

BK Jackson run for 2 yds to the TAMC 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.98

Ron Peace pass complete to Sean Sallis for 32 yds to the NWST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Ron Peace pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 30 yds for a TD (Luke Jackson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jonathan Spurlock kickoff for 60 yds , Ke'Nard King return for 18 yds to the NWST 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the NWST 22

2nd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.38

Abram Johnston sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the NWST 17

3rd & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Abram Johnston run for 10 yds to the NWST 7

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 45 yds , Dayan Bilbo returns for no gain to the TAMC 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

BK Jackson run for 6 yds to the NWST 48

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

BK Jackson run for 6 yds to the NWST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

JaiSean McMillian run for 2 yds to the NWST 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Ron Peace pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 7 yds to the NWST 33

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

JaiSean McMillian run for 4 yds to the NWST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TAMUC False Start 5 yards from NSU29 to NSU34. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

BK Jackson run for 1 yd to the NWST 35

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ron Peace pass incomplete

3rd & 16Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TAMUC Delay Of Game 5 yards from NSU35 to NSU40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.72

Ron Peace pass complete to Dayan Bilbo for 30 yds to the NWST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

BK Jackson run for 9 yds to the NWST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

BK Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Jackson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Kennieth Lacy run for 16 yds to the NWST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the NWST 43

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kennieth Lacy run for 5 yds to the NWST 48

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.49

Kennieth Lacy run for 3 yds to the NWST 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Christian Jourdain run for 7 yds to the TAMC 17

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordon Hamilton run for 8 yds to the TAMC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the TAMC 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Braxton Garmon run for 1 yd to the TAMC 31

3rd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.52

BK Jackson run for 16 yds to the TAMC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.57

Ron Peace sacked by Chancellor Owens for a loss of 8 yards to the TAMC 39 Ron Peace fumbled, recovered by NWST Landry Huddleston , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Abram Johnston pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Zay Davis run for 4 yds to the TAMC 43

3rd & 14Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.39

Abram Johnston pass complete to Zay Davis for 34 yds to the TAMC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the TAMC 10

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kolbe Burrell run for 2 yds to the TAMC 12

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -3.77

Abram Johnston pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

JaiSean McMillian run for 1 yd to the TAMC 3

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

JaiSean McMillian run for 2 yds to the TAMC 5

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ron Peace run for 4 yds to the TAMC 9

4th & 3Penalty+4 yds

PENALTY TAMUC Delay Of Game 4 yards from TAMUC09 to TAMUC05. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 48 yds , Ke'Nard King returns for 4 yds to the TAMC 49

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kennieth Lacy run for 6 yds to the TAMC 43

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Shotgun Lacy,Kennieth rush middle for 0 yards to the TAMUC43 (Gilbert,Tramar) PENALTY NSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from TAMUC43 to TAMUC48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.45

Abram Johnston sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the NWST 41

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Abram Johnston run for 5 yds to the NWST 46

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TAMC 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

BK Jackson run for 4 yds to the TAMC 14

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the TAMC 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.26

Ron Peace pass complete to Jordon Hamilton for 13 yds to the TAMC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Ron Peace run for 1 yd to the TAMC 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.42

Ron Peace pass complete to Tyson Schilling for 18 yds to the TAMC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Ron Peace pass complete to Dayan Bilbo for 12 yds to the NWST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Ron Peace pass complete to Jared Wilson for 7 yds to the NWST 34

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.78

Ron Peace run for 34 yds for a TD (Luke Jackson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Jackson,Luke kick attempt good (H: Nellor,Brock, LS: Kennard,Josiah) PENALTY TAMUC Illegal Formation 5 yards from NSU03 to NSU08. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.40

Abram Johnston pass complete to Zay Davis for 51 yds to the TAMC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Abram Johnston pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for a loss of 3 yards to the TAMC 27

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Abram Johnston run for 5 yds to the TAMC 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Abram Johnston pass complete to Joseph Moreland for 15 yds to the TAMC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Abram Johnston pass incomplete

2nd & 7Penalty-2 yds

Shotgun Johnston,Abram pass incomplete short left to Kitt-Denton,Myles thrown to TAMUC02 PENALTY TAMUC Pass Interference (Paul,Kendall) 2 yards from TAMUC07 to TAMUC05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Johnston,Abram rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TAMUC00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:07 PENALTY NSU Holding 10 yards from TAMUC05 to TAMUC15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Reed Honshtein 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

R. Peace takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Scotty Roblow kickoff for 60 yds , Dayan Bilbo return for 19 yds to the TAMC 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

BK Jackson run for no gain to the TAMC 24

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

BK Jackson run for 7 yds to the TAMC 31

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.56

BK Jackson run for 7 yds to the TAMC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

JaiSean McMillian run for no gain to the TAMC 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ron Peace pass complete to Dayeton Sweeting for 6 yds to the TAMC 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Ron Peace pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+17 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 46 yds , Ke'Nard King returns for 17 yds to the NWST 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Abram Johnston pass complete to John Barr for 9 yds to the NWST 36

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33

Kennieth Lacy run for no gain to the NWST 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Ryan Tyler run for 2 yds to the NWST 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Ron Peace pass complete to Tyson Schilling for 17 yds to the TAMC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

JaiSean McMillian run for 2 yds to the TAMC 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Ron Peace pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.58

Ron Peace pass complete to Tyler Daniels for 34 yds to the NWST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Ron Peace pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 22 yds for a TD (Luke Jackson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Jackson,Luke kick attempt good (H: Nellor,Brock, LS: Kennard,Josiah) PENALTY TAMUC Illegal Formation 5 yards from NSU03 to NSU08. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ke'Nard King run for 1 yd to the NWST 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Zay Davis run for 2 yds to the NWST 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Abram Johnston pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 6 yds to the NWST 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dayan Bilbo at the TAMC 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

BK Jackson run for 5 yds to the TAMC 38

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

JaiSean McMillian run for 3 yds to the TAMC 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

JaiSean McMillian run for 1 yd to the TAMC 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Ke'Nard King at the NWST 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the NWST 7

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Abram Johnston pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for 18 yds to the NWST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Abram Johnston pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Ron Peace pass complete to Tyson Schilling for 14 yds to the NWST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ron Peace pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Ron Peace pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.57

Ron Peace pass complete to Jordon Hamilton for 22 yds for a TD (Andy Gallegos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the NWST 24

2nd & 11Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Abram Johnston run for 18 yds to the NWST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zay Davis run for 3 yds to the NWST 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Abram Johnston pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Abram Johnston pass complete to Zay Davis for no gain to the TAMC 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Abram Johnston pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Abram Johnston pass incomplete

4th & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Abram Johnston run for no gain to the TAMC 40

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Braxton Garmon run for 6 yds to the TAMC 46

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Braxton Garmon run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Braxton Garmon run for 2 yds to the TAMC 48

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

JaiSean McMillian run for 3 yds to the NWST 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ron Peace pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NWST 7

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+4 ydsPPA -7.13

Leon Young 4 Yd Fumble Return (Luke Jackson Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Aidan Martin kickoff for 60 yds , Myles Kitt-Denton return for 8 yds to the NWST 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kennieth Lacy run for 6 yds to the NWST 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Abram Johnston pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for 17 yds to the NWST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Abram Johnston run for 4 yds to the NWST 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Abram Johnston run for 5 yds to the NWST 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the NWST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Abram Johnston pass complete to Ke'Nard King for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the NWST 48

3rd & 9Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.15

Abram Johnston pass complete to Kareame Cotton Jr. for 47 yds to the TAMC 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kolbe Burrell run for 1 yd to the TAMC 4

2nd & 4Penalty-2 yds

Shotgun King,Ke'Nard rush middle for 0 yards to the TAMUC04 (Gilbert,Tramar) PENALTY TAMUC Illegal Substitution 2 yards from TAMUC04 to TAMUC02. NO PLAY.

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds for a TD (Reed Honshtein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Braxton Garmon run for 1 yd to the TAMC 26

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Braxton Garmon run for 13 yds to the TAMC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Braxton Garmon run for 2 yds to the TAMC 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Madonna pass complete to Devin Matthews for 5 yds to the TAMC 46

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Braxton Garmon run for 1 yd to the TAMC 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mitchell McGarry punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Zay Davis run for 2 yds to the NWST 6

2nd & 12Penalty-15 yds

Burrell,Kolbe rush left for 0 yards to the NSU06 (King,Sean-Krystoff; King,Koby-Sebasyen) PENALTY TAMUC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from NSU06 to NSU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Abram Johnston pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Texas A&M-Commerce Penalty, (15 Yards) to the NWST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.09

Abram Johnston pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for 37 yds to the TAMC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Abram Johnston run for 4 yds to the TAMC 27

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.53

Abram Johnston pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for 27 yds for a TD (Reed Honshtein KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Scotty Roblow kickoff for 65 yds , Devin Matthews return for 43 yds to the TAMC 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Will Madonna pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

R. Peace takes a knee

Situational Analysis

East Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Northwestern State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
27%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play