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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Abilene Christian by 1.8

Home Win Probability

Austin Peay 43%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Austin Peay +4

Edge: Austin Peay +4 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Abilene Christian
14014735
Austin Peay
14130734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-717-1427-1427-2127-2834-2834-35
Austin PeayAbilene Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ACAPACAPACAPACAPACAPACAPACAPACAPACAPACAPACAPACPUNT39ydTD369ydTD580ydTD771ydTD679ydFG1457ydPUNT32ydTD173ydMISS1037ydFG1455ydEND216ydPUNT35ydPUNT412ydPUNT3-1ydTD956ydPUNT513ydTD872ydTD768ydTO754ydPUNT38ydTD1074ydDOWNS49ydEND615yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Abilene Christian and Austin Peay
StatisticAbilene ChristianAustin Peay
Passing25-4218-32
Pass Yards355308
Rush Yards171107
Total Yards526415
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-145-13
Penalties9-576-26
Possession30:5829:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Abilene Christian
passing
Maverick McIvor
25/42, 355 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Sam Hicks
16 CAR, 113 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
JJ Henry
3 REC, 125 YDS, 2 TD
Austin Peay
passing
Austin Smith
18/32, 308 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
La'Vell Wright
17 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaden Barnes
6 REC, 179 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Sam Hicks run for 7 yds to the ACU 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Sam Hicks run for 2 yds to the ACU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.94

La'Vell Wright run for 11 yds to the APSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 58 yds for a TD (Carson Smith KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Carson Smith kickoff for 65 yds , Sam Hicks return for 20 yds to the ACU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 4 yds to the ACU 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the ACU 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 5 yds to the ACU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the ACU 34

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.97

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 66 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Kyler Meschi kickoff for 54 yds , Romon Copeland Jr. return for 18 yds to the APSU 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Corey Richardson run for 5 yds to the APSU 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Austin Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.46

Austin Smith pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 13 yds to the APSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.69

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 38 yds to the ACU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Romon Copeland Jr. run for 11 yds to the ACU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty+3 yds

WRIGHT, La'Vell rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the ACU1 (MOFFETT, Elijah). PENALTY ACU Offsides on OKE, David enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the ACU4 to the ACU2 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Carson Smith KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Carson Smith kickoff for 65 yds , Sam Hicks return for 21 yds to the ACU 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.55

Sam Hicks run for 23 yds to the ACU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 13 yds to the APSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

HICKS, Sam rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the APSU37 (HAWKINS, Garrett;WILLIAMS, Brodie). PENALTY ACU Holding on THIELEN, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the APSU43 to the ACU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 9 yds to the APSU 44

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.57

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 44 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Kyler Meschi kickoff for 55 yds , Romon Copeland Jr. return for 10 yds to the APSU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 3 yds to the APSU 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the APSU 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.72

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 15 yds to the ACU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

La'Vell Wright run for 9 yds to the ACU 36

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Austin Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the ACU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 38

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Austin Smith pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 6 yds to the ACU 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.78

Austin Smith pass complete to Corey Richardson for 13 yds to the ACU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SMITH, Austin pass to the right complete for -1 yard to COPELAND JR., Romon caught at the ACU25 and advanced to the ACU20 (SHAFFER, Will). PENALTY ACU Offsides on MARTINEZ I, Nehemiah enforced 5 yards from the ACU24 to the ACU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 1 yd to the ACU 13

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the ACU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the ACU 3

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 4 yards to the ACU 7

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Austin Smith sacked by Jerry Lawson for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+29 yds

Carson Smith 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the ACU 29

2nd & 6Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.17

Maverick McIvor sacked by Dion Hunter for a loss of 14 yards to the ACU 15

3rd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.13

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 12 yds to the ACU 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Romon Copeland Jr. at the APSU 27

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.93

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 73 yds for a TD (Carson Smith KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Carson Smith kickoff for 65 yds , Sam Hicks return for 34 yds to the ACU 34

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Sam Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 33

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.88

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 14 yds to the ACU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 15 yds to the APSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Sam Hicks run for 11 yds to the APSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Sam Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 29

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Ritse Vaes 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the APSU 34

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

La'Vell Wright run for 6 yds to the APSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the APSU 40

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

QB Keeper SMITH, Austin rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the APSU41 (OKE, David). PENALTY ACU Offsides on ROACH, Kaghen enforced 5 yards from the APSU35 to the APSU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Corey Richardson run for no gain to the APSU 45

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Austin Smith run for 6 yds to the ACU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 8 yds to the ACU 41

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Austin Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 6 yds to the ACU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 10 yds to the ACU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Austin Smith pass complete to Jackson Head for 4 yds to the ACU 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 5 yds to the ACU 16

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 1Field Goal Good+33 yds

Carson Smith 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Isaiah Johnson run for 10 yds to the ACU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Johnson run for 6 yds to the ACU 41

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Corey Richardson run for no gain to the APSU 25

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, Offsides (Chris Wright) to the APSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nehemiah Martinez I at the ACU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 13 yds to the ACU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Isaiah Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 47

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Romon Copeland Jr. at the APSU 14

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, False Start (Jaden Barnes) to the APSU 9

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the APSU 13

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 43 yds, downed at the ACU 44

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Sam Hicks run for 8 yds to the APSU 48

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Hicks run for 2 yds to the APSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 9 yds to the APSU 37

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Sam Hicks run for 3 yds to the APSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (Jacob Thielen) to the APSU 39

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Sam Hicks for 2 yds to the APSU 37

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 8 yds to the APSU 29

4th & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.88

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 15 yds to the APSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Sam Hicks run for 14 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the APSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

La'Vell Wright run for 6 yds to the APSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the APSU 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nehemiah Martinez I at the ACU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 1 yd to the ACU 29

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (Dylan Kinney) to the ACU 24

2nd & 14Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.84

Isaiah Johnson run for 22 yds to the ACU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 11 yds to the APSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Isaiah Johnson run for 18 yds to the APSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Sam Hicks for 10 yds to the APSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Sam Hicks run for 15 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Kyler Meschi kickoff for 60 yds , Romon Copeland Jr. return for 27 yds to the APSU 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the APSU 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.36

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 16 yds to the APSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.50

Austin Smith pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 42 yds to the ACU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Austin Smith run for 6 yds to the ACU 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the ACU 8

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the ACU 3

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Smith pass complete to Jackson Head for 2 yds to the ACU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Austin Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Carson Smith KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, False Start (Donovan Haslam) to the ACU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 16 yds to the ACU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 3 yds to the ACU 44

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sam Hicks run for 5 yds to the ACU 49

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.58

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Javon Gipson for 7 yds to the APSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 5 yds to the APSU 39

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+18 ydsPPA -2.69

Sam Hicks run for 18 yds to the APSU 21 Sam Hicks fumbled, recovered by APSU Jaden Lyles J. Lyles return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

La'Vell Wright run for 8 yds to the APSU 29

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 27

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the APSU 29

4th & 2Punt-2 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 43 yds , Nehemiah Martinez I returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ACU 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.08

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 15 yds to the ACU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 19 yds to the APSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.49

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 24 yds to the APSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the APSU 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Sam Hicks run for 1 yd to the APSU 15

4th & 9Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.73

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jed Castles for 15 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the APSU 8

0th & 0Penalty+4 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, Offsides (Hosea Knifeley Jr.) to the APSU 4

0th & 0Penalty+2 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, Offsides (Hosea Knifeley Jr.) to the APSU 2

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Austin Smith sacked by Kaghen Roach and Chris Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 24

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Austin Smith run for 6 yds to the APSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the APSU 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Sam Hicks run for 1 yd to the APSU 33

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Sam Hicks run for 6 yds to the APSU 27

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.54

Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the APSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Isaiah Johnson run for 8 yds to the APSU 16

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

[NH] Kneel down by MCIVOR, Maverick at APSU18 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

[NH] Kneel down by MCIVOR, Maverick at APSU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
82%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Austin Peay

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
55%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play