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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Central Arkansas by 18.9

Home Win Probability

Central Arkansas 86%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Central Arkansas -10

Edge: Central Arkansas -10 (8.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Alabama
0130619
Central Arkansas
377724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-1917-1324-13
Central ArkansasNorth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NACANACANACANACANACANACANACACANACANACANACANACANACANAPUNT620ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT33ydPUNT31ydFG760ydPUNT833ydTD572ydTD212ydPUNT38ydTD1079ydPUNT8-4ydTO421ydPUNT32ydTD875ydDOWNS1271ydPUNT3-2ydTO47ydPUNT3-6ydTO638ydTD275ydTO28ydPUNT833ydTD1280ydPUNT614ydTO621yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Alabama and Central Arkansas
StatisticNorth AlabamaCentral Arkansas
Passing17-3421-31
Pass Yards246250
Rush Yards10756
Total Yards353306
Turnovers50
3rd Down6-132-13
Penalties4-559-107
Possession30:0129:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Alabama
passing
T.J. Smith
14/30, 191 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jayvian Allen
12 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Dakota Warfield
6 REC, 80 YDS
Central Arkansas
passing
Will McElvain
21/31, 250 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
ShunDerrick Powell
14 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Malachi Henry
2 REC, 90 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayvian Allen run for 2 yds to the UNA 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Dennis Moody run for 1 yd to the UNA 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.01

TJ Smith pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 21 yds to the UNA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Takairee Kenebrew

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Jayvian Allen run for 8 yds to the CARK 43

3rd & 2Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.83

TJ Smith sacked by David Walker and Deorius Cobbs for a loss of 12 yards to the UNA 45

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 59 yds , Justin Luke return for 19 yds to the UNA 25

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 34 yds , Trejan Bridges returns for no gain to the CARK 45 North Alabama Penalty, kick catching interference (Cameron Jamar) to the CARK 35

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

ShunDerrick Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the CARK 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Will McElvain pass complete to Jordan Owens for 4 yds to the CARK 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Malachi Henry, broken up by Jermaine Ray Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Trace Beard punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Kaleb Heatherly

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jayvian Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNA 19

3rd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNA 18

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Will McElvain pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for no gain to the CARK 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for 3 yds to the CARK 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Malachi Henry

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

Trace Beard punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNA 17 , Kobe Warden returns for 12 yds to the UNA 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

TJ Smith run for 6 yds to the UNA 23

2nd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.93

TJ Smith sacked by Jace Benesch for a loss of 5 yards to the UNA 18

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

pass incomplete to Jalen Fletcher

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 51 yds , Trejan Bridges returns for no gain to the CARK 27

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.09

ShunDerrick Powell run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +1.52

ShunDerrick Powell run for 42 yds to the UNA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Will McElvain pass complete to Jordan Owens for 4 yds to the UNA 4

2nd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.09

Hale,Darius rush (Jamar,Cameron), PENALTY UCA holding (Spencer,Dylan) 10 yards to the UNA-6. Central Arkansas Penalty, Offensive holding (Dylan Spencer) to the UNA 14

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Kam Robinson

3rd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for 1 yd to the UNA 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jake Gaster 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.91

Azariah Fletcher run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNA 32

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 65 yds , Justin Luke return for 2 yds to the UNA 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.40

TJ Smith pass complete to Logan Collier for 14 yds to the UNA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Allen,Jayvian rush left (Benesch,Jace).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.19

TJ Smith pass complete to KJ Fields for 12 yds to the UNA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Takairee Kenebrew

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Jayvian Allen run for 10 yds to the UNA 38 for a 1ST down

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Kobe Warden

3rd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

TJ Smith pass complete to Dennis Moody for 3 yds to the UNA 35

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Adam Watford punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

ShunDerrick Powell run for 3 yds to the CARK 31

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

ShunDerrick Powell run for 1 yd to the CARK 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Malachi Henry for a 1ST down North Alabama Penalty, Defensive pass interference (A.J. Seay) to the CARK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Will McElvain pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 20 yds to the UNA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Jordan Owens 33 Yd pass from Will McElvain (Jake Gaster Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+82 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 59 yds , Justin Luke return for 82 yds to the CARK 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jayvian Allen run for 4 yds to the CARK 8

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.55

Jalen Fletcher run for 8 yds for a TD (Scott Payne KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

ShunDerrick Powell run for 3 yds to the CARK 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Darius Hale run for 4 yds to the CARK 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Darius Hale run for 1 yd to the CARK 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will McElvain punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalen Fletcher run for 1 yd to the UNA 22

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Jayvian Allen run for 9 yds to the UNA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.42

TJ Smith pass complete to Takairee Kenebrew for 29 yds to the CARK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jayvian Allen run for 4 yds to the CARK 36

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Dennis Moody run for 7 yds to the CARK 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Smith,TJ rush right (Walker,David).

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jayvian Allen run for 3 yds to the CARK 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.03

TJ Smith pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 15 yds to the CARK 11 for a 1ST down Central Arkansas Penalty, off-side (Bradley Clark) to the CARK 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Tanaka Scott 11 Yd pass from TJ Smith (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-62 yds

Sam Contorno pass incomplete to Ben Harris

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Trejan Bridges, broken up by Ashaad Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for a loss of 2 yards to the CARK 23

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Central Arkansas Penalty, false start (Dylan Spencer) to the CARK 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Malachi Henry, broken up by Gregory Reddick

4th & 17Punt+10 yds

punt for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for 9 yds to the CARK 37

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Darius Hale run for 2 yds to the CARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Jordan Owens

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.26

Will McElvain sacked by Rush Lansdell for a loss of 8 yards to the CARK 31

3rd & 18Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.18

Will McElvain sacked by Jackson Bratton and Avery Howard for a loss of 10 yards to the CARK 21

4th & 28Punt0 yds

punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jalen Fletcher run for 6 yds to the CARK 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.43

TJ Smith pass complete to Kobe Warden for 16 yds to the CARK 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalen Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 22

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -3.89

TJ Smith pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Darius Hale run for 2 yds to the CARK 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to Trejan Bridges

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Trejan Bridges, broken up by Edwin White Schultz

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will McElvain punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Kam Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Will McElvain pass complete to Tyion Berry for 7 yds to the CARK 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Darius Hale run for 3 yds to the CARK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.19

Will McElvain pass complete to Kam Robinson for 28 yds to the UNA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Will McElvain run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNA 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.39

Will McElvain pass complete to Tyion Berry for 19 yds to the UNA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Will McElvain pass complete to Jordan Owens for a loss of 2 yards to the UNA 21

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.14

Will McElvain pass complete to Malachi Henry for 21 yds for a TD (Jake Gaster KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

TJ Smith pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 4 yds to the UNA 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete to Jayvian Allen

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

TJ Smith pass complete to Takairee Kenebrew for 10 yds to the UNA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.56

TJ Smith pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 19 yds to the CARK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Dakota Warfield

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

TJ Smith pass complete to Kobe Warden for 9 yds to the CARK 33

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

TJ Smith run for 4 yds to the CARK 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Jayvian Allen run for 17 yds to the CARK 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.81

Jalen Fletcher run for a loss of 7 yards to the CARK 19 Jalen Fletcher fumbled, recovered by UNA Jalen Fletcher

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Kobe Warden

3rd & 17Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.06

TJ Smith run for 15 yds to the CARK 4

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.11

pass incomplete to Tanaka Scott

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Powell,ShunDerrick rush right (Daniels,Tyrik).

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.15

ShunDerrick Powell run for a loss of 3 yards to the CARK 1

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Darius Hale run for 1 yd to the CARK 2

4th & 12Punt+10 yds

Trace Beard punt for 54 yds , Kobe Warden returns for 10 yds to the CARK 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

TJ Smith pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 7 yds to the CARK 39

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Dennis Moody run for 1 yd to the CARK 38

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jalen Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 39

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -1.87

TJ Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the CARK 45 TJ Smith fumbled, recovered by CARK Daylon Land

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Malachi Henry, broken up by Jermaine Ray Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

ShunDerrick Powell run for 2 yds to the CARK 47

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.22

Will McElvain sacked by Ike Rowell for a loss of 8 yards to the CARK 39

4th & 16Punt+24 yds

Trace Beard punt for 47 yds , Kobe Warden returns for 24 yds to the UNA 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kingston Lowe run for 3 yds to the CARK 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Allen,Jayvian rush left (Benesch,Jace;Clark,Bradley).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

TJ Smith pass incomplete to Tanaka Scott, broken up by Sean Smith

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +3.12

TJ Smith pass incomplete to Dakota Warfield for a 1ST down Central Arkansas Penalty, Defensive pass interference (James Jordan) to the CARK 47 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.29

Ben Harris pass complete to Kobe Warden for 20 yds to the CARK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.32

Ben Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 25 Ben Harris fumbled, recovered by CARK Kyion Williams

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Will McElvain pass complete to Kam Robinson for 6 yds to the CARK 31

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.74

Malachi Henry 69 Yd pass from Will McElvain (Jake Gaster Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 41 yds , Gregory Reddick return for 4 yds to the UNA 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Dennis Moody run for 8 yds to the UNA 36

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+24 ydsPPA -2.11

Dennis Moody run for 9 yds to the CARK 25 Dennis Moody fumbled, recovered by CARK David Walker Moody,Dennis rush middle for 9 yards to the UNA45, fumble by Moody,Dennis recovered by UCA Walker,David, Walker,David rush (Vili,Fred), PENALTY UCA unsportsmanlike conduct (Williams,Dillon) 15 yards to the UNA21, PENALTY UCA unsportsmanlike conduct (Land,Daylon) 15 yards to the UNA21. Central Arkansas Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dillon Williams) to the CARK 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

ShunDerrick Powell run for 2 yds to the CARK 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Will McElvain pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 16 yds to the CARK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.17

Will McElvain pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for a loss of 6 yards to the CARK 37

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Will McElvain pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 4 yds to the CARK 41

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.11

Will McElvain pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 12 yds to the UNA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

ShunDerrick Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNA 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Will McElvain pass complete to Kam Robinson for 4 yds to the UNA 45

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

ShunDerrick Powell run for 3 yds to the UNA 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Will McElvain punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Ben Harris pass complete to Dakota Warfield for 14 yds to the UNA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Takairee Kenebrew

2nd & 10Interception+15 ydsPPA -0.68

Ben Harris pass intercepted for a 1ST down Central Arkansas Penalty, roughing passer (TaMuarion Wilson) to the UNA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Ben Harris sacked by Deorius Cobbs for a loss of 3 yards to the UNA 46

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

TJ Smith run for 3 yds to the UNA 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.25

Ben Harris pass complete to KJ Fields for 21 yds to the CARK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

TJ Smith run for 5 yds to the CARK 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

TJ Smith run for 7 yds to the CARK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.13

TJ Smith pass incomplete to Dakota Warfield for a 1ST down Central Arkansas Penalty, Defensive pass interference (L.J. Hewitt) to the CARK 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion+2 ydsPPA -0.44

TJ Smith pass incomplete to JJ Evans, broken up by T.D. Williams for a 1ST down Central Arkansas Penalty, Defensive holding (Dude Person) to the CARK 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

TJ Smith 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-62 yds

TJ Smith pass incomplete to Takairee Kenebrew

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Will McElvain run for a loss of 3 yards to the CARK 22

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

ShunDerrick Powell run for 2 yds to the CARK 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.32

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Trejan Bridges for a 1ST down North Alabama Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ashaad Williams) to the CARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

ShunDerrick Powell run for a loss of 4 yards to the CARK 35

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Darius Hale run for a loss of 3 yards to the CARK 32

3rd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Darius Hale run for 7 yds to the CARK 39

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trace Beard punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to Dakota Warfield

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Takairee Kenebrew

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.08

TJ Smith pass complete to Takairee Kenebrew for 21 yds to the UNA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to KJ Fields

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

TJ Smith pass incomplete to Dakota Warfield, broken up by TaMuarion Wilson

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.86

TJ Smith pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

North Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
33 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
71%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Central Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
20%
10 plays
25%
8 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
4th