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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 4.6

Home Win Probability

Austin Peay 36%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Austin Peay +7.5

Edge: Austin Peay +7.5 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tarleton State
7103727
Austin Peay
377017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-1410-1717-2017-27
Austin PeayTarleton State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSAPTSAPTSAPTSAPTSAPTSAPTSAPTSAPTSAPTSAPTSAPTSAPTSDOWNS1148ydFG837ydTD1175ydPUNT46ydTO9-21ydTD513ydTD175ydMISS754ydPUNT35ydPUNT38ydFG748ydTO755ydTO22ydTD660ydFG1359ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydTO854ydTD469ydDOWNS718ydTO31ydDOWNS517ydDOWNS518ydDOWNS933ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tarleton State and Austin Peay
StatisticTarleton StateAustin Peay
Passing17-3021-39
Pass Yards264255
Rush Yards16962
Total Yards433317
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-116-16
Penalties5-655-53
Possession30:1129:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tarleton State
passing
Victor Gabalis
17/30, 264 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Kayvon Britten
30 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darius Cooper
3 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
Austin Peay
passing
Austin Smith
21/38, 255 YDS
rushing
La'Vell Wright
12 CAR, 28 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaden Barnes
5 REC, 110 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the TAR 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the TAR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the TAR 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Victor Gabalis run for 6 yds to the APSU 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the APSU 41

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Kayvon Britten run for 11 yds to the APSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 7 yds to the APSU 23

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, False Start (Benjamin Omayebu) to the APSU 30

4th & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -1.88

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Fred Brown II for 3 yds to the APSU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WRIGHT, La'Vell rush to the right for a loss of 4 yards to the APSU23 (TOLVERT, Brandon). PENALTY TSU Personal Foul on CHISM, Tramaine enforced 15 yards from the APSU27 to the APSU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 3 yds to the APSU 45

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Vell Wright run for 4 yds to the APSU 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.87

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 9 yds to the TAR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Austin Smith run for no gain to the TAR 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Austin Smith pass complete to Kaden Williams for 2 yds to the TAR 40

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Romon Copeland Jr. run for 4 yds to the TAR 36

4th & 4Field Goal Good+53 yds

Carson Smith 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 2 yards to the TAR 23

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 12 yds to the TAR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the TAR 41

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Kayvon Britten run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 12 yds to the APSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Sammy Anderson Jr.) to the APSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the APSU 17

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 8 yds to the APSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the APSU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

La'Vell Wright run for 13 yds to the APSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Romon Copeland Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 37

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the APSU 32

3rd & 16Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Smith sacked by Brandon Tolvert for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 31

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 35 yds , Blake Smith returns for no gain to the TAR 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 12 yds to the TAR 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 7 yds to the APSU 47

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Kayvon Britten run for 5 yds to the APSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 43

3rd & 11Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.81

Victor Gabalis run for 20 yds to the APSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the APSU 23

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+62 ydsPPA -3.92

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted Jesse Johnson III return for 62 yds to the TAR 13 fumbled, recovered by APSU Jaden Lyles J. Lyles return for 9 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Austin Smith run for no gain to the TAR 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 9 yds to the TAR 4

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the TAR 4

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.62

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the TAR 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Romon Copeland Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Carson Smith KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 75 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 65 yds , Romon Copeland Jr. return for 22 yds to the APSU 22

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.88

Austin Smith sacked by Devin Sterling for a loss of 4 yards to the APSU 18

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Austin Smith pass complete to Jackson Head for 12 yds to the APSU 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.74

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 44 yds to the TAR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the TAR 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Austin Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Carson Smith 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the TAR 31

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 2 yards to the TAR 29

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 70 yds, downed at the APSU 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the APSU 3

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the APSU 5

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Corey Richardson run for 4 yds to the APSU 9

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 40 yds, downed at the APSU 49

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.95

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 11 yds to the APSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Victor Gabalis run for 3 yds to the APSU 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the APSU 31

3rd & 2Penalty-15 yds

GABALIS, Victor pass to the right complete for 11 yards to BROWN II, Fred caught at the APSU25 and advanced to the APSU20 (KNIFELEY JR., Hosea). PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on COOPER, Darius enforced 15 yards to the APSU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Penalty+15 yds

GABALIS, Victor pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Cody thrown to the APSU10. PENALTY APSU Pass Interference on EVANS, Mike enforced 15 yards to the APSU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.90

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Darius Cooper for 30 yds to the APSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 1Field Goal Good+18 yds

Corbin Poston 18 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half-40 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 36 yds to the TAR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 3 yards to the TAR 42

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Austin Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.59

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 12 yds to the TAR 30

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.24

La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the TAR 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 9 yds to the TAR 20

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.89

Romon Copeland Jr. pass intercepted Caden Holt return for no gain to the TAR 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the TAR 20

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.18

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted Jaden Lyles return for no gain to the APSU 40

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

O'Shaan Allison run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.14

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 25 yds to the TAR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.01

Austin Smith pass complete to Corey Richardson for 21 yds to the TAR 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the TAR 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Carson Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the TAR 42

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Kayvon Britten run for 7 yds to the TAR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Dawson Hearne for 7 yds to the APSU 44

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the APSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 14 yds to the APSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Kayvon Britten run for 8 yds to the APSU 14

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the APSU 13

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Kayvon Britten run for 6 yds to the APSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the APSU 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Victor Gabalis pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Corbin Poston 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the APSU 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Austin Smith pass complete to Alec Pell for 6 yds to the APSU 27

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 44 yds , Blake Smith returns for 1 yd to the TAR 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Braelon Bridges run for 2 yds to the TAR 32

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Braelon Bridges run for 3 yds to the TAR 35

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Braelon Bridges run for 3 yds to the TAR 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Adrian Guzman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Romon Copeland Jr. at the APSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 4 yds to the APSU 19

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the APSU 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the APSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 10 yds to the APSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Corey Richardson run for 6 yds to the APSU 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 16 yds to the TAR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.80

Austin Smith run for 11 yds to the TAR 31 Austin Smith fumbled, recovered by TAR Donta Stuart D. Stuart return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Kayvon Britten run for 12 yds to the TAR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.26

Victor Gabalis pass complete to Cody Jackson for 39 yds to the APSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Braelon Bridges run for 11 yds for a TD (Corbin Poston KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Smith pass complete to Alec Pell for 3 yds to the APSU 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Austin Smith pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 6 yds to the APSU 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.51

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the APSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Austin Smith pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 8 yds to the APSU 31

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Kaden Williams run for 1 yd to the APSU 32

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the APSU 32

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.13

La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the APSU 30

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the APSU 29

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.05

Victor Gabalis pass intercepted Kendyle Ball return for no gain to the APSU 25

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Austin Smith sacked by AJ Owens for a loss of 4 yards to the APSU 21

2nd & 14Penalty+30 yds

SMITH, Austin pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for KNEELAND, Jade thrown to the APSU37. PENALTY TSU Personal Foul on SMITH, Blake declined TSU Personal Foul on SMITH, Blake enforced 15 yards from the APSU21 to the APSU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Austin Smith pass complete to Alec Pell for 6 yds to the APSU 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Austin Smith pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Braelon Bridges run for 12 yds to the APSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Braelon Bridges run for 4 yds to the APSU 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Braelon Bridges run for 2 yds to the APSU 24

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kayvon Britten run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 25

4th & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.91

Kayvon Britten run for 1 yd to the APSU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Austin Smith pass complete to Jackson Head for 2 yds to the APSU 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Austin Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Tarleton State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Omar Emmons) to the APSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Austin Smith pass complete to Alec Pell for 12 yds to the TAR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the TAR 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Austin Smith pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

J. Kneeland takes a knee

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

J. Kneeland takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
32 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Austin Peay

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
27 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays