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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Eastern Kentucky by 7.7

Home Win Probability

Eastern Kentucky 66%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Eastern Kentucky -28

Edge: Morehead State +28 (20.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morehead State
373013
Eastern Kentucky
14771442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-1021-1028-1035-1342-13
Eastern KentuckyMorehead State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKEKMSEKMSEKMSEKMSEKPUNT30ydTO38ydFG819ydTD1081ydTO31ydTD222ydTD775ydPUNT517ydTO722ydTD226ydPUNT617ydPUNT522ydPUNT35ydEND110ydTD884ydPUNT66ydMISS451ydFG963ydTD970ydTO528ydTD871ydPUNT3-8ydEND410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morehead State and Eastern Kentucky
StatisticMorehead StateEastern Kentucky
Passing14-2713-19
Pass Yards151162
Rush Yards77301
Total Yards228463
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-142-7
Penalties6-496-80
Possession31:0828:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morehead State
passing
Bryce Patterson
8/14, 106 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
James Louis
13 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Nate Garnett
4 REC, 55 YDS
Eastern Kentucky
passing
Matt Morrissey
13/19, 162 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Brayden Latham
11 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dequan Stanley
3 REC, 49 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Genal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chance Harris run for no gain to the MORE 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Genal pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 50 yds , Jalen Montgomery returns for no gain to the EKU 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 4 yds to the EKU 32

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Joshua Carter for 1 yd Joshua Carter fumbled, recovered by MORE Jihad McCall J. McCall return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Connor Genal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Chance Harris run for 3 yds to the EKU 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Connor Genal pass complete to Nate Garnett for 5 yds to the EKU 25

4th & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Connor Genal pass complete to Nate Garnett for 9 yds to the EKU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the EKU 15

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Isaac Stopke run for 1 yd to the EKU 14

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Connor Genal pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

Thomas Schwartz V 31 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Thomas Schwartz V kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Montgomery return for no gain to the EKU 35 Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marcus Calwise Jr.) to the EKU 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Brayden Latham run for 7 yds to the EKU 26

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 1 yd to the EKU 33

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Brayden Latham run for 8 yds to the EKU 41

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Brayden Latham run for 6 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brayden Latham run for 6 yds to the MORE 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Ron Vann Jr. for 13 yds to the MORE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaycob Horn for 8 yds to the MORE 26

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.25

Matt Morrissey run for 5 yds to the MORE 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 21 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MORE 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chance Harris run for no gain to the MORE 26

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Genal pass intercepted Vito Tisdale return for 23 yds to the MORE 22

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Joshua Carter run for 8 yds to the MORE 14

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.18

Joshua Carter run for 14 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Connor Genal run for 4 yds to the MORE 29 for a 1ST down Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Vito Tisdale) to the MORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

James Louis run for 13 yds to the EKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.61

James Louis run for 16 yds to the EKU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.42

James Louis run for 19 yds to the EKU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Chance Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the EKU 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Connor Genal pass complete to Ryan Upp for 9 yds to the EKU 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Isaac Stopke run for 2 yds for a TD (Thomas Schwartz V KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+100 yds

Thomas Schwartz V kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Montgomery return for 100 yds Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaheim Ward) to the EKU 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Matt Morrissey run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brayden Latham run for 6 yds to the MORE 44

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brayden Latham run for no gain to the MORE 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Upp at the MORE 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MORE 6

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Connor Genal pass complete to Caleb Tillman for 11 yds to the MORE 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MORE 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Connor Genal pass complete to Christian Pedersen for 7 yds to the MORE 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.68

Connor Genal run for 2 yds to the MORE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

James Louis run for no gain to the MORE 28

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jakob Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 26 Connor Genal fumbled, recovered by EKU Gabe Fletcher G. Fletcher return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Joshua Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 27

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.31

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 27 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chance Harris run for 5 yds to the MORE 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chance Harris run for no gain to the MORE 30

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mike Smith Jr.) to the MORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Genal pass complete to Caleb Tillman for 4 yds to the MORE 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Genal pass incomplete

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.50

Connor Genal sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MORE 42 Connor Genal fumbled, recovered by MORE Jaxsen Spears , return for 0 yards

4th & 13Punt+13 yds

Kip Warren punt for 42 yds , Jalen Montgomery returns for 13 yds to the EKU 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.24

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Ron Vann Jr. for 15 yds to the EKU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 7 yds to the MORE 49

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jacob Baker punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, False Start (Jaxsen Spears) to the MORE 15

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

James Louis run for 5 yds to the MORE 20

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.37

James Louis run for a loss of 4 yards to the MORE 16 James Louis fumbled, recovered by MORE James Louis J. Louis return for 0 yds

3rd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.12

James Louis run for 9 yds to the MORE 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 47 yds, downed at the EKU 28

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Joshua Carter run for 10 yds to the EKU 38 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Thomas Schwartz V kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Montgomery return for 37 yds to the EKU 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Matt Morrissey run for 4 yds to the EKU 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 14 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.40

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Bryant Johnson Jr. for 24 yds to the MORE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Matt Morrissey pass complete to Bryant Johnson Jr. for 15 yds to the MORE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.73

Joshua Carter run for 22 yds to the MORE 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joshua Carter run for no gain to the MORE 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Matt Morrissey run for 1 yd for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

James Louis run for no gain to the MORE 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Trevion Green for 11 yds to the MORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, False Start (Jacob Ziegler) to the MORE 31

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

James Louis run for 4 yds to the MORE 35

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.95

Bryce Patterson sacked by Gabe Stephens for a loss of 9 yards to the MORE 26

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Bryce Patterson run for 5 yds to the MORE 31

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 32 yds, downed at the EKU 37

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

LATHAM, Brayden rush up the middle for a gain of 18 yards to the MSU45 (MCCALL, Jihad). PENALTY MSU Illegal use of the hands on BENZA, Noah enforced 10 yards from the MSU40 to the MSU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Matt Morrissey run for 1 yd to the MORE 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Matt Morrissey pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.83

Matt Morrissey sacked by Dillon Schobourgh for a loss of 4 yards to the MORE 12

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Patrick Nations 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Ryan Upp for 7 yds to the MORE 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.72

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Nate Garnett for 34 yds to the EKU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Ryan Upp for 3 yds to the EKU 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.71

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Trevion Green for 18 yds to the EKU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chance Harris run for 6 yds to the EKU 12

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, False Start (Jacob Ziegler) to the EKU 17

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+34 yds

Thomas Schwartz V 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Thomas Schwartz V kickoff for 59 yds , Jalen Montgomery return for 9 yds to the EKU 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 17

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.30

Cameron Hergott run for 14 yds to the EKU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cameron Hergott run for 4 yds to the EKU 35

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.14

Cameron Hergott run for 18 yds to the MORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the MORE 45

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.52

Cameron Hergott run for 21 yds to the MORE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Brayden Latham run for 14 yds to the MORE 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Cameron Hergott run for 3 yds to the MORE 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Brayden Latham run for 7 yds for a TD Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bryant Johnson Jr.) to the MORE 0 (Patrick Nations KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Patrick Nations kickoff for 73 yds , Chance Harris return for 29 yds to the MORE 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Nate Garnett for 7 yds to the MORE 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.30

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Christian Pedersen for 18 yds to the EKU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

James Louis run for 2 yds to the EKU 37

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

James Louis run for 1 yd to the EKU 36

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -2.70

Bryce Patterson pass intercepted Mike Smith Jr. return for 5 yds to the EKU 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jalen Montgomery run for 7 yds to the EKU 36

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Cameron Hergott run for 2 yds to the EKU 38

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Jalen Montgomery run for 4 yds to the EKU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.47

Telly McCallister run for 20 yds to the MORE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cameron Hergott run for 2 yds to the MORE 36

2nd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.99

Telly McCallister run for 25 yds to the MORE 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cameron Hergott run for no gain to the MORE 11

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Telly McCallister run for 11 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Isaac Stopke run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Caleb Tillman for 8 yds to the MORE 32

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

PATTERSON, Bryce pass short to the left incomplete intended for GREEN, Trevion broken up by HOUSTON, Jaylen at the MSU34. PENALTY MSU Chop Block on SPEARS, Jaxsen enforced 15 yards from the MSU32 to the MSU17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Telly McCallister run for 5 yds to the EKU 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Telly McCallister run for 4 yds to the EKU 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Telly McCallister run for no gain to the EKU 47

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Telly McCallister run for 1 yd to the EKU 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
18%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Eastern Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
28 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
80%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play